We're seeing history repeat itself

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    We're seeing history repeat itself
    There's a reason Rick Barnes, Jim Boeheim, Jamie Dixon et al have the track record they do when it comes to tournament chokes. These guys fail to get it done year after year with very few exceptions, and wouldn't you know it, they were all outcoached by younger, sharper up-and-comers this weekend.

    Congrats to Miller, Williams and Stevens.

  • TPowell
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-21-08
    • 18842

    #2
    Dixon had no chance in that game. Pitt played well but Butler is nearly unbeatable in this tournament format. ****** up how they get Wisky now though
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by TPowell
      Dixon had no chance in that game. Pitt played well but Butler is nearly unbeatable in this tournament format. ****** up how they get Wisky now though
      I think they can beat Wisconsin, TP. I really do.
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Between Brown and Barnes, Texas fans have to be scratching their head a little right now.
        Comment
        • TrapperDapper
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-20-10
          • 502

          #5
          What do you mean Dixon had no chance? All Dixon had to do was take McGhee out and move Brown to the 5 so he could match up with Howard.
          Comment
          • TPowell
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-21-08
            • 18842

            #6
            Pitt played about as well as they could and still couldn't get the win. I think Butler can win the game as well but no play because I love both Ryan and Stevens a lot as coaches
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by TPowell
              Pitt played about as well as they could and still couldn't get the win. I think Butler can win the game as well but no play because I love both Ryan and Stevens a lot as coaches
              Stevens actually has a much better track record than Ryan in the tournament, and Butler has a much more tourney-savvy roster right now than Wisconsin does.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Everyone's going to expect a game in the 50's there, too -- I bet it goes over whatever the number is set at (I'm assuming it's somewhere in the low-120's).
                Comment
                • TPowell
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-21-08
                  • 18842

                  #9
                  Ryan tourny record isn't very good but its easy to tell he's an amazing coach by his ATS record over the years.
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #10
                    Originally posted by TPowell
                    Ryan tourny record isn't very good but its easy to tell he's an amazing coach by his ATS record over the years.
                    He's beaten the teams he's supposed to beat, and Butler qualifies.

                    I still think the Bulldog magic continues. Looking forward to the guard matchups especially.
                    Comment
                    • JT OZ
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-16-10
                      • 2076

                      #11
                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                      Everyone's going to expect a game in the 50's there, too -- I bet it goes over whatever the number is set at (I'm assuming it's somewhere in the low-120's).
                      Already plan to jump on the over, worked out so far with both of Wisc. games and Butler 2nd rd although I didn't play/see it coming.
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #12
                        Originally posted by JT OZ
                        Already plan to jump on the over, worked out so far with both of Wisc. games and Butler 2nd rd although I didn't play/see it coming.
                        Wisconsin can score. They're a half-court team, but they'll put up points. I'm not saying this will be 80-75, but it should get into the 130's.
                        Comment
                        • JT OZ
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-16-10
                          • 2076

                          #13
                          I agree, I watch a lot of Big 10 ball so I was prepared for the Wisconsin game bc the low totals were deceiving to people and I'm hoping for the same thing this week.
                          Comment
                          • HoulihansTX
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-12-09
                            • 30566

                            #14
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            Jamie Dixon et al have the track record they do when it comes to tournament chokes.
                            Pitt shot 56% FG, 54% 3pt, while having 10 more rebounds, and 9 more assists than Butler.

                            Butler played a perfect game, and had its best player go for 30. The game went down to the last second against a team one year removed from the National title game.

                            Jamie Dixon couldnt have done much else. If anything he got a bad draw for being a 1 seed.
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #15
                              Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                              Pitt shot 56% FG, 54% 3pt, while having 10 more rebounds, and 9 more assists than Butler.

                              Butler played a perfect game, and had its best player go for 30. The game went down to the last second against a team one year removed from the National title game.

                              Jamie Dixon couldnt have done much else. If anything he got a bad draw for being a 1 seed.
                              Butler played a perfect game, but that wasn't a bad draw. Butler did not play like a Sweet 16 caliber team this season. They sorely missed Hayward.

