A ranked team +8.5 v. an unranked team?

[cleaveland]

#16 San Diego State +8.5 at New Mexico? Is this unprecedented? I've seen ranked teams as like 4-5 point dogs to unranked teams, but 8.5? Is this history in the making?

[BernardMadoff]

Line doesnt make sense.

[lite1up]

makes very little sense....almost think New Mexico has to be the play.

[ebbearsfb1]

Is new mexico home? Hope its as easy as kansas yesterday

[lite1up]

Is new mexico home? Hope its as easy as kansas yesterday

Yeah, and New Mexico is one of the toughest places to play in the country. Still a strange line though.

Unranked team favored over ranked team usually means the unranked team covers.

[southpaw74]

Yeah, and New Mexico is one of the toughest places to play in the country. Still a strange line though.

Unranked team favored over ranked team usually means the unranked team covers.

I always hear and think about that rule butnI never hear the stats. I wonder what that record actually is

[lite1up]

I always hear and think about that rule butnI never hear the stats. I wonder what that record actually is

Yeah, I'm not sure but I know it's worked in the few instances it has applied this season (UVA vs. Michigan, and I remember there being at least one other time).

For what it's worth, Kenpom has New Mexico ranked 18th and San Diego State 70th.

[HoulihansTX]

I always hear and think about that rule butnI never hear the stats. I wonder what that record actually is

The reason its tough to play there is b/c of Albequerqe's elevation.

[lite1up]

The reason its tough to play there is b/c of Albequerqe's elevation.

He was referring to unranked favorites covering versus ranked dogs.

But yes, New Mexico is tough at home for largely the same reason Denver is (altitude).

[alexn]

He was referring to unranked favorites covering versus ranked dogs.

But yes, New Mexico is tough at home for largely the same reason Denver is (altitude).

Apparently not tough enough for the Aztecs who have won 4 of their last 6 meetings at The Pit

[HoulihansTX]

Over

[thebestthereis]

The Pit

[dotheopposite]

Before you bet this one, I would just watch the line movement as the day progress..Right now everyone taking SDST but if the line move up giving them more points, then you know its a trap

[lite1up]

Before you bet this one, I would just watch the line movement as the day progress..Right now everyone taking SDST but if the line move up giving them more points, then you know its a trap

I think New Mexico is the play for the same reason Kansas was...IMO. I'm going to wait and see who Lang is on...San Diego State +8.5 has Lang written all over it in this spot. "No ranked team should be getting 8.5 points against an unranked team. Not today. Not ever"

[dotheopposite]

The Line movement on the Baylor/Kansas game did exactly what I mentioned..everyone was taking Baylor points then the line moved and was giving baylor more points..creating a draw to bet on baylor..So I knew then I was going opposite...

[Ambition]

The line moved to +9 now, NM or no play.

[dotheopposite]

That is confirmed..New Mexico looks like the play..

[Ambition]

Yeah agreed. I made a small play on NM just because of this line movement.

[Ambition]

Now it's -10.5!

[cleaveland]

Now it's -10.5!

This has to be history in the making, double digit dog.

[naslax13]

I'm on new mexico.. is there any injuries here, its a bit of a dramatic point move

[GatorTD]

SDSU           NM
15-2    RECORD        15-2
74.8     PTS FOR        75.4
62.2    PTS AGNST    58.0
12.6     DIFF.        17.4
27.5    DEF. REBOUNDS     26.7
11.4    OFF. REBOUNDS    11.7
46.9    FG%         46.8
65.7     FT%        71.4
6.1     3 POINTERS    7.7

These teams dont look all that different.. NM even looks better in afew catagories. Vegas is trying to screw people royally by taking the ranked team.

Oh and this from ESPN...

San Diego State held usually high-scoring UNLV to a season-low 35.3 percent from the field and Jamaal Franklin scored 24 points -- including the game-winning layup with three-tenths of a second remaining to defeat the then-No. 12 Runnin' Rebels 69-67. Franklin sat out the previous possession after twisting his right ankle late in the game and the injury could hinder him in this one.

[naslax13]

thats what everyones missing . franklin is their guy. he's hurt

[Jago2008]

is everyone forgetting about Chase Tapley. No c'mon this line is ridiculous. I'm from San Diego, you're talking about 10+ points, there is so much "over" hype for the Lobos its borderline stupidity. These two teams last few years have not lost by a margin of more than 10. If you can grab SDST 10.5 or even 11, that is the play, otherwise stay away.

San Diego State has won a nation-best 55 consecutive games against teams not ranked in the coaches' top 25 poll at game time.
San Diego State has won 35 consecutive games as a top 25 AP team against teams that are unranked at game time (SDSU is 35-0 in program history).
San Diego State has won three straight games against New Mexico.

[alexn]

thats what everyones missing . franklin is their guy. he's hurt

That is the perception but if you saw how he came back the very next play and hit the game winner you would agree with me that he's not as hurt as he's perceived to be. I think Vegas thinks he is based on the media perception and factored it into the line.

Franklin will get his 20 points today.

[Letsgobows]

I got SD St. at +10.5 and couldn't believe it. Gunning for them and UNLV to cover to help me finish 4 units on top today

[Ambition]

Congrats to whoever had SDSU! I totally read this line movement wrong.

[BernardMadoff]

Figured this line was way off, glad I was able to put down on spread and moneyline at halftime on SDSU.

[dotheopposite]

wow. Nice they took care of biz 2nite

[BettingWizard]

classic reverse trap

[caseyman011]

Yeah, there was something really, really wrong with both the initial spread and the fact that obviously big money was on UNM. Rarely see both being so significantly wrong.

[Ambition]

Who would of thought this line would have been so off, literally the complete opposite.

NM should have been +10.5.

[Jago2008]

is everyone forgetting about Chase Tapley. No c'mon this line is ridiculous. I'm from San Diego, you're talking about 10+ points, there is so much "over" hype for the Lobos its borderline stupidity. These two teams last few years have not lost by a margin of more than 10. If you can grab SDST 10.5 or even 11, that is the play, otherwise stay away.

San Diego State has won a nation-best 55 consecutive games against teams not ranked in the coaches' top 25 poll at game time.
San Diego State has won 35 consecutive games as a top 25 AP team against teams that are unranked at game time (SDSU is 35-0 in program history).
San Diego State has won three straight games against New Mexico.

[thfootball]

this line was very high, i've played this unranked/against ranked, and it only worked for me once so far. A couple other times it didn't Hearsay says there is a 80% chance of the unranked winning, so if anyone has more insight into I'd like to read more on it.