Thursday's leans

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Thursday's leans
    Got hammered on Wednesday to end a pretty nice week-long run. Lost big with Robert Morris and Seton Hall.

    Iowa +2 vs. Illinois
    Northwestern -2.5 vs. Minnesota
    UConn +7 vs. Syracuse
    Kansas State +2 vs. Baylor
    Iowa State +1 vs. Texas
    Cincinnati +3 vs. Georgetown
    Louisiana Tech +4 vs. Utah State
    Marquette -1 (projected) vs. Louisville

    BOL to everyone. Big card.
  • Frisco
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-27-12
    • 6138

    #2
    I'm leaning on Minny. Think i might take them on the ML
    Comment
    • PickWinnerAllDay
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-31-11
      • 12722

      #3
      Iowa they've lost 7 in a row to Illini for a reason. Little brother syndrome.
      Comment
      • chinoloco212
        SBR MVP
        • 03-24-11
        • 1095

        #4
        UCONN all the way i really wanto pound as stupid as that sounds lol
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
          Iowa they've lost 7 in a row to Illini for a reason. Little brother syndrome.
          You really have no idea how dysfunctional your Illini are, do you?

          The line is only 2 for a reason.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by chinoloco212
            UCONN all the way i really wanto pound as stupid as that sounds lol
            Yeah me too chino. But this BE Tournament has me spooked. Faves have covered literally every single game. Crazy. Public feeding frenzy.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by Frisco
              I'm leaning on Minny. Think i might take them on the ML
              Northwestern probably won't get in if they lose. I really think the NCAA wants them in the field this year. They'll beat Minnesota and solidify their spot.
              Comment
              • PickWinnerAllDay
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-31-11
                • 12722

                #8
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                You really have no idea how dysfunctional your Illini are, do you?

                The line is only 2 for a reason.
                I think they've been doing the BTT for 14 years... Illinois has the best record in the BTT in that frame. Slightly better winning percentage than 2nd place Ohio State.

                Obviously a bad team this year by Illinois standards but the year Illinois was 13-18 they won 3 and got to the championship game.
                Comment
                • Frisco
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-27-12
                  • 6138

                  #9
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  Northwestern probably won't get in if they lose. I really think the NCAA wants them in the field this year. They'll beat Minnesota and solidify their spot.
                  Yea hat is the only thing i fear. But i think Minny is the better team on a neutral court
                  Comment
                  • PickWinnerAllDay
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-31-11
                    • 12722

                    #10
                    As I pointed out when I got hit on Iowa +7 last week, Illinois played very poorly at home against Iowa (19 turnovers) and still won by 11. That is scary for Iowa here, don't you think? What if Illinois plays well? 30 point win. If Illinois plays poorly, that just ensures it will be close.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Adding:

                      Virginia Tech +2.5 vs. Clemson
                      Comment
                      • Mr. Doughnut
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-16-11
                        • 690

                        #12
                        Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                        I think they've been doing the BTT for 14 years... Illinois has the best record in the BTT in that frame. Slightly better winning percentage than 2nd place Ohio State.

                        Obviously a bad team this year by Illinois standards but the year Illinois was 13-18 they won 3 and got to the championship game.
                        What does Illinois' past performance in the B1G tourney have to do with this year? You are exceptionally delusional. I'll pray for you tomorrow since I'm guessing you'll drop a load on Illinois (in more ways than one)
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Frisco
                          Yea hat is the only thing i fear. But i think Minny is the better team on a neutral court
                          Not that it matters much, but creampuff Sampson III is out -- did you see that?
                          Comment
                          • PickWinnerAllDay
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-31-11
                            • 12722

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Mr. Doughnut
                            What does Illinois' past performance in the B1G tourney have to do with this year? You are exceptionally delusional. I'll pray for you tomorrow since I'm guessing you'll drop a load on Illinois (in more ways than one)
                            I think coaching is pretty big in the tournament. For whatever reason, Weber's teams have played better in the BTT than they did in the regular season generally speaking. Dont' know why, but considering Leonard and Paul both have NBA hopes, it'll help they'll be focused with plenty of NBA scouts on hand tomorrow.
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #15
                              Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                              I think they've been doing the BTT for 14 years... Illinois has the best record in the BTT in that frame. Slightly better winning percentage than 2nd place Ohio State.

                              Obviously a bad team this year by Illinois standards but the year Illinois was 13-18 they won 3 and got to the championship game.
                              Who cares? This is the most back-asswards Illinois team in forever. Weber will be put out of his misery soon; Hawks might just finish him off tomorrow.
                              Comment
                              • PickWinnerAllDay
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-31-11
                                • 12722

                                #16
                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                Who cares? This is the most back-asswards Illinois team in forever. Weber will be put out of his misery soon; Hawks might just finish him off tomorrow.
                                The 13-18 team was a little worse.

                                I like knowing that Leonard will abuse Iowa for 20 and 10 tomorrow, but good luck on Iowa. Gatens was 5-6 from 3 against Illinois last week and they still lost by 11. Better hope he goes 13-14.
                                Comment
                                • Mr. Doughnut
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-16-11
                                  • 690

                                  #17
                                  If you think Illinois playing well equates to a 30 point win on a neutral court over ANYONE then you are more delusional than I initially believed.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                                    The 13-18 team was a little worse.