                              I don't think facing Butler was any worse than any of the other 8/9 opponents in Round 2. Fact of the matter is, Pitt is out before the first weekend is over again. This isn't on the Blair/Fields level of choke, but there's no reason for them not to still be playing.
                              Comment
                              • TPowell
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-21-08
                                • 18842

                                #16
                                No Coin, throw the season out the window pal. It's March and I'll take Butler over any time left not named Ohio State or Duke to win it all.
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by TPowell
                                  No Coin, throw the season out the window pal. It's March and I'll take Butler over any time left not named Ohio State or Duke to win it all.
                                  So you're taking them over Wisconsin?

                                  Comment
                                  • TPowell
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-21-08
                                    • 18842

                                    #18
                                    The more i think about it, the more I like it. Wisconsin would be their toughest matchup until the NC game though.
                                    Comment
                                    • creazntee
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 03-06-11
                                      • 38

                                      #19
                                      Yup, you got. I agree
                                      Comment
                                      • CollegeOverUnder
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-20-10
                                        • 5520

                                        #20
                                        Im on Butler +4 and also the Moneyline also because I figure that +4 will go down to +3.5
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by TPowell
                                          The more i think about it, the more I like it. Wisconsin would be their toughest matchup until the NC game though.


                                          They won't beat Florida, though. Florida's going to the FF.
                                          Comment
                                          • TPowell
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-21-08
                                            • 18842

                                            #22
                                            I wouldnt bank on it No Coin, If Butler gets a hold of them I dont like their chances. They may be able to outlast Wisconsin. Two great games though

                                            I lean BYU over Florida and Butler over Wisconsin.
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by TPowell
                                              I wouldnt bank on it No Coin, If Butler gets a hold of them I dont like their chances. They may be able to outlast Wisconsin. Two great games though

                                              I lean BYU over Florida and Butler over Wisconsin.
                                              How will BYU beat Florida? I don't see that at all, unless Boynton's out. This Florida team is tough, deep, experienced, athletic, and Donovan's a FF regular.
                                              Comment
                                              • TPowell
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-21-08
                                                • 18842

                                                #24
                                                Florida's guards aren't big enough to really challenge Jimmer and Co. Florida isn't that great inside. Macklin and Tyus are solid but they aren't spectacular. The only real experience these guys have it losing in the 1st round LAST YEAR to BYU. I just don't see how this game isn't a dead pick
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #25
                                                  Marquette-North Carolina is going to be more interesting than people think. Eagles do everything UNC hates to do. If they can drag the Heels into the gutter and dictate the tempo, they might pull off another upset.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • CollegeOverUnder
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-20-10
                                                    • 5520

                                                    #26
                                                    my lean is BYU over Florida lets remember how Florida didnt get to the freethrow line at all against Kentucky in the SEC championship im not backing a team that doesnt know how to consistently get to the line like Jimmer does on his own
                                                    Comment
                                                    • No coincidences
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                      • 76300

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by TPowell
                                                      Florida's guards aren't big enough to really challenge Jimmer and Co. Florida isn't that great inside. Macklin and Tyus are solid but they aren't spectacular. The only real experience these guys have it losing in the 1st round LAST YEAR to BYU. I just don't see how this game isn't a dead pick
                                                      Well BYU was a dog to Gonzaga -- I just don't think oddsmakers think much of them outside of Jimmer.

                                                      Florida doesn't have great big men, and yes, their guards are small. Parsons is going to be a matchup nightmare for BYU, though. I still think not having Davies is going to catch up to the Cougars real soon.

