Cinncy +2.5, Why???

BigDofBA · 02-26-12, 10:24 AM

No. The only reason they are a slight dog is because it's a road game.

It should be tight. Cincy is the better team but USF is at home.

I would take Cincy.

abovepar · 02-26-12, 10:25 AM

Usf has a good conference home record. The under is low as well so it's expected to be defensive battle. Home teams play well in these games with the energy from the crowd. I still believe cinci is the better team by 4.

BigDofBA · 02-26-12, 10:27 AM

It seems like home favorites of -2 or -1 don't cover the majority of the time.

Basically, this line is telling me Cincy would be favored at home and on a neutral court. The only reason USF is favored is because they are home.

It could very well come down to a final shot. I'm taking the two points.

Also, there are already people on this forum that love USF. That is another great reason to take Cincy!

tdforte22 · 02-26-12, 10:37 AM

Nab FSU +1.5

Play of the day in my book

hustlehard617 · 02-26-12, 10:40 AM

line is now USF -3

HoulihansTX · 02-26-12, 10:43 AM

USF is an awesome home team.

YaMotha · 02-26-12, 10:44 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

USF is an awesome home team.

That the are. I like the 1st half under 54.5

NEOHsports4life · 02-26-12, 11:00 AM

Just alittle FYI info; USF has not played since Wed., Cincy thurs., i see alot of missed shots, definately leaning towards the under.

TailMe · 02-26-12, 11:04 AM

Originally posted by YaMotha

That the are. I like the 1st half under 54.5

That's such a low total for the first half, you really see it being that low scoring?

agarcia · 02-26-12, 11:12 AM

I like the under for the 1H also . USF doesn't really score a lot of points they play good defense and last time they played was 4 days ago there gonna be rusty.

BigDofBA · 02-26-12, 11:20 AM

OK. Now that USF is -3, Cincy is a no play imo.

As for the total, I think this goes over. Everytime I bet an obvious under with USF, it goes way over. I watched this team earlier in the year and they would score like 2 points every 5 minutes and then when I started taking the under, they lit it up from three point land.

As for the total being set low, the first half total of the USC/ASU game was set at 52 and it went over by 10.

PharaohUB · 02-26-12, 11:24 AM

USF hasn't really played anyone at home. Best win was 15-13 Pittsburgh. Decent team but I don't think Cinci would have problem with them at home, since they took them down on the road. I'll take Cinci here. Have a few quality road wins... GTown, Pitt, Uconn, Took WVU to OT. I've seen both teams play recently and I think Cinci has the edge. Not going to overthink this one. The line movement I'm going to attribute to everyone love USF home record. Cinci just needs to hit a few three's early and USF doesn't have firepower to make the comeback.

BigDofBA · 02-26-12, 11:25 AM

Originally posted by PharaohUB

USF hasn't really played anyone at home. Best win was 15-13 Pittsburgh. Decent team but I don't think Cinci would have problem with them at home, since they took them down on the road. I'll take Cinci here. Have a few quality road wins... GTown, Pitt, Uconn, Took WVU to OT. I've seen both teams play recently and I think Cinci has the edge. Not going to overthink this one. The line movement I'm going to attribute to everyone love USF home record. Cinci just needs to hit a few three's early and USF doesn't have firepower to make the comeback.

Yeah, there is no way I would back USF. If I played the game I would take Cincy.

PharaohUB · 02-26-12, 11:25 AM

-3.5 I'm officially scared off this bet. What am I missing here. Does Cinci have nothing to play for?

agharah1 · 02-26-12, 11:30 AM

Cinci's RPI is in the 70s because of their terrible nonconference schedule. South Florida's is in the Top 50 but barely, thanks to losses to teams like Auburn and Penn State. Both teams are tied in the loss column with Georgetown, meaning they're fighting for that sweet, sweet, Big East Tournament double-bye.

