Wednesday leans

dozer · 02-09-11, 01:25 AM

good luck. that a.f. game jumped off at me.

No coincidences · 02-09-11, 01:32 AM

Originally posted by dozer

good luck. that a.f. game jumped off at me.

You too.

I'm liking Colorado a little too much. I think Iowa and Idaho cover as well. You always take your chances with Jimmer, but I think the Falcons can keep the game relatively low scoring and within that number, even though I give them zero chance of winning SU.

romoney · 02-09-11, 01:32 AM

a serious question?? why Air Force +10..i dont trust Jimmer and the cougs...just asking..

No coincidences · 02-09-11, 01:39 AM

Originally posted by romoney

a serious question?? why Air Force +10..i dont trust Jimmer and the cougs...just asking..

First, there's typically value in DD dogs at home just as an unwritten rule.

Second, Air Force is usually a ball-control, pace-controlling, defensive-oriented team that can be dangerous when efficient. This is a huge spot for them.

BYU is also 4-9 ATS on the road in their L-13, and only beat them by 10 on their home court last month. Of course if AF struggles offensively, this bet could implode and BYU might run away and hide. I've found a lot of value in AF in the past, but when they lose ATS, it typically isn't close.

romoney · 02-09-11, 01:44 AM

thanks...i will take another look at it..
appreciate the input..GL

No coincidences · 02-09-11, 01:48 AM

Why is Hofstra only -1 at Georgia State?

No coincidences · 02-09-11, 01:48 AM

Originally posted by romoney

thanks...i will take another look at it..
appreciate the input..GL

Actually, had AF not kept it relatively close the first time around, I'd feel better here. The fact that BYU had to take them seriously might mean they're locked in tomorrow.

romoney · 02-09-11, 01:51 AM

No Coin.. i just wonder that Idaho covers since Utah St has been really whipping that ass lately...just trying to educate... i wonder if Ida really plays that well at home against a hot team trying to stay ranked??

jeffdane · 02-09-11, 01:52 AM

air force has no chance therefore no play or byu. jimmer goes off

No coincidences · 02-09-11, 01:55 AM

Originally posted by romoney

No Coin.. i just wonder that Idaho covers since Utah St has been really whipping that ass lately...just trying to educate... i wonder if Ida really plays that well at home against a hot team trying to stay ranked??

I've watched Idaho a few times, and I think they can stay within 6 or 7. USU is a solid team and basically unbeatable at home. I just think 9's a lot for a road game in a relatively tough environment.

romoney · 02-09-11, 01:58 AM

thanks... will look at it more tomorrow...GL man..

Balco10 · 02-09-11, 02:09 AM

Temple -21.5
VCU -5
Memphis +2.5[/color]

No coincidences · 02-09-11, 02:11 AM

Originally posted by Balco10

[COLOR=#000000 ! important]
Temple -21.5
VCU -5
Memphis +2.5[/color]

I like Memphis. No opinion on Temple. I wouldn't take VCU on the road -5 against a high school team, even though they're probably the right side here (which is typically when they shit the bed).

CollegeOverUnder · 02-09-11, 02:23 AM

Love Colorado -3 and ND -4 those are the only 2 games on your card im already locked in on. No interest in the others but I like those 2 picks

robinhood · 02-09-11, 02:47 AM

Notre Dame -4 is a horrible lean

Chong Wizard · 02-09-11, 04:23 AM

Colorado does look good! Any reason not to go big on Colorado? They seem like one of those teams thats tough to beat at home.

ksatch · 02-09-11, 05:14 AM

Originally posted by robinhood

Notre Dame -4 is a horrible lean

I dunno if that's such a bad play. Preston Knowles isn't a %100, and without the full effort of their scoring leader LOU might be in a tight spot on the road against a ND team that's been unbeatable at home. Van Treese is questionable as well, and he may be the only LOU player that actually plays defense. Yeah, they do have one of the better offenses that ND has seen, just not sure if they're ready for a bloodbath on the road against a proven ND squad.

CMNoney · 02-09-11, 05:28 AM

Love Marshall -2.5. They're a completely different team at home.

LockPickMaster · 02-09-11, 08:20 AM

anyone like College of Charleston, seems like a huge mismatch with ELON, wtf is an ELON

agharah1 · 02-09-11, 08:30 AM

I've never been impressed with Louisville's offense, really. It seems to me like they thrive on getting fouled, and I'm not sure they're going to get a lot of calls at the Joyce Center. ND's offense is their strength this year, and they managed to come back to beat Marquette, who is basically a poor-man's Louisville.

Boxer300 · 02-09-11, 08:33 AM

I like the CofC pick. Has anyone looked at the Marquette South Florida game? I think Marquette covers.

agharah1 · 02-09-11, 08:35 AM

At the risk of sounding square, I kinda like Florida -4 @ South Carolina. Florida is first in the SEC East, but they lost at home to South Carolina and they cannot afford to get swept by a team that got blown out by Auburn at home as a 15pt favorite. As much as I hate small road favorites, this is pretty much a must-win for Florida.

Boxer300 · 02-09-11, 08:40 AM

South Carolina seems to always play Florida close. If it was a point lower I would take Florida.

Boxer300 · 02-09-11, 08:47 AM

SCar won by 6 on 2/10/2010. Other than that the biggest victory in this series since 2007 was 3.

LockPickMaster · 02-09-11, 09:43 AM

How about Texas 1st Half or UNC first half

cadillac pete · 02-09-11, 10:29 AM

The Badgers in a look ahead spot to big game w/#1 Ohio St at the Kohl Center.

No coincidences · 02-09-11, 11:02 AM

Plays so far:

Iowa +7
Colorado -3
Georgia State +1

No coincidences · 02-09-11, 11:03 AM

I will play Rutgers as well, but only when/if Greek drops it to 5.5 with everyone else.

nyplayer33 · 02-09-11, 12:27 PM

no coincidences, thanks for your picks

survive · 02-09-11, 12:43 PM

I like Memphis +2.5 but it is kind of fishy to me. UCF has lost 7 straight plus already lost by 16 to Memphis. Seems like vegas is begging us to take Memphis here

No coincidences · 02-09-11, 12:43 PM

Originally posted by survive

I like Memphis +2.5 but it is kind of fishy to me. UCF has lost 7 straight plus already lost by 16 to Memphis. Seems like vegas is begging us to take Memphis here

I see it that way too. I'd lean UCF.

nyplayer33 · 02-09-11, 12:45 PM

So you then believe in trap games then..

ksatch · 02-09-11, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by agharah1

I've never been impressed with Louisville's offense, really. It seems to me like they thrive on getting fouled, and I'm not sure they're going to get a lot of calls at the Joyce Center. ND's offense is their strength this year, and they managed to come back to beat Marquette, who is basically a poor-man's Louisville.

So, do you think that taking the Irish -4 is the play? I think we're arguing the same point from different angles. I'm seeing the line move in different directions offshore. Up to -4.5 in some places, while down to -3.5 in one book. The money trends are screaming stay away, but i just don't see LOU being sharp enough to pull out a cover here.

CBASS · 02-09-11, 01:29 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I will play Rutgers as well, but only when/if Greek drops it to 5.5 with everyone else.

I like the Rutgers play. They might win SU. GL today NoCoin