what am i missing with the fairfield spread

[wtt0315]

i was expecting to see fairfield 7-7.5 and i see -3? Any reasons? 17-4 (8-1)home vs 13-9 (5-5) road? injuries I am missing maybe?

what do you guys think?

[LockPickMaster]

They haven't been covering their last few games, I think.

The covered their last game but two games with 12 and 19.5 lines they couldn't cover.

[D. Brackets]

I don't get that line either.... something smells...

[thebestthereis]

agreed makes no sense at all, plus the teams look like they are going in opposite directions.

[wtt0315]

yeah fairfield won last 5 by average of 6-7 points and 3 of those on road
iona lost last 3
i am really confused

[nyplayer33]

seldom, if ever is line wrong...

[D. Brackets]

Iona ML it is!

[I'mAWinner]

Iona under the radar is very good, talent wise there right there with Fairfield. I believe tonight Fairfield wins, Iona covers.

[kufan11]

Iona under the radar is very good, talent wise there right there with Fairfield. I believe tonight Fairfield wins, Iona covers.

The line is 2.5 how is fairfield gonna win and iona cover? If fairfield is up by even 1 at the end of the game then iona will foul and they will cover??? or they will lose. I love this line and how about st peters at 8-3 in the conference only -5 against 1-10 niagara? Sounds like two pretty good bets to me.

[LockPickMaster]

The line is 2.5 how is fairfield gonna win and iona cover? If fairfield is up by even 1 at the end of the game then iona will foul and they will cover??? or they will lose. I love this line and how about st peters at 8-3 in the conference only -5 against 1-10 niagara? Sounds like two pretty good bets to me.

think line was 3 or 3.5

[RiverBoatGambler]

Iona can put up the points. Fairfield is a very good defensive team. Depends what team brings their A game tonight.

[jds07v]

Fairfield has not been covering lately, namely a last possession win as a 20 pt favorite

[wtt0315]

line dropped to -2.5. i am going on fairfield. Iona has screwed me the last few times as they have played horrible their last 3 games. Fairfield might night be covering but they are winning, and at home should be enough to win by 6-8

[agharah1]

I've always had reservations about betting Fairfield ever since the MAAC Tournament Championship last year where they blew a gigantic lead to Siena.

[Dukebluejms]

Iona is the play...

[kufan11]

yea def take the road team with a worse record. ??? i swear sometimes people on here just amaze me. Ill go with the better team at home.

[sjzoo915]

Iona is the play...

Completely agree...Iona to cover BOL tonight

[LockPickMaster]

Fiona is the play, she is way hotter

[Wiggums5]

yea def take the road team with a worse record. ??? i swear sometimes people on here just amaze me. Ill go with the better team at home.

if the better team won every game, their would be no sportsbooks...

i swear sometimes people on here just amaze me.

[kufan11]

if the better team won every game, their would be no sportsbooks...

i swear sometimes people on here just amaze me.

You amaze me, there are sportbooks because sites try to get 50% of the money on each side and then they take a 5-10% cut on all winning wagers. Also, there are upsets, but going around and trying to find them is just insane. Fairfield doesnt lose very often and this line is not one that you can suspect will be covered when it is under 3 points. Even if the game is close, which i doubt it will be, theres a very very good chance fairfield covers simply b/c of fouling. Fairfield has lost one conference game, and it was on the road by 1 point. They simply do not lose at home in conference play, sure there is a first for everything but to base your gambling on a theory of they are due for a loss is stupid.

[BiffTFinancial]

You amaze me, there are sportbooks because sites try to get 50% of the money on each side and then they take a 5-10% cut on all winning wagers. Also, there are upsets, but going around and trying to find them is just insane. Fairfield doesnt lose very often and this line is not one that you can suspect will be covered when it is under 3 points. Even if the game is close, which i doubt it will be, theres a very very good chance fairfield covers simply b/c of fouling. Fairfield has lost one conference game, and it was on the road by 1 point. They simply do not lose at home in conference play, sure there is a first for everything but to base your gambling on a theory of they are due for a loss is stupid.

all due respect, but i don't think that anyone's basing an Iona play on Fairfield being due for a loss. Fairfield has played a lighter schedule and struggled to cover some lately, and the spread tells you all that you need to know. If Fairfield's the better team and CBB home-court advantage is worth 4-5, why are they only favored by 2' with the number dropping? line should be 6-7 minimum, right? if nothing else, with 72% of the public on Fairfield and the line dropping, you have to assume that smart money is on Iona. i'm passing, but personally, i wouldn't even consider Fairfield.

