Sonny,Bean,Buck and Ayo's Hoops thread

[barnstorm]

Ayo went 13-13 for the first week of the NCAA Tourney. Down the juice of $81.

[barnstorm]

Final Regular Season Grind for Ayo

305-291-7 (51.2%)

+ 2.5 units, or $259 on the season.

Classic grind.

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Bad last day. 0-3. Had a decent Conference Tourney run, but crashed at the end, 4-11.

Will total up the regular season in a bit.

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4-7.75 Saturday. Down 3.75 units.

Tough loss late last night as Utah Valley missed a dunk at the buzzer that would have forced OT and kept their hopes to go dancing alive. Guy could have just dropped the ball into the bucket, but hit it off the back of the rim. Poor kid will have to live with that one forever. At least he's not a Senior. He is a sophomore who can come back and maybe make up for it.

[barnstorm]

5-3 Friday but St. Joe's pick was for $500 at -148, so up +3.37 units! Total up 4.37 units Friday.

Two games won by a half a point. Utah Valley -8.5 blew a mid-2H 16 point lead to lose the cover.

More Conference Tournament picks today. GLTA!

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5-1 Thursday! More Conference Tournament picks today. GLTA!

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4-6 yesterday. More Conference Tournament picks today. GLTA!

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Nice 5-1 day for Ayo. I picked a good day to get back on the Ayo Train. I think he is back to picking teams and not just trying to grab a point here and there. That was for the long haul season. Now it is Tourney time. Time to pick winners.

[Hooverboy]

thx

[barnstorm]

I think many or some of his bets are just on early lines where he finds an extra point at one of these funky U.S. books that are slow to move their line in the early going. Not sure he even has a feel on those games. He's just taking the free point on many games over the course of the season and figuring it will result in a positive profit. I don't want to tail him on those if he doesn't really have a conviction on the team and is just taking the extra point. And I usually can't get that extra point he is getting.

[barnstorm]

Down 3 units for the past week and down about 3.5 units for the season.
282-274 for the season, and then minus the juice.

[barnstorm]

Yeah, Ayo was hot recently, then cold again, and is now dead even on the season.

Up .25 units. 256-250 for the college hoops season.

[grounds250]

2-7 last couple days. All over with bets now, full games, then half time games, and now moneylines. Throwing darts at the board now. Hopefully he gets hot over next few weeks.

[matt711]

He is hot last 5 days, 4 or 5 dogs on moneyline included

[barnstorm]

Bummer. Ayo dropped into the red this week. Now down 7 units for the College Basketball season. The new year is often not as profitable for him.

Down 7 units. Still more wins than losses at 220-214, or 50.6%, but that juice eats up the profits.

[barnstorm]

Ayo losing ground a bit. He usually slumps in the new year and towards the close. Let's see if he can buck the trend this year.

Only up 4.5 units now. 203-187 or 52%

I haven't been tailing him or doing any wagering on my own.
It's hard to tail him because he puts most of his bets in pretty early.
I think many of his bets are just on early lines where he finds an extra point at one of the U.S. books that is slow to move their line in the early going. Not sure he even has a feel on those games. He's just taking the free point on many games over the course of the season and figuring it will result in a positive profit.

[matt711]

Thanks Barnstorm, grinding for $$$

[barnstorm]

Decent run the last couple of weeks. Ayo's grinding and is now up just under 20 units for the season.
155-128-3. (54.8%)
Up 19.87 units.

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Roller coaster as of late. Cold streak and hot streak cancelling each other out.

118-100, up 13 units after subtracting the juice, after the weekend games.

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Heading into today's Saturday slate, Ayo is 103-85-2. Up 14 units. Nice.

[matt711]

Yes , very consistent so far!

[barnstorm]

Ayo on a nice run. After three weeks of College Hoops ending yesterday, Sunday the 23rd, he is 60-47-2, up 10 units!

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Ayo heating up. 13-3 in Week 2 going into the Saturday slate. 37-34, even after you subtract the juice. Nice comeback.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

GL, guys. Hope you can pick off some good #s.

[barnstorm]

Ayo is 7-3 so far in Week 2, so getting back on his feet. He really does seem to be just grabbing some soft lines early, maybe without any conviction on the game himself. I guess if you can grab a soft line that is 1 to 1.5 points off the sharp line, it is worth betting that all season and you should come out ahead. But I cannot usually find that line available by the time he posts it, so it can be hazardous to tail all of his plays that way.

[barnstorm]

24-31 and already down 10 units to open up the first week of College Hoops. Hmm? Ayo seems to be using a different secret sauce these last couple of years. It feels like he is tailing someone else, or trying to tail some sharps? Or maybe he is just grabbing what look like weak or outlier lines at the various U.S. Books and not really analyzing the games themselves.

[barnstorm]

He's back! Just posted his first two picks on BetStamp. Ball State -2.5 and Xavier -11.5. He is ao123 on Betstamp.
GLTA!

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Ayo coming back this year?

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I really think analytics and A.I. and betting syndicates and sharper linesmakers at the Books and even some squares getting a little more educated and informed has resulted in sharper lines the last year or two. That makes it harder for sharps and value bettors to find an edge.

I would love to find a database search that shows whether final scores are now closer to the closing line than they used to be 2-3 or more years ago. I would wager they are closer now.

Ayo may need an A.I. Betting Agent to increase his R.O.I.! Check out this new Agent called BillyBets! The guys behind it are expereinced bettors and they have programmed him to learn a lot. Check out their site, their Discord, and their X, and search for BillyBets on YouTube or X. I probably can't post links so I won't.

[barnstorm]

Ayo finished College Basketball with a 405-403 record, but after juice, that amounted to a loss of almost 27 units. Down $2,693.37 at $100 a bet.

[Vene1616]

Anyone know of any good Ayo-caliber cappers for NFL and CFB?

Thanks!

Ayo-Caliber in 2025 basically means up and down, lucky to stay alive.

[barnstorm]

Ayo played a LOT of games in February. Down 15 units. 89-98.

Down 20 units for the year, but scratching out a winning record at 332-327.

I think that with the advent of more info, analytics, A.I. and betting syndicates, the lines have gotten sharper and sharper across all the major sports. That makes finding value bets and dogs getting "extra" points harder and harder.

[barnstorm]

No Super Bowl picks yet.

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Ayo 7-1 yesterday on Saturday's College Hoops. 15-19 prior to that, so 22-20 in February, through February 8. Grinding to get back into the green for the College Hoops year.

[barnstorm]

Bad patch for Ayo since mid-January. Down almost 20 units.

Down 5 units for the year, but a winning record of 243-229. Would be up 14 units without juice, but the juice is equal to 20 units with this many games.