any kine plays today guys?
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Hey guys no plays tonite (Kine system as of 1/18 record @ 20-12-2) gonna take the nite off going to casino instead play a little Hold em try to add to the funds that way instead . Have a good nite and good luckComment -
DH,
I'm gonna play-em, gotta keep the faith bro....................
I hate to say it, but the system was doing real well, until the filters started getting alot of attention. But they are good info too, so don't take that in a negative way.
As we say down in Texas, ""Gotta Dance with the One that Brung Ya""
Thanks for all the work and input. And that goes out to everybody that has contributed as well.Comment -
for the record, 1 unit on each...Comment -
I loved both of the games...took both for the standard unit play. Didn't see any reason to be wary...which is what I look for.
Nothing really stood out, but nothing took away, so...a play they are in my book.Comment -
So everything is based on opening lines correct? For example, it was pointed out earlier that Samford at -6 was not a play because it in fact opened at -7. So this should not have even been considered if I am correct? Just wanting to clarify.
Big day Wednesday, potentially a lot of plays.Comment -
Towson -3 (2) opened at -2
Ohio pk (3)
Ball State -