gonna go texans -3 over 48

[AC1318]

good luck all

[IrishGuy82]

took the same play. GL to us both.

[guru-t]

Just Houston-3 for me.GL on the total guys!

[TedTheTech]

Final Score: Texans 45 Jaguars 21

[ryanXL977]

fianl score: i cannot watch these garbage teams

[demize21]

texans-3 is the play like the over as well took it on a tease just to be safe GL to all

[wild willy]

Seems alot of people like texans me being one of them going to take them 1st half -1.5

[Jayy]

GL

[Spoon]

@Texans Backers

Just curious... are you not worried about Sage leading this team tonight. I'm still undecided, yet lean to Jax +10 - over 41. If Schaub was playing I would definitley go with the Texans.

[HIGHestroller42]

houston

I got houston in a teaser +5 for houston and the score under 55

[kroyrunner89]

my program, which has been pretty reliable the past month, likes Jacksonville +3 and the Under here. Personally, I feel like I have no handle on how high scoring this game will get so I'm not going to play a total, but I'll probably put a small amount down on the Jaguars in this spot. I think they're going to come out and take care of business, especially with Schaub still out

[Spoon]

@Texans Backers

Just curious... are you not worried about Sage leading this team tonight. I'm still undecided, yet lean to Jax +10 - over 41. If Schaub was playing I would definitley go with the Texans.

Humm... where did all the Texans' backers go? Seriously, I'm curious about your analysis without Matt Schaub. If you're just taking a guess or perhaps flipping a coin that the Texans will win because they are playing on their home chalk I will accept that, but I would just like to know why you lean towards the texans since I'm on Jax.

Thanks in advance!

[JERICHO_JACK]

road teams 10-2 yesterday take jackoffs st8 up

[theboozer]

anyone else like the over 10 for the 1st quarter?

[JGSharpSquire]

Yo. Texans backer here.

I'm not worried about Sage Rosenfels quarterbacking the team at all. Why? Well, let's take a look:

- First off, Sage doesn't have the best TD:INT ratio, but he also has a 68% completion percentage and is averaging about 246 yards per game. Also, his interception total was heavily inflated in large part to his four pick-fest in Week 10 vs the Ravens. Take out that game and his TD:INT ratio is nearly even (4:5).

- Secondly, The Jaguars rushing defense is ranked in the bottom third of the league. The Texans on the other hand have an above average rushing offense and I expect a game plan that will focus heavily on the run. Would I feel better if Ahman Green were still healthy and the team had a better one-two punch if you will? Of course I would. Am I surprised that Ahman Green is injured since I personally tagged him with the middle name of 'fragile' sometime last year? Absolutely not.

- Lastly, this Jacksonville team is not the one we've come to know the past two years. This is in large part to the fact that their defense is a shadow of its former self. They're mediocre against the run, they're mediocre against the pass, and they're actually tied for fourth most TD passes let up in the NFL with 18. Although the Jaguars could technically win their last 5 games, finish at 9-7 and snag a Wild Card, its not going to happen. They're done. They're finished. And while you could say the same thing about the Texans, this game is IN Houston (first M.N.F. game ever for the Texans franchise), the Texans have more to prove than the Jaguars, and I think you have to give the edge to the Texans when taking all of this into account.

Could the Jaguars come out and destroy the Texans 31-3 with Rosenfels throwing three picks and Slaton fumbling the ball a couple times? Sure! This is the NFL, the same NFL where the Browns beat the Giants outright earlier in the season and made me look like an absolute genius since I took them with the money line. So I don't disagree with your sentiments completely, but you called out a Texans backer, so I answered! Good luck!

[guru-t]

Thanks for putting that up JGSharpsquire.I'm a Texans backer tonight and have put basically what you just posted on other threads.I just didn't feel like typing it all again at this point.Lets cash it JG!

[ryanXL977]

there is very little reason to lay money or points on houston other than home field. it just makes no sense to bet large on this team

[Rixsaw]

Texans & Over

[dle]

I took the Under 48.

Crunched some numbers and think it's the best bet by about 4.5 points tonight.

