(started spreadsheet at $5000 to make it easier to see my net)
Duquesne +9.5
Arizona Wildcats are OVER-rated this season, being ranked 16th after losing their 2 best players from last years team. Not one of their returning players avg'd more than 8ppg LY.
Duquesne led the nation in steals and turnover margin, therefor you would think this would be a problem for a young Wildcats team. This should be a tight game as Duq has a uptempo pace and could even give them a chance to win outright. So I believe the spread should reflect more of a 3 possession type number (5-6 points)
Lehigh +13
I don't see Lehigh being intimidated / playing scared in this one. St Johns looked horrible in the 1st half of the last game and had a big run in the 2nd half to cover and win monday. I was not impressed with St Johns and their short bench. Lehigh returns alot of talent from last yr. Lehigh plays good interior defense which is the reason in my opinion was how St johns was able to make the comeback on monday. (they owned the glass in the 2nd half and the inside play)
Lehigh got to the line a ton last year and shot 75% from there as a team. Just looks like to many points to me.
Miss st - 8.5
I played against Miss st monday and had a nice winner on a cover. I think Miss st will benefit from having a game under their belt. Akron was a good team last year but did lose key perimeter players.
I believe monday's game of miss st not covering the big number keeps this line low (to low) so just taking advantage of what I believe is a off line. I would think miss st at home with a game under their belt should be laying 13ish.
I wont bother saying my reasoning for the ducks as this is a NCAA b-ball thread
Interested is seeing your guys thoughts
thx and good luck
Kold