Atl at TB and Pitt at cleveland? These seem like slam dunks, but what am I overlooking on these seemingly "easy" bets. Shouldn't both these lines be atleast 7?
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TB has been very good winning 4 straight, Atl still doesn't get the respect that you expect from a 9-1 team. Pittsburgh is using their 3rd string QB. I agree with both of these lines.Comment -
Matt Ryan is going to have a field day against TB and their pathetic secondary. Pitt -1 looks great. Awesome to throw in a big parlayComment -
cleveland is going to win pittsburgh not very good on the road.. especially vs brownsComment -
Charlie Batch is the QB for Pittsburgh. Good luck.
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cleveland is just so bad, and Atl is 9-1 how are they not getting respect?Comment -
browns have played extremely competitive fb throughout the yr,,,cant even think of a gm they have played where they didnt have a chance to win besides the gmen gm (even the nyg gm they came out strong and took it to gmen until they woke up)...young team and havnt figured out how to win but they much better than i think you giving them credit for based off the "cle is just so bad" comment.. that said i like to be catching some points with the brownies and expect steelers and old man batch to find a way to grind out a ugly W, wouldnt bet on it tho as cle winning certainly wouldnt be a shocker....hate totals that low but think they be hard pressed to go over, you gotta go back a ways to find the last time browns put up more than 10 on pit, this a improved cle offense but still lack playmakers on outside and have been miserable cashing in red zone chances...steelers will prob run 45 times and be thrilled to score 17 as that should be enough....
other gm ive felt bucs been underrated all season, last week was one of very few i didnt bet them but they somehow found a way to win that gm,,,sure atl will work over bucs secondary some but on the flip side bucs are so balanced and i think they can dictate tempo with their run gm, we are after all talking about a atl team that has been whipped in the run gm the last few weeks (even the cardinals ran successfully on them) and plenty of times throughout this season, if atl decides to try and take martin away freeman and co be working against a banged up secondary..honestly as talented as falcons are offensively i dont think it a stretch to say bucs every bit as talented if not more so with vjax/williams just a slight downgrade from white and julio (who is gimpy), martin clearly the best back in the gm, for all attention ryan been getting Freeman is playing very good fb himself..i would make this a pk on a neutral field, -3.5 in atl (cant discount their home field), doubt bucs home field worth 3 but id say bucs -2 about where i think it should be...over certainly worth a look, id lean bucs but i think it a toss up and prob comes down to who has the ball last....Comment -
I agree Cleveland is no cake walk, Richardson playing out of his mind and their pass rush is excellent. Batch will be throwing under pressure most of the day, if Cleveland limits the Pitt rushing yards they can easily win one at home against the Steelers hereComment -
easily win 1 and cle should not be in same sentence,, i agree they have chance here but there be nothing easy about it and more than likely they play well but make key mistakes or simply fail to punch scoring chances in and lose a heart breaker....as much as i like cle i gotta have some points to play them, maybe a+1.5 is around and i can tease them to +7.5 where id feel pretty good,,hell a fg and id be tempted...ultimately in a gm i think be a physical grind it out affair i cant have my money on browns pulling it out over a very well coached veteran pit squad....Comment -
Really like these plays
Seattle -3- We all know what is going on with Miami they have regressed tremendously. There is no home field advantage in Miami and the Fins have been a GREAT Fade at home over the past couple of seasons. I just cannot see Tannehill stacking up well against that Seattle D and Seattle has slowly been learning how to put some points on the board. Will Bush have a big enough day to propel Miami to cover/win? Or is it more likely that Lynch will do it for Seattle? I like Sea by a TD
Jaguars +4- I cannot believe I am thinking this but I am liking this bet more and more. Gabbert is awful and Henne is at least providing some sort of a spark but who knows for how long. Blackmon and Shorts are beast and Henne has the goods to get the ball to them down the field and Tenn secondary is awful. I know Titans are off a bye but I do not see that as much of an advantage as it would be for a good team. In fact, Jax keeping it so close to Houston last week should be a major confidence builder for the jags. The wild card is C. Johnson who should have a big day but I really like the 4 points for the Jags at home.
Already bet the O 44 on this game
Carolina -2.5- I know Philly is at home and they are playing to keep jobs and all that noise. No need for a long write up here, the Eagles have almost no chance of getting McCoy back for Monday night, Eagles D is terrible and the QB position is a mess went from one train wreck to another. I will most likely fade Philly for the rest of the year. On this for 2 units
GL All
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the browns are underrated I agree, but they also have a hard time winning. As underrated as they are I still think Pitt is a level above them. They're 2-8 and 5-4-1 ATS and only getting 1 point, so they're not really THAT underrated...Comment -
I like both picks pal.
I also like San Fran -1 against the "aints"Comment -
Sorry but just not buying this over-rated Falcon team. They have had a cush schedule and barely squeeked out home wins vs terrible teams. They have no running game and I think Tampa grounds and pounds their weak run defense and sets up Freeman for the big hit a few times. This is Tampa or nothing for me. GL!Comment -
Freeman sucked against Carolina....if not for the choke at the endComment -
Also Tampa bay has not beaten anyone with a winning record except Minnesota......Comment -
Not saying tampa has but in basically a pick'em game I would side with the home squad that can run the ball. Both teams are smoke and mirrors once Atl gets in the playoffs they will get punked again by a physical football team.Comment -
i like tampa here too. browns pitt could go either way... also like the 49ers.Comment -
any team that loses to the titans is bad. pittsburgh lost to the titans. thats bad.
cleveland wins by a FG or more - won't surprise me. they hung with the ravens recently (late TD called back which cost them the game) and they always seem to hang with teams.Comment -
I'm a Steeler's fan and I can tell you the Steeler's are not all that great. They are maybe a wild card team but not a top team. Also consider they have their third string quarterback playing and Big Ben was a huge part of this team's success. I've seen two power rankings that have the Steelers not even in the top ten. The power rating for the game had Steelers as 4 point favorites, but that is not factoring the QB situation, so I could say this line is about right. Also the Brown's are averaging losing by five points, so not the worst team in the league by far. The Steelers almost got beat by the Chiefs at home. Granted Ben got hurt but he did play half of the game and they were at home. It was pathetic.
Tampa Bay is probably the most underrated team in the league. They are 6-4, and pretty much EVERY single game they could have won, a couple losses came down to final plays. I think even one was a little sketchy that they didn't get the call. I think it was the Saints game if I remember right, and they almost beat N.O. who was coming off a bye. And New Orleans beat Atlanta last week by four points. I've also seen a power ranking line that has Atlanta as the one point favorite so this is probably about right.Comment -
Slim the Dolts +1 are probably my fave pick of the day!Comment -
But most of the public seems to agree with you, I just checked and majority of the bets are on Pitt and Atlanta, not that that matters anymore.Comment -
Cleveland is the play in my opinion. Tampa should also win that game.Comment -
Tampa might be the best bet of the early games anyhowComment -
Be careful with Atlanta... Witherspoon, Samuel, Jerry all dinged up. Their defense as a whole is the walking wounded. They already are giving up something like 5 yds per carry. Also, Julio Jones' ankle is all jacked up. He was limited in practice Thur and Fri and didn't practice all last week. Reaggravated it in the AZ game where he only had 3 catches for 33 yds. Look for Martin and Jackson to have huge days. Over is the only play in this game.Comment -
Tampa is juiced up for you guys so the books make their money after Atlanta wins, lol.Comment
