Going to be rolling with 4 games tonight. I'm not smart so I don't recommend tailing me, just wondered if people had advice on the following games.
East Carolina -1
One point of RLM, Pinnacle has it juiced to -109 while Memphis sits at -101 so it's probably moving again. Public is on Memphis expecting them to bounce back from a beating at UTEP, but East Carolina has won its last two, including at home over UTEP. ECU is 0-9 SU against Memphis, but only lost by 3 @ Memphis earlier. Just based on record, ECU being favored against Memphis doesn't make sense. The only thing I'm worried about is that ECU's three point loss against Memphis is the only reason the line is so close with ECU at home and Memphis rolls them after playing terribly against UTEP.
Airforce -6 (buying the hook)
Close game last time @TCU but now Air Force is home and is a good team ATS (Though an average 5-5 at home). TCU is bad ATS, bad in general and the line is down from -8. Air Force did a nice number on Colorado State, so got out of their losing streak but TCU is still in the middle of a long one. I doubt they come close to a win on the road tonight, and I feel comfortable betting against a public dog as bad as the Horned Frogs.
2 Other games -
Tailing Dozer's pick of New Orleans in the NBA his IQ picks have been solid, and the circumstances are ripe to trap the public.
A most likely going to be on Florida State, with a confidence boost from Lucky1G's system. Public has had its fun, but I feel like the books laugh big tonight on that game. If I lay off any its going to be this one. I'm relatively new at this, but I realize the main advantage we have over the books is that we don't have to pick every game, we can be selective. I should only take a game if I think I have a real advantage. Not sure if I do on this game, but when a large majority of the public thinks they have a huge advantage, they are usually wrong.
Anyway those are my amateur ramblings, any tips, advice would be appreciated.
East Carolina -1
One point of RLM, Pinnacle has it juiced to -109 while Memphis sits at -101 so it's probably moving again. Public is on Memphis expecting them to bounce back from a beating at UTEP, but East Carolina has won its last two, including at home over UTEP. ECU is 0-9 SU against Memphis, but only lost by 3 @ Memphis earlier. Just based on record, ECU being favored against Memphis doesn't make sense. The only thing I'm worried about is that ECU's three point loss against Memphis is the only reason the line is so close with ECU at home and Memphis rolls them after playing terribly against UTEP.
Airforce -6 (buying the hook)
Close game last time @TCU but now Air Force is home and is a good team ATS (Though an average 5-5 at home). TCU is bad ATS, bad in general and the line is down from -8. Air Force did a nice number on Colorado State, so got out of their losing streak but TCU is still in the middle of a long one. I doubt they come close to a win on the road tonight, and I feel comfortable betting against a public dog as bad as the Horned Frogs.
2 Other games -
Tailing Dozer's pick of New Orleans in the NBA his IQ picks have been solid, and the circumstances are ripe to trap the public.
A most likely going to be on Florida State, with a confidence boost from Lucky1G's system. Public has had its fun, but I feel like the books laugh big tonight on that game. If I lay off any its going to be this one. I'm relatively new at this, but I realize the main advantage we have over the books is that we don't have to pick every game, we can be selective. I should only take a game if I think I have a real advantage. Not sure if I do on this game, but when a large majority of the public thinks they have a huge advantage, they are usually wrong.
Anyway those are my amateur ramblings, any tips, advice would be appreciated.
awful mistake.