                                    I like knowing that Leonard will abuse Iowa for 20 and 10 tomorrow, but good luck on Iowa. Gatens was 5-6 from 3 against Illinois last week and they still lost by 11. Better hope he goes 13-14.
                                    We'll see.
                                    Comment
                                    • PickWinnerAllDay
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-31-11
                                      • 12722

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Mr. Doughnut
                                      If you think Illinois playing well equates to a 30 point win on a neutral court over ANYONE then you are more delusional than I initially believed.
                                      lol the point is they won by 11 playing poorly and with Iowa's best shooter having a great game. Not a good sign for Iowa, all I'm saying.
                                      Comment
                                      • MJT1212
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-16-09
                                        • 5124

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        Adding:

                                        Virginia Tech +2.5 vs. Clemson

                                        ACC is my number one followed conference, since I've lived in NC my whole life, and I agree with this play.
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #21
                                          Iowa's getting juiced pretty hard at Pinny right now.

                                          I'll probably just pass there and roll with UConn small early on.
                                          Comment
                                          • PickWinnerAllDay
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-31-11
                                            • 12722

                                            #22
                                            Good call. Brandon Paul goes off for 25 and Illinois wins by 10.
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                                              Good call. Brandon Paul goes off for 25 and Illinois wins by 10.
                                              There is zero reason for Illinois to not be at least -3 in this spot, if not -4.

                                              I still think the line is low for a reason. Like I said, we'll see.
                                              Comment
                                              • PickWinnerAllDay
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-31-11
                                                • 12722

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                There is zero reason for Illinois to not be at least -3 in this spot, if not -4.

                                                I still think the line is low for a reason. Like I said, we'll see.
                                                I see it a different way though. Iowa did finish 2 games ahead in the Big 10 standings than Illinois. I think the line is -2 for that very reason.

                                                After being in Mandalay a lot the last month, and listening to the casual bettor talk, you'd be amazed how many people bet almost exclusively on records.

                                                I heard this guy saying to his friend to go Harvard big because Columbia was only .500.
                                                Comment
                                                • greenhippo
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-15-12
                                                  • 9091

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                  Got hammered on Wednesday to end a pretty nice week-long run. Lost big with Robert Morris and Seton Hall.

                                                  Iowa +2 vs. Illinois
                                                  Northwestern -2.5 vs. Minnesota
                                                  UConn +7 vs. Syracuse
                                                  Kansas State +2 vs. Baylor
                                                  Iowa State +1 vs. Texas
                                                  Cincinnati +3 vs. Georgetown
                                                  Louisiana Tech +4 vs. Utah State
                                                  Marquette -1 (projected) vs. Louisville

                                                  BOL to everyone. Big card.
                                                  I'm all over every one of these, time to turn the corner. No Coin was a big 1.7U winner Monday, a slightly over 1U loser on Tuesday plus down 13U on Wednesday. That week long run consisted of his final 3 days (almost half the week) at -12.?U. Most people lose that in a day or so from what I understand, but No Coin paces himself, makes those losses add up over time, not all at once. Time to take it to the bank!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SASH
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-09-11
                                                    • 3200

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                    Got hammered on Wednesday to end a pretty nice week-long run. Lost big with Robert Morris and Seton Hall.

                                                    Iowa +2 vs. Illinois
                                                    Northwestern -2.5 vs. Minnesota
                                                    UConn +7 vs. Syracuse
                                                    Kansas State +2 vs. Baylor
                                                    Iowa State +1 vs. Texas
                                                    Cincinnati +3 vs. Georgetown
                                                    Louisiana Tech +4 vs. Utah State
                                                    Marquette -1 (projected) vs. Louisville

                                                    BOL to everyone. Big card.
                                                    If Marqutte is -1 vs Louisville Im pounding the crap out of marquette. I see it being more along the lines of -4.5 (but it really should be 5.5 or 6)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PickWinnerAllDay
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 08-31-11
                                                      • 12722

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by SASH
                                                      If Marqutte is -1 vs Louisville Im pounding the crap out of marquette. I see it being more along the lines of -4.5 (but it really should be 5.5 or 6)
                                                      line will be -3.5
                                                      Comment
                                                      • chinoloco212
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-24-11
                                                        • 1095

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                        Iowa's getting juiced pretty hard at Pinny right now.

                                                        I'll probably just pass there and roll with UConn small early on.
                                                        passing on iowa but rolling with uconn LARGE! bol
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ezmoney
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-26-09
                                                          • 1564

                                                          #29
                                                          What happened to the BAYLOR bandwagon?

                                                          Going with the BEARS -2 due to rebounding advantage, better road record, more offense.
                                                          Another down to the buzzer game.

                                                          Like your Northwestern and Iowa State plays HUGE!

                                                          EZ
                                                          Comment
                                                          • k13
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-16-10
                                                            • 18104

                                                            #30
                                                            don't argue with homers......
                                                            Comment
                                                            • iceaxe56
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 11-26-09
                                                              • 325

                                                              #31
                                                              sryacuse---the garden--uconn tired after overtime to a slouchy wv team--do the math--orange by 12
                                                              Comment
                                                              • PickWinnerAllDay
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-31-11
                                                                • 12722

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by k13
                                                                don't argue with homers......
                                                                I felt the same way when you thought the 49ers were great.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by greenhippo
                                                                  I'm all over every one of these, time to turn the corner. No Coin was a big 1.7U winner Monday, a slightly over 1U loser on Tuesday plus down 13U on Wednesday. That week long run consisted of his final 3 days (almost half the week) at -12.?U. Most people lose that in a day or so from what I understand, but No Coin paces himself, makes those losses add up over time, not all at once. Time to take it to the bank!
                                                                  Like how you conveniently leave out last week.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • k13
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 07-16-10
                                                                    • 18104

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                                                                    I felt the same way when you thought the 49ers were great.
                                                                    And they are not?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Iowa/Illinois 1H over 61 (1U)
                                                                      Comment
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