How often does the spread/line movement really matter ??
Anybody know how often getting a different number actually affected win/loss outcome ?
Sure, "sharps" consistently get the best no. and ofcourse a -3 is mathematically better than a -3.5.
But in many cases, it does not seem to matter.
For example a -10 opener got bet upto -12.5 close to tip off. Is the value really lost all that much on -12.5 ?
Unless its a drastic move like -10 to -18 because of injury report/weather etc. I dont think so.
Moreover, arent books scared of getting middled on any given spread/total ??
Sure, "sharps" consistently get the best no. and ofcourse a -3 is mathematically better than a -3.5.
But in many cases, it does not seem to matter.
For example a -10 opener got bet upto -12.5 close to tip off. Is the value really lost all that much on -12.5 ?
Unless its a drastic move like -10 to -18 because of injury report/weather etc. I dont think so.
Moreover, arent books scared of getting middled on any given spread/total ??