As for 54.5 being a low 1h number, MSU and Nebraska played a 25-17 first half last night. MSU won by 28.

hustlehard617 · 02-26-12, 11:33 AM

where do you see 3.5

TailMe · 02-26-12, 11:35 AM

USF average score for the 1H: 27.3
USF average score for the 1H @ home: 30.6
USF's opponent average score for the 1H: 25.3

Cincinnati average score for the 1H: 33.6
Cincinnati average score for the 1H away: 31.5
Cincinnati's opponents average score for the 1H: 27.4

I'm going with the over and can see this going into the 60's, BOL.

og4667 · 02-26-12, 11:35 AM

lean cincy, but tough call possible letdown for bearcats from win over louisville

YaMotha · 02-26-12, 11:37 AM

Originally posted by TailMe

That's such a low total for the first half, you really see it being that low scoring?

The last 6 games the bulls have allowed 23 to Gtown who shot 50%, 23 to Pitt who shot 37%, 21 to Providence who shot 31%, 20 to Nova who shot 30%, 27 to Pitt who shot 35% , and 24 to Syracuse who shot 35%.

And we cannot forget that USF can't throw the ball into the ocean at many times. Team is not offensively sound what's so ever.

BiGTonyHAHA · 02-26-12, 11:50 AM

cincy is already basically in the tourney after beating louy. I think this is more of a game for them to work out kinks in there d after giving up 90 to marquette. in addition to that cincy has a game against marquette coming up i think they are lookiong aheead to exact some revenge.

BigDofBA · 02-26-12, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by TailMe

USF average score for the 1H: 27.3 USF average score for the 1H @ home: 30.6 USF's opponent average score for the 1H: 25.3 Cincinnati average score for the 1H: 33.6 Cincinnati average score for the 1H away: 31.5 Cincinnati's opponents average score for the 1H: 27.4 I'm going with the over and can see this going into the 60's, BOL.

I like the over as well.

RonPaul2008 · 02-26-12, 12:34 PM

Usf -2.5

agarcia · 02-26-12, 12:37 PM

The under for the first half has a chance to hit

agarcia · 02-26-12, 12:40 PM

Took Cincy + 4 bought a point Cincy starting to pick it up they need to some how find a way to get some transition points

RonPaul2008 · 02-26-12, 12:40 PM

F*cking USF, from up 6 to down 3. Was hoping to get a nice middle at the half with my USF -2.5
I'd be thrilled if USF could win the 1st half by 3 so I can middle with +4.

NEOHsports4life · 02-26-12, 12:43 PM

Look back at the reviews and when these two teams last play. My lean and play of the under was the correct play. Not a whole lot of scoring. Alot of missed shots, shows that USF not up to the challenge offensively.

HoulihansTX · 02-26-12, 12:44 PM

USF guard play is horrific

RonPaul2008 · 02-26-12, 12:47 PM

Tied with last shot coming....how about a 3?

YaMotha · 02-26-12, 12:47 PM

Good play. Cincy shot terrible!

RonPaul2008 · 02-26-12, 12:47 PM

Up 2...i'll take it, but not enough to get a nice middle...2nd half line will be 1 with a tilt or 1.5
Guess i'll just hold onto my -2.5 and pray.

jjesco425 · 02-26-12, 12:48 PM

Originally posted by BiGTonyHAHA

cincy is already basically in the tourney after beating louy. I think this is more of a game for them to work out kinks in there d after giving up 90 to marquette. in addition to that cincy has a game against marquette coming up i think they are lookiong aheead to exact some revenge.

totally disagree in a bad year for the big east you really think 6 or 7 teams gonna make it and with a week non conference schedule they are a total bubble... they need this game too boost there chances in a big way

agarcia · 02-26-12, 12:49 PM

Cincy needs to stop over thinking everything and just put the ball up.

YaMotha · 02-26-12, 12:50 PM

2nd half USF -1 O/U - 65

TailMe · 02-26-12, 12:51 PM

The under for the 1H was the winner, good call. Cincy shot horrible and right from the start.