If you're on Belmont

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    If you're on Belmont
    Does it concern you that a team averaging over 80 points per has a TT set at 61.5?
  • JT OZ
    SBR MVP
    • 08-16-10
    • 2076

    #2
    I think it's a tribute to Wisconsin's defense but I do like the game going over 126.5
    Comment
    • Cuse0323
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-09-09
      • 30169

      #3
      If I was, it would. Wisky rolls.
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by JT OZ
        I think it's a tribute to Wisconsin's defense but I do like the game going over 126.5
        If Belmont were the play here, I'd think the total would be in the 132-135 range.

        The fact that it's 126.5 is a sign as far as I'm concerned.
        Comment
        • BigDofBA
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-30-09
          • 19313

          #5
          I think it's funny that everyone likes Belmont so much. I think people are just wanting them to be this year's Butler. Good luck with that.
          Comment
          • HoulihansTX
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-12-09
            • 30566

            #6
            Originally posted by No coincidences
            Does it concern you that a team averaging over 80 points per has a TT set at 61.5?
            The game total is in the 120's.

            Then Belmont is the Dog. What should the team total be???
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by HoulihansTX
              The game total is in the 120's.

              Then Belmont is the Dog. What should the team total be???
              When Wisconsin played UNLV, the total was in the mid-130's. I figured it'd be around 132 or 133 for this game -- a middle between the two teams' averages.

              I think the total of just 126.5 heavily favors Wisconsin.
              Comment
              • ebbearsfb1
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-07-08
                • 18815

                #8
                Ru talking about from this year or a few years ago?
                Comment
                • bigALbones50
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 02-22-11
                  • 202

                  #9
                  butler may be this year's butler again
                  Comment
                  • HoulihansTX
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-12-09
                    • 30566

                    #10
                    I'm not smart enough to this understand all of this.

                    I have Belmont moving on in my bracket, but not betting the game.
                    Comment
                    • IAMWINNER
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-28-11
                      • 1012

                      #11
                      so take wisky?
                      Comment
                      • joekane88
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-07-10
                        • 537

                        #12
                        Belmont is obviously the play, look where they set the line at ???????

                        Books were not gonna nailed by sharps, so they set up a sucker fade

                        dont think for a second, Wiscy is not the pub play here

                        Belmont wins outight
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                          I'm not smart enough to this understand all of this.

                          I have Belmont moving on in my bracket, but not betting the game.
                          Most of Wisconsin's totals are set exactly where it is today.

                          Belmont averages 80 PPG.

                          I would think if the books were believers in Belmont, this game total would be, say, 133 (especially for a tourney game -- close with a lot of FT's) and Belmont's TT would be higher. There is less compromise than I expected.

                          I think Wisconsin -4 is the play, but ICE is huge on Belmont, so we'll just have to see. I just believe books know Belmont is a trendy upset pick and this is a big setup. Could be wrong.
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #14
                            Originally posted by joekane88
                            Belmont is obviously the play, look where they set the line at ???????

                            Books were not gonna nailed by sharps, so they set up a sucker fade

                            dont think for a second, Wiscy is not the pub play here

                            Belmont wins outight
                            Are you kidding? Have you not been watching the "experts" and listening to guys around the water cooler? Almost every buddy of mine is on Belmont tonight. Wisconsin only has 59% public backing right now -- not much for a 4 vs. a 13 only getting 4 points.
                            Comment
                            • IAMWINNER
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-28-11
                              • 1012

                              #15
                              so take wisky or belmont?
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #16
                                Great post here:

                                Originally Posted by agharah1
                                Belmont is a decent team and I would consider them for an upset if they didn't match up so incredibly badly vs. Wisconsin. A team that's based around forcing turnovers and crashing boards against a team that never turns it over and will impose their pace is going to make for a lot of wide open Wisconsin layups. Plus the Bruins foul a ton, and Wisconsin is the best free throw shooting team in America.

                                Again, I'm not saying this is a lock or anything of that nature -- I'd just be careful with Belmont if I were you.
                                Comment
                                • zephyr
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-19-10
                                  • 516

                                  #17
                                  I agree, NC. I think many of the trendy dogs are going to get schooled. Wisconsin is tired of hearing how they don't step up in the tourny, and they are tired of talking heads saying Belmont could pull the upset. I think Wiscy rolls. (By the way, I have similar feelings about Oakland -- I don't think they stay with Texas.)
                                  Comment
                                  • ebbearsfb1
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-07-08
                                    • 18815

                                    #18
                                    4 game parlay bucknell ml, utaht st ml, belmont ml, and uc santa barbar ml, straight cash right there.... or not lol... I think lines low cause wisconsin has benn a lousy tourney team
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #19
                                      FWIW, I like Belmont. If they were playing, say, Missouri, it might be my biggest play of the first round.
                                      Comment
                                      • clamchowder
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 02-26-11
                                        • 471

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by IAMWINNER
                                        so take wisky or belmont?
                                        If you can't decide, then don't play. Money management is the key here. There are still lot of bballs to be played. Use your discipline Luke.

                                        GO AZTECS!!!
                                        Comment
                                        • Wackabrew
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 09-23-10
                                          • 20

                                          #21
                                          The total is low because Belmont has a top 20 Defense. They limit opponents to something like 0.9 PPP. That, coupled with Wisky's slow tempo should lead to a low scoring game
                                          Comment
                                          • BettingWizard
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-28-09
                                            • 6522

                                            #22
                                            all tempo
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Wackabrew
                                              The total is low because Belmont has a top 20 Defense. They limit opponents to something like 0.9 PPP. That, coupled with Wisky's slow tempo should lead to a low scoring game
                                              Against who, though?

                                              They gave up 85 vs. Vandy and 85 vs. Tennessee.
                                              Comment
                                              • HOT WINGS
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-29-10
                                                • 8055

                                                #24
                                                What was Wiscy TT in there last game when they scored 33 against an avg defensive Penn State team? Doubt Wisconsin scores over 60 win or lose in this game.
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #25
                                                  Belmont has 40 points in 32 minutes.

                                                  Good night.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cadillac pete
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-15-06
                                                    • 1675

                                                    #26
                                                    Belmont appears to be all hype......nothing more then your average 13 seed.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • No coincidences
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                      • 76300

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by cadillac pete
                                                      Belmont appears to be all hype......nothing more then your average 13 seed.
                                                      They played 3 legit teams this year in 34 games, and lost all 3.
                                                      Comment
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