[kufan11]

If the line is dropping then obviously the vegas experts had them favored by more, i will not be swayed by the public and go against the experts, they have done better against every common opponent they beat UVM, iona lost to them, they beat rider iona lost to them, they beat canisus and iona lost to them. What possible rationale could anyone have for taking iona???

They also beat siena on the road by 15, iona lost to siena by 5.

[Wiggums5]

You amaze me, there are sportbooks because sites try to get 50% of the money on each side and then they take a 5-10% cut on all winning wagers. Also, there are upsets, but going around and trying to find them is just insane. Fairfield doesnt lose very often and this line is not one that you can suspect will be covered when it is under 3 points. Even if the game is close, which i doubt it will be, theres a very very good chance fairfield covers simply b/c of fouling. Fairfield has lost one conference game, and it was on the road by 1 point. They simply do not lose at home in conference play, sure there is a first for everything but to base your gambling on a theory of they are due for a loss is stupid.

when did I say they were due for a loss?

[Wiggums5]

If the line is dropping then obviously the vegas experts had them favored by more, i will not be swayed by the public and go against the experts, they have done better against every common opponent they beat UVM, iona lost to them, they beat rider iona lost to them, they beat canisus and iona lost to them. What possible rationale could anyone have for taking iona???

oh man..with that logic you must be the best capper in the world....please start posting your picks so i can tail

[kufan11]

Atleast my pick comes with logic, what logic have you displayed for picking a road team that has done worse against every common opponent.

[BiffTFinancial]

If the line is dropping then obviously the vegas experts had them favored by more, i will not be swayed by the public and go against the experts, they have done better against every common opponent they beat UVM, iona lost to them, they beat rider iona lost to them, they beat canisus and iona lost to them. What possible rationale could anyone have for taking iona???

They also beat siena on the road by 15, iona lost to siena by 5.

again, no offense guy, but to use your own rationale, that doesn't make sense. the "vegas experts" as you say, set the line and move the line to get 50/50 action on each side. the smart money moved the line from 3 to 2' despite 72% of the public being on Fairfield. don't confuse the experts who set the line with the experts who are trying to beat the line. they are both smarter than any of us. the ones who set the line saw it as 3, the ones who beat the line thought that it was even smaller. both think a lot more highly of Iona tonight than you do. on a Friday with a card this small, that's a red flag to me if i like Fairfield.

anyway, BOL whatever you decide. i'm passing altogether on the small card tonight. it's miller time.

[kufan11]

Im done debating this, the outcomes will speak for themselves, bet on 4-19 niagara and 13-9 iona against the two conefrence leaders. We will see who has money at the end of the day.

[BiffTFinancial]

Im done debating this, the outcomes will speak for themselves, bet on 4-19 niagara and 13-9 iona against the two conefrence leaders. We will see who has money at the end of the day.

BOL to you. my balance tomorrow morning will be the same as it is right now, as i'm passing, but hope that your plays do well.

[Illy]

Iona is a couple bad games from being at the top of the maac. They have lost tight margins and even though the public appears to be on fairfield, the line has still dropped a point, which means "wiseguys" are on iona. BOL to all, but I like Iona on this one. I do, however, think St. peter's is the play at niagara.

[LockPickMaster]

Both teams have similar RPI but Iona has a clear advantage in SOS

[bradleysnyder]

two teams that dont really care.This could go either way

[spargament]

Fiona is the play, she is way hotter

She's fine as hell but I'll take the air Field.

[LockPickMaster]

She's fine as hell but I'll take the air Field.

I am loving Fiona tonight. Lets get it on.

[homerbush]

two teams that dont really care.This could go either way

I would love to know why these teams don't care? seeding for this conference tournament is important, though neither are in trouble of having to play in the first round and I am sure Fairfield wants the regular season title and #1 seed too. That said Iona spreads have been fishy all year anybody remember when they started off bad and had that weird spread against Richmond and easily covered. I still will fall for it and take Fairfield hahaha.

[agharah1]

Last year Siena got demolished by a pretty weak Niagara team on the road for their only conference loss. On the same day, Penn beat the crap out of Cornell despite only having 3 wins.