[guru-t]

there is very little reason to lay money or points on houston other than home field. it just makes no sense to bet large on this team

Oh.Believe me,I'm not going to bet large here.Small to medium play for me.I agree,this is a game that choosing to stay away from is a good decision.I just see more reasons to take the Texans here.Other than sytem plays,I haven't heard anything specific from JAGS backers.Like I said,they're both bad teams and this game isn't easy for anybody.Huh.At -3 unless you go different and buy the hook,I wouldn't be surprised if it pushed out.Home field for me is big here.Texans-3.Honestly though,I think the Texans win by DDigits.But RYanXL,you're probably making the right move by passing onit.

[ryanXL977]

yeah, you may be right
hard to know if jax gives a shit. clearly this isnt the team we thought they were

the only reason i like jax, the ONLY one, is sage rosenfels

thats really it. so maybe its a no play
gl

[guru-t]

SAGE.Yea,thats understandable.I'm just hoping Kubiak keeps it simple,but not too simple.He still has got to take some shots downfield,I just hope he chooses the right time.A lot of play action and a lot of Screens with a nice dose of Slaton gets it done IMO.He needs to take his shots from their own 40 and out.I'll shit my pants if he throws intermediate to deep passes deep in their own territory.Thats where Sage becomes the Jags best player.

[JGSharpSquire]

Thanks for putting that up JGSharpsquire.I'm a Texans backer tonight and have put basically what you just posted on other threads.I just didn't feel like typing it all again at this point.Lets cash it JG!

Here here!

[JGSharpSquire]

yeah, you may be right
hard to know if jax gives a shit. clearly this isnt the team we thought they were

the only reason i like jax, the ONLY one, is sage rosenfels

thats really it. so maybe its a no play
gl

I don't get why everyone's so down on Sage. He knows he needs to get Andre Johnson the ball and as long as the Texans can run the ball effectively, he's fine. He definitely can't win ball games by himself at the end of games, but if anybody stacks 8 or 9 in the box to stuff Slaton, he does have the ability to pick some lesser defenses apart with short to mid-range passes.

[ryanXL977]

he is awful
every game he throws picks. he rarely even throws tds
he is a backup. and not a good one

[Spoon]

@JGSharpSquire: Thanks for the insight, partner. I went ahead and teased this one, nevertheless.

Teased
Jacksonville +10.5
Under 56

Initially, I was going to take the over, but too many squares are on it so I decided to tease and make the under look delicious.

GL Everyone!

[guru-t]

Seems to me JG,that alot of the guys still have that monumental collapse against the Colts fresh in their minds.Like I said,I just hope they play smart within their own 30 yrd line as Sage is prone to turning over the ball sometimes.He did play descent at Minn and managed to beat the Browns in Cleveland(I know,thats not saying much),something the Jags couldn't do to the Browns at home.Yes,the Jags did beat the Texans earlier this year by 3 when they were 10pnt favs and still considered to be a SB contender.He also played very well actually against the Colts in INDY a couple of weeks ago.Although I don't think he is great by any means,he hasn't gotten blowed out at all.The Texans have been in every game against tough opponents

[Spoon]

@ryanXL977:

I have read your posts along the way from time to time and it appears we have a smiliar thought process or perhaps use a similar system. As you know, it wins more than we lose.

Normally I would not wager this game since it looks horrible, but it's worth a couple bucks+.

[JGSharpSquire]

he is awful
every game he throws picks. he rarely even throws tds
he is a backup. and not a good one

I'll give you that, but he's surrounded by enough weapons and a complimentary offensive system that he can still put up points. As long as he doesn't have another Colts/Ravens game where he just shits the bed I think the Texans will cover easily.

Although I'm definitely not saying you're wrong. I can totally see why people are staying away from the Texans thanks to Sage. I would too if I were on the Colts a few weeks back like guru just said.

[laxdjock]

Sage needs to keep the mistakes at a minimum. He isn't a bad QB, you just can't rely on him to make plays. I'm hoping that he gets it to AD a bunch this game, and steve slaton gets 20+ carries (both are fantasy players for me....AND I'm going to take the over).

[guru-t]

Correction.Balt blew them out,but that defense does that to alot of teams.

[Rixsaw]

I just went back and look at the boxscore for all Texans games. Every game they lost has Rosenfell name and INT all over it except for the Cleveland game.

[ryanXL977]

ill pass on this game i guess

[ipickwinners]

u all r squares

[guru-t]

u all r squares

I'm a sphere.