Georgetown -6 & Ok St +9.5 = plays for today

rjp322 · 02-27-12, 11:08 AM

I havent looked at the OK KU matchup yet but I like the Georgetown pick as I will probably be on it myself. ND sucks right now

csknight3 · 02-27-12, 11:41 AM

"ND Sucks Right Now" Agreed. They are like Texas, always too much value just because of their name. Now throw a ranking by their name = double inflation.

Im kicking myself right now as the Ok St ML has gone to +420 on 5dimes. Oh well, dont actually think they will win SU so Im not throwing any more money on it.

MeatWad · 02-27-12, 01:32 PM

Their home form has been soo much better than their road form in conference play. They are 5-2 at home in conference with wins over Mizzou, Texas, and Iowa st and have only lost by 4 and 8 pts at home, never losing by more than tonights spread of 9.5.

They lost by 15 pts at Kansas 2 weeks ago, but they have been particularly good in conference rematches in Stillwater. Losing to by 15 at Tex A&M, then beating them by 18 in Stillwater, lost by 3 at Iowa St then won by 2 in the rematch at home, losing by 9 to Texas, then beating them by 12 at home. Even when they lost by 41 to Baylor, a team stylistically they don't match up with well, they played them much closer at home losing by only by 4 in the rematch. This is a huge and consistent trend of not only playing much better at home, but rebounding and playing at home extremely well against teams in home rematches.

Kansas, on the other hand, plays much better at home. In their last 6 conference road games, they are 4-2, wining only one game by over 9.5. A slight letdown is possible after their big comeback and overtime win vs Mizzou on Saturday.

To add to the motivation for Oklahoma St., it will be senior night there. The game has primetime billing on ESPN, which should motivate them more, as it is a rare national spotlight opportunity, something Kansas is more jaded to. It will be their last home game for their leading scorer and big time 3 pt shooter Keiton Page. I expect a loud crowd on national TV, on Senior night against a team who gets most of the attention in their conference.

TailMe · 02-27-12, 01:37 PM

Originally posted by MeatWad

I pounded Ok St. Their home form has been soo much better than their road form in conference play. They are 5-2 at home in conference with wins over Mizzou, Texas, and Iowa st and have only lost by 4 and 8 pts at home, never over tonights spread.

They lost by 15 pts at Kansas 2 weeks ago, but they have been particularly good in conference rematches in Stillwater. Losing to by 15 at Tex A&M, then beating them 18 in Stillwater, lost by 3 at Iowa St then won by 2 in the rematch at home, losing by 9 to Texas, then beating them by 12 at home. Even when they lost by 41 to Baylor, a team stylistically they don't match up with well, they played them much closer at home losing by only by 4 in the rematch.

Kansas, on the other hand, plays much better at home. In their last 6 conference road games, they are 4-2, wining only one game by over 9.5. A slight letdown is possible after their big comeback and overtime win vs Mizzou on Saturday.

To add to the motivation for Oklahoma St., it will be senior night there. The game has primetime billing on ESPN, which should motivate them more, as it is a rare national spotlight opportunity, something Kansas is more jaded to. It will be their last home game for their leading scorer and big time 3 pt shooter Keiton Page. I expect a loud crowd on national TV, on Senior night against a team who gets most of the attention in their conference.

Very nice write-up Meatwad. I like the points you made and I agree with all of them. Oklahoma State plays extremely well at home and another thing to add is that Kansas is coming off an emotional win over Missouri and also went into OT only two days ago. I wonder how much energy Kansas is going to have in this game especially after knowing that they won by 15 earlier. I see Kansas coming out slow and expecting it to be a walk in the park. OKSU will think otherwise and could pull off an upset at home in Stillwater. I'm on them for +9.5, BOL.