Tracking New System (80% in 1st week)

[Heandog]

No offense to anyone using accuscore but I honestly think it sucks, it's hard to have filters for this kine system but the only one I'm using at the moment is just like today kenpom saying that Samford should be around +8 but Vegas only giving me 6? I'll sit that one out. As I said before I stuck with the 'bad lines' before and I'm 1-3.. When the professor guy originally came up with this system there was a certain conference he didn't play but I can't remember or work out which one it was, hopefully it doesn't bite me in the arse! So not many filters other than that for now

Aussie I dont remember him saying he did not play a certian coference (I could be wrong) But I do Remember him saying he dose not play "senior nites" as the home team crowds are usually a packed house therefore giving them a little more motorvation to win and he has no data on how the system dose in this situations. Just a little something to keep in mind.

[BIGDAY]

Good luck today boys!

[wseward]

Does pomeroy not factor in home court advantage... I just find it odd that a lot of the plays here are on the away team???

[makeitrain2]

For what it's worth I back tested for all of 09/10 season on the kine system, pulling results from covers and came to roughly 71% winners.

[Heandog]

For what it's worth I back tested for all of 09/10 season on the kine system, pulling results from covers and came to roughly 71% winners.

If you dont mind my asking how long did you back track or was it just for those 2 weeks he played it.

[Heandog]

Does pomeroy not factor in home court advantage... I just find it odd that a lot of the plays here are on the away team???

read previous threads and you will see that the Kine system is going to be all away teams getting +6 or more

[Axis]

read previous threads and you will see that the Kine system is going to be all away teams getting +6 or more

He's not talking about the Kine system though.

And no, I don't believe that KenPom factors in Home court advantage.

Could be something to look into I guess...go through the results and see what would happen if we added it in ourselves.

[Heandog]

Another depressing day. It doesn't help that I'm currently sick so all I was able to do today was sit on the couch and watch my picks lose one-by-one.

2-6 today and 0-3 in the accuscore filtered plays. That's nearly 10 units gone in 2 days. Hopefully it will pick up during the week... or this may be a system that should only be used before mid-january?? Only time will tell.

Dunnchenn this system has been solid during the week it just seems like saturdays are a killer with this weekend and last weekend split its just to many games weekends so it is diff gonna cut your pencentages for sure , maybe you could do a weekday tally vs weekend tally just a thought.

[sheffield77]

can someone direct me where to find how the kine system works?

[Heandog]

can someone direct me where to find how the kine system works?

go back in the pages Page 9 post #304 then go page 10 post#322 and then you can read on futher as I only had a copy of in in some notes from last year that i had been saving for this year but Im sure you could do a search as others have done read the post further for a little more input.

[sheffield77]

thanks man

[Heandog]

Idaho game is @+6 now keeping an eye on it for possible Kine system play .

[Aussiecapper101]

Idaho game is @+6 now keeping an eye on it for possible Kine system play .

Something seriously weird about this game? Does anyone know if there's injuries or the whole team got the flu or something

[Heandog]

Something seriously weird about this game? Does anyone know if there's injuries or the whole team got the flu or something

Sure dose, no injurys reported but that dont mean crap if they put players out for disipline reasons u know what I mean im going with a small play tonite I would nomally play it for a little more seeing it matches with Dunchenn , Tx did not post today ?

[dingbat]

i took the +5 line and i'm scratching my head why idaho wasn't favored to begin with. idaho won a close one their previous game and fresno put up a real stinker against utah st. banking on that fresno won't miss the same shots they did last game?

http://www.fresnobee.com/2011/01/16/2235411/dogs-men-hope-shots-fall-against.html

[Axis]

I took Fresno when the line came out...not lookin' for Idaho to cover for a 5th straight time...

[dingbat]

i've seen both teams play, everything says idaho, but what do i know...

[LockPickMaster]

Fresno lost to Utah St because of their zone defense and now Fres has to face the same zone tonight again. Maybe Fres has the zone figured out tonight.

[makeitrain2]

I pulled the results of all games for last season that would fit the criteria.

[Axis]

Annnnnnnd?

[DuncHen22]

DAILY WRAP UP

Idaho +5 (3.5) WIN
Loyola-MD +3 (2)WIN
Kansas -3.5 (2.5)WIN
Samford -6 (2) LOSS
College of Charleston -7.5 (2.5) LOSS

Alright finally a positive day, even if it was on +0.8.

(since Dec 11, 2010)
112-82 (58%) +21.8 units

(since Jan 15, 2011)
No Filter: 6-10 (38%) -5 units
With Filter: 11-18 (38%) -8.8 units

[DARKERIDER]

not a bad day and the kine system went 2-1 if you didnt run any filters, thanks guys

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Not bad guys not bad

[Aussiecapper101]

Idaho cover was nice! was that a trap or what guys! the line even moved out to 6 before tipoff and became a kine system play.. I dont know what the hell vegas were doing on that one? sharp money for Fresno st or just playing with people? didnt make sense, cost me half unit cos I was scared out of it a little

[Axis]

Well, I'll be fading Idaho next game...bastards haha...glad you all cashed!

[DuncHen22]

1/18 PLAYS

Kentucky -4 (3)
Nebraska -4 (3)

Personally I don't like either one of those, and AccuScore agreed with my intuition and didn't predict either to cover. So I'm just laying low tomorrow. See you Wednesday!

[peterpan19]

DAILY WRAP UP Idaho +5 (3.5) WIN Loyola-MD +3 (2)WIN Kansas -3.5 (2.5)WIN Samford -6 (2) LOSS College of Charleston -7.5 (2.5) LOSS Alright finally a positive day, even if it was on +0.8. (since Dec 11, 2010) 112-82 (58%) +21.8 units (since Jan 15, 2011) No Filter: 6-10 (38%) -5 units With Filter: 11-18 (38%) -8.8 units

I said it yesterday and I say it again today, Samford was never a play, line opened too high

[Aussiecapper101]

its going to be a quiet day.. No kine system plays either by the look of it

[BigMama]

great day for all

[cheezhead62]

Good luck today!

[GGZOLA]

idaho +5 1unit
c of c -7.5 1 unit
kansas -4 1.5 units

thats all for today on my end.

new week, 1-0 positive line moves +1.5 units
1-1 neutral -.1u NET +1.4 UNITS, 2-1.

Note: I understand lines go up and down after I post my picks, but I cannot follow this entire day. So win or lose, I take whatever the line is/was, then play them and thats it. I know idaho actually closed +6 (negative move) but for my tracking I am keeping it simple.
Unfortunately I dabbled in MLK NBA and got my ass handed to me...sliced and diced to wipe out any win from this

[DuncHen22]

I said it yesterday and I say it again today, Samford was never a play, line opened too high

Samford opened at 6 for me. I wish you were right though.

[sheffield77]

I'm going to keep track of a new system with Kenpom and team totals with a difference of 2.5 or more for the over and 4 or more for the under. I don't know if anyone has tried this so far.
Today's plays so far
Alabama under 64.5
Marquette over 84
Nebraska over 68.5
BYU over 87

[peterpan19]

Samford opened at 6 for me. I wish you were right though.

pinny opened -7 and 5dimes -6.5, which book do you use ?

[DuncHen22]

pinny opened -7 and 5dimes -6.5, which book do you use ?

I use 5Dimes... though I just checked sbrodds.com and you are correct. They just dropped it down to -6 10 minutes after putting the line up. But it looks like pretty much everywhere had it at -6.5 and -7 so I will strike it from the record. Too bad I can't get my real money back for it though Thanks!