Why I am betting hard earned $ on Georgetown.

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30064

    #1
    Why I am betting hard earned $ on Georgetown.
    This line is very low for Georgetown, at -2 I just bought 1 pt to -1
    because I usually do that with decent money on the line. You never know
    with the officiating.
    That being said, I think it's likely Georgetown will hand Notre Dame their
    first home loss of the season, and RPI is part of the reason why.

    12 games have been played, so it's not too soon to compare RPI.
    Sure, RPI comparisons are better as the season progresses, but
    there is a wide disparity between these teams tonight.

    G-Town ranks #2 in overall RPI, and #1 in Strength of Schedule.
    their sole loss was by 3 @ Temple.

    Notre Dame ranks #37 in overall RPI, and #145 in SOS.
    their sole loss was by 14 @ Kentucky.

    Notre Dame's last two home victories were against absolute buttercups,
    so I'm looking at the home win on Dec 11 over Gonzaga. Knowing that
    Georgetown's sole loss was at Temple, arguably the most effective defensive
    team in the NCAA, I'm looking for hints that Notre Dame can shut down a good offense. It didn't happen. Gonzaga shot 52% FG, and 55% 3pt. They scored 79
    pts. The Irish shot 24 more free throws than Gonzaga in this game. I didn't watch that game, so I don't know how much of that was legit, but it is unlikely
    that a 24 shot FT disparity is fully legit.
    I think thatif Georgetown is smart tonight, they will stay out of foul trouble and let Notre Dame take their shots, with emphasis on defensive rebounding and
    transition to offense. They are a superior shooting team over Notre Dame.
    Against far more challenging opponents,
    G-Town is .528 FG to Notre Dame's .458
    G-Town is .426 3pt to Notre Dame's .375

    p.s. if you don't like this game, I'm also taking Boston College over
    Rhode Island in a pk. (+1 now). I don't have the time to write up on it, but you can rest assured I did my work there.
    Also add Northern Arizona +6. St. John's +10, Furman +13.5,
    Pennsylvania -8, Weber St pk.
  • mukas pukas
    SBR Hustler
    • 11-30-08
    • 85

    #2
    love your write-ups. is your name "snowball" a nod to warren buffet?
    Comment
    • Snowball
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-15-09
      • 30064

      #3
      Originally posted by mukas pukas
      love your write-ups. is your name "snowball" a nod to warren buffet?
      I didn't know there was a "snowball" connection to Warren Buffett.
      No.. just one of my cats.
      Comment
      • agharah1
        SBR MVP
        • 09-07-10
        • 2304

        #4
        This is kindof a tossup since both teams are good offensively, and although ND has a weak defense it is a Big East road game so its not going to be easy for the Hoyas. Heck, they struggled in the first half vs. a Memphis team that is definitely not going to win Conference USA.

        The over, on the other hand, I'm really liking.
        Comment
        • t-wizzle
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-18-09
          • 38099

          #5
          Georgetown is good but if you watched the Temple game, you saw that they can be sloppy at times. Notre Dame is a tough place to play - I love the Irish getting pts at home
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            I hate taking road faves, but after watching both teams play this year, Georgetown is superior in every facet.

            With that being said, it is college hoops, where emotions run high and can lead to upsets.
            Comment
            • TPowell
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-21-08
              • 18842

              #7
              if you want to bet a road team, Georgetown is the team to bet IMO. One of the best teams in the country easily
              Comment
              • Snowball
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 11-15-09
                • 30064

                #8
                Northern Arizona covered
                Comment
                • Snowball
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 11-15-09
                  • 30064

                  #9
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  I hate taking road faves, but after watching both teams play this year, Georgetown is superior in every facet.

                  With that being said, it is college hoops, where emotions run high and can lead to upsets.
                  I honestly think G-Town is better this year, without Greg Monroe.
                  His play often appeared lazy to me.. fits right in with the Pistons !!
                  Comment
                  • GoldRush7
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-27-09
                    • 2014

                    #10
                    I am obviously bias, but the irish are tough at home. That being said, if the 3's aren't dropping Gtown will smash them
                    Comment
                    • Snowball
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 11-15-09
                      • 30064

                      #11
                      pumped 4 this
                      Comment
                      • LockPickMaster
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-15-09
                        • 1943

                        #12
                        How is the game going, I'm at work.
                        Comment
                        • TPowell
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-21-08
                          • 18842

                          #13
                          foul fest so far. Notre Dame has shot double digit free throws already. GT down 6
                          Comment
                          • Hanger
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-25-09
                            • 2115

                            #14
                            Ok so Foul Fest, I just looked at the score, looks like ND should take a lead into the locker room at half?? I am unable to watch the game, so going to trust the opinions of a select few in this thread....how does Gtown look here....are they a viable 2H play depending on what it opens at??

                            Thanks guys
                            Comment
                            • LockPickMaster
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-15-09
                              • 1943

                              #15
                              ND +3 to hedge my bet
                              Comment
                              • LockPickMaster
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-15-09
                                • 1943

                                #16
                                GT either has no one that can go to the hole or doesn't want to make a play tonight.
                                Comment
                                • Hanger
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-25-09
                                  • 2115

                                  #17
                                  Just got home and turned this game on. Wow Gtown looks super flat. Have a feeling taking Gtown 2h was a bad bet.

                                  3-17 from 3 pt land. Ugly lol
                                  Comment
                                  • LockPickMaster
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-15-09
                                    • 1943

                                    #18
                                    This game is over. I thought John Thompson had a team this year but another bunch of chokers.
                                    Comment
                                    • shawnkang
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-14-10
                                      • 547

                                      #19
                                      gtown did not look good at all.
                                      Comment
                                      • scratbandit
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-07-09
                                        • 548

                                        #20
                                        This one was hard to swallow for sure.
                                        Comment
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