Atlanta/Washington OVER 51.5
Philly +3.5
SF -10
Baltimore -4
TEASER: Green Bay -1/SF -3
Atlanta/Wash over 51.5
I don't like totals but some are too tempting to resist. Matt Ryan isn't as good on the road but how can Washington cover Roddy White/Julio Jones AND Toney Gonzalez. Washington's secondary hasn't covered anybody all year. The totals of washington games have been 72, 59, 69 and 46. I think there is a great shot the over hits. I also like that Atlanta's run defense isn't that great and the Redskins can run the ball. The mobile QB and option game opens things up. This is the underrated part of the bet that is the icing on the cake. Washington will move the ball on offense, keep the chains moving and score.
Eagles +3.5
I predicted Philly AND the Steelers to under perform this year. I think people think the Steelers are DUE for a win and that the public remembers what happened in Arizona. Look, neither team is that good. Philly is a live dog getting more than a FG. Forget the Steelers record. If I told you that you are getting a live dog +3.5 would you like it? Yes you would. More than 50% of the time you win this game. Same idea in the SD/NO game but I think this has a greater chance of hitting.
SF -10
When most people think of blowouts they think of offense related blowouts. Defenses can lead to short field position and lots of scoring for the dominant team. The 49ers are well coached on offense and have a great D. The D is even better at home. I'm very confident they win by more than 10.
Ravens -4
The Ravens are clearly the better team here but they have a history of showing up flat on the road against crappy teams. Think of seattle last year. I am not going to be scared off by this. They are a much better team and Ray Lewis is in maybe his last year. They are well coached and you just can't be afraid of them showing up flat. They clearly outmatch the Chiefs, Romo Crennell and Matt Cassell.
Philly +3.5
SF -10
Baltimore -4
TEASER: Green Bay -1/SF -3
Atlanta/Wash over 51.5
I don't like totals but some are too tempting to resist. Matt Ryan isn't as good on the road but how can Washington cover Roddy White/Julio Jones AND Toney Gonzalez. Washington's secondary hasn't covered anybody all year. The totals of washington games have been 72, 59, 69 and 46. I think there is a great shot the over hits. I also like that Atlanta's run defense isn't that great and the Redskins can run the ball. The mobile QB and option game opens things up. This is the underrated part of the bet that is the icing on the cake. Washington will move the ball on offense, keep the chains moving and score.
Eagles +3.5
I predicted Philly AND the Steelers to under perform this year. I think people think the Steelers are DUE for a win and that the public remembers what happened in Arizona. Look, neither team is that good. Philly is a live dog getting more than a FG. Forget the Steelers record. If I told you that you are getting a live dog +3.5 would you like it? Yes you would. More than 50% of the time you win this game. Same idea in the SD/NO game but I think this has a greater chance of hitting.
SF -10
When most people think of blowouts they think of offense related blowouts. Defenses can lead to short field position and lots of scoring for the dominant team. The 49ers are well coached on offense and have a great D. The D is even better at home. I'm very confident they win by more than 10.
Ravens -4
The Ravens are clearly the better team here but they have a history of showing up flat on the road against crappy teams. Think of seattle last year. I am not going to be scared off by this. They are a much better team and Ray Lewis is in maybe his last year. They are well coached and you just can't be afraid of them showing up flat. They clearly outmatch the Chiefs, Romo Crennell and Matt Cassell.