I think this one is too easy. Texas is hot and showed no sign of cooling down against #10 TA&M, #2KU, #13 MIZZ handling all three games from start to finish.
Coming off a 21 point victor a mere two weeks ago, it seems a bit odd the line is so low. Monday home dogs seem to be the play in basketball, but lets look at the most important factor that goes into a basketball game: The shot.
Texas A&M shot 37% in a home win over KSU(letting up 40%), 39.1% in an away loss to NEB(letting up 44% to non jump shooters), and 47% in a home win to MIZZ(letting up 52%).
The last time Texas played a close ball game was their 1 point loss at home to UCONN. Texas shot 45%(while giving up 38%). The difference in this game was UCONN putting up 16 more shots and escaping with a 1 point win. UCONN creates more off the dribble than TA&M will and UCONN was led by 21 rebounds by their big man due to advantage in shots. UCONN is more of a traditional shooting team while A&M slashes to the basket, this clearly did not yield any results the first time these two teams played.
If we compare one final game, we look at these two teams playing Arkansas at home. Texas won by 33(once led by 41), while Texas A&M won in overtime by 9(each team led big at one point in the game). In this game Texas shot 45 vs. 34 while A&M shot 40 vs. 40.
Though these stats are at times distorted by high percentage shots due to defensive differences, from what I understand about CBB pointspread a lot is based off of what a team does with each possession.
Texas A&M's leading scores shoot 49 and 47% respectively and are both forwards. While it seems Middleton will put up solid numbers, like the first match I do not think he will get much help.
There is no chance Texas A&M shoots worse than Texas and wins this game. Given Texas's shooting defense there is little chance Texas A&M shoots better than Texas.
While the line does seem a bit low considering both teams had very opposite games on Saturday, to me this difference seems to say Texas wins by 4-8 and they keep on their roll. 74-68
Coming off a 21 point victor a mere two weeks ago, it seems a bit odd the line is so low. Monday home dogs seem to be the play in basketball, but lets look at the most important factor that goes into a basketball game: The shot.
Texas A&M shot 37% in a home win over KSU(letting up 40%), 39.1% in an away loss to NEB(letting up 44% to non jump shooters), and 47% in a home win to MIZZ(letting up 52%).
The last time Texas played a close ball game was their 1 point loss at home to UCONN. Texas shot 45%(while giving up 38%). The difference in this game was UCONN putting up 16 more shots and escaping with a 1 point win. UCONN creates more off the dribble than TA&M will and UCONN was led by 21 rebounds by their big man due to advantage in shots. UCONN is more of a traditional shooting team while A&M slashes to the basket, this clearly did not yield any results the first time these two teams played.
If we compare one final game, we look at these two teams playing Arkansas at home. Texas won by 33(once led by 41), while Texas A&M won in overtime by 9(each team led big at one point in the game). In this game Texas shot 45 vs. 34 while A&M shot 40 vs. 40.
Though these stats are at times distorted by high percentage shots due to defensive differences, from what I understand about CBB pointspread a lot is based off of what a team does with each possession.
Texas A&M's leading scores shoot 49 and 47% respectively and are both forwards. While it seems Middleton will put up solid numbers, like the first match I do not think he will get much help.
There is no chance Texas A&M shoots worse than Texas and wins this game. Given Texas's shooting defense there is little chance Texas A&M shoots better than Texas.
While the line does seem a bit low considering both teams had very opposite games on Saturday, to me this difference seems to say Texas wins by 4-8 and they keep on their roll. 74-68