                                                      Anyway, I haven't even started capping these games. Just raw thoughts.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #28
                                                        Didn't Lloyd Jr. have a big game for BYU last year vs. Florida? He's not around now. I know Jimmer went nuts, but Boynton did as well IIRC. Parsons went for like 20 and 10.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • CollegeOverUnder
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-20-10
                                                          • 5520

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          Didn't Lloyd Jr. have a big game for BYU last year vs. Florida? He's not around now. I know Jimmer went nuts, but Boynton did as well IIRC. Parsons went for like 20 and 10.
                                                          oh god its a rematch from last year i completely forgot about that Now I dont even no if I want to bet this game
                                                          Comment
                                                          • darrell74
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 04-16-07
                                                            • 14648

                                                            #30
                                                            Wisconsin -4 is the play.
                                                            Wiscy gets a lead with sub 2 left, hit all their free throws and choke out the Bulldogs.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • craigpb
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 06-19-08
                                                              • 700

                                                              #31
                                                              There's a reason these coaches suck in March; called no NBA players. Barnes is no doubt just bad, but the rest might want to start recruiting better.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • HoulihansTX
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 02-12-09
                                                                • 30566

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                I don't think facing Butler was any worse than any of the other 8/9 opponents in Round 2.
                                                                Butler = Horizon League winner

                                                                ODU = Colonial league winner

                                                                Butler started off the year as a top 15 team

                                                                ODU finished as a top 25 team.

                                                                No other, #1 seed had to face opponents of that pedigree. Being from a big time conference is one thing, but winning your own conference's tourny is another.

                                                                Pitt had the hardest matchup in round 2, no matter who they faced.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Sunde91
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 11-26-09
                                                                  • 8325

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                                  Pitt shot 56% FG, 54% 3pt, while having 10 more rebounds, and 9 more assists than Butler.

                                                                  Butler played a perfect game, and had its best player go for 30. The game went down to the last second against a team one year removed from the National title game.

                                                                  Jamie Dixon couldnt have done much else. If anything he got a bad draw for being a 1 seed.
                                                                  So? You cannot name one season where PITT has not underachieved in tourney under Dixon.

                                                                  Perennial top 20, top 2 Big East, and one Elite 8 in eight years coacing. That was in 09 in a loss to Nova when PITT was a #1 seed ranked 4th nationally.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • The Madcap
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-03-10
                                                                    • 2808

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                                    No other, #1 seed had to face opponents of that pedigree. Being from a big time conference is one thing, but winning your own conference's tourny is another.

                                                                    Pitt had the hardest matchup in round 2, no matter who they faced.
                                                                    They were SUPPOSED to. They were the last #1 seed.

                                                                    That being said, I'm not sure I agree Butler or ODU's pedigree means all that much.

                                                                    Butler lost a game to 9-21 Youngstown State this year. Among other losses to Wright St, Valpo, and 2 to UW-M.

                                                                    ODU had losses to Delaware and Drexel, and got blown out by Missouri.

                                                                    I don't see how this makes either of them significantly better than GMU who Ohio State just obliterated.

                                                                    You could make the case, I guess, that they were better than Illinois or Michigan. But while Illinois and Michigan had more losses, most all those losses came against quality tournament teams (Ohio State, Kansas, Wisconsin, Syracuse, Missouri, Texas, Purdue, Penn State etc).

                                                                    Point is, I don't think you can say Butler is that significant of an opponent just based off of them winning the Horizon conference tournament and their play last year. You can't discount what Hayward and Veasley meant to that team. Yes Butler still has talent. They are still a well coached team. But they aren't nearly as good.
                                                                    Sort of like Duke after they won back to back titles.

                                                                    After Laettner and Brian Davis graduated in '93 Duke was still a good team and had a good "pedigree," as they still had Hurley and Grant Hill. But they weren't even close to as good as the year before. Which is why they lost to Jason Kidd and Cal in the second round.

                                                                    You can't evaluate seeding on the previous year if the current year's team has slipped significantly. And losing to Youngstown State is major slippage.
                                                                    No more of that talk, or I'll put the leeches on you.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • HoulihansTX
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 02-12-09
                                                                      • 30566

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Sunde91
                                                                      So? You cannot name one season where PITT has not underachieved in tourney under Dixon.
                                                                      The crux of the argument is that Pitt played well enough to win. They came off as well coached, and the unfortunate losers of a competitive game.

                                                                      They didnt get blown out(Notre Dame), embarrass themselves(Georgetown), lose to a 13 seed(Louisville), blow a late lead(Villanova), or fail to register a pulse(St. Johns).
                                                                      Comment
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