5* Wichita St ML -155,
5* Wichita -2 -116
SoS i know, Washington St's SoS is tougher than Wichita's. Yes i know, avg power rating of Wazu's opp. is 74.2 compared to Wichita's opp. which is only 70.7. So why am i still backing up the Shockers?
Wazu's record (Away AND Neutral) 8-8 SU 8-7-1 ATS
Wichita's record (Away AND Neutral) 13-4 SU 11-6 ATS
Wazu's Off. avg 71.38 Def. avg 70.75 (away/neutral) margin = 0.63
Wichita's Off. avg 71.24 Def. avg 63.65 (away/neutral) margin =7.59
The reason i used both the away AND neutral records/stats was to see how these teams performed out of their comfort zone. The question u need to ask urself, WAS the difference in strength of schedule the main factor for these results.
IMHO the strength of schedule played a factor, but not a big enough factor. Which is my way of saying "i don't think Wazu would've done much better playing Witchita's road schedule, or i think Witchita would've done better with Wazu's road schedule." Thats just the way i see it.
Playing on the road in the MVC is extremely tough, teams defend their home court. For the Shockers to achieve 8-1 conf. away SU and 7-2 ATS is a statement of how well they play away from home. It doesn't matter what conference u play in, having that kind of conference road record is impressive, period.
The 4 losses which the Shockers suffered away from home:
79 -83 vs UCONN *neutral (no team has beaten UCONN on neutral court this season)
69-83 @ San Diego ST (lost 1 home game, to BYU)
64-69 @ Missouri ST (lost 1 home game this season)
54-61 vs Indiana ST *neutral (was just beastly during conf. tournament, they won it)
Not gonna sit here and "pad" Wichita's road record or discredit Wazu's (@ 8-8 i think it speaks for itself). 11-6 ATS away, and 7-2 ATS road conf. should speak for itself. Or are u gonna say that the Oddsmaker didn't know what they were doing? 5* Shockers ML, 5 Shockers -2-116 all day, ticket stamped and waitin to be cashed!
-vai
**note: getting so caught up doing the analysis, i forgot to make note of Wichita's Rebounding edge over Wazu. extra possessions, is a good thing**
something to ease ur mind...
WASHINGTON ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON ST 69.4, OPPONENT 75.2
WICHITA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after playing a game as a home favorite this season.
The average score was WICHITA ST 71.5, OPPONENT 60.8
5* Wichita -2 -116
SoS i know, Washington St's SoS is tougher than Wichita's. Yes i know, avg power rating of Wazu's opp. is 74.2 compared to Wichita's opp. which is only 70.7. So why am i still backing up the Shockers?
Wazu's record (Away AND Neutral) 8-8 SU 8-7-1 ATS
Wichita's record (Away AND Neutral) 13-4 SU 11-6 ATS
Wazu's Off. avg 71.38 Def. avg 70.75 (away/neutral) margin = 0.63
Wichita's Off. avg 71.24 Def. avg 63.65 (away/neutral) margin =7.59
The reason i used both the away AND neutral records/stats was to see how these teams performed out of their comfort zone. The question u need to ask urself, WAS the difference in strength of schedule the main factor for these results.
IMHO the strength of schedule played a factor, but not a big enough factor. Which is my way of saying "i don't think Wazu would've done much better playing Witchita's road schedule, or i think Witchita would've done better with Wazu's road schedule." Thats just the way i see it.
Playing on the road in the MVC is extremely tough, teams defend their home court. For the Shockers to achieve 8-1 conf. away SU and 7-2 ATS is a statement of how well they play away from home. It doesn't matter what conference u play in, having that kind of conference road record is impressive, period.
The 4 losses which the Shockers suffered away from home:
79 -83 vs UCONN *neutral (no team has beaten UCONN on neutral court this season)
69-83 @ San Diego ST (lost 1 home game, to BYU)
64-69 @ Missouri ST (lost 1 home game this season)
54-61 vs Indiana ST *neutral (was just beastly during conf. tournament, they won it)
Not gonna sit here and "pad" Wichita's road record or discredit Wazu's (@ 8-8 i think it speaks for itself). 11-6 ATS away, and 7-2 ATS road conf. should speak for itself. Or are u gonna say that the Oddsmaker didn't know what they were doing? 5* Shockers ML, 5 Shockers -2-116 all day, ticket stamped and waitin to be cashed!
-vai
**note: getting so caught up doing the analysis, i forgot to make note of Wichita's Rebounding edge over Wazu. extra possessions, is a good thing**
something to ease ur mind...
WASHINGTON ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON ST 69.4, OPPONENT 75.2
WICHITA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after playing a game as a home favorite this season.
The average score was WICHITA ST 71.5, OPPONENT 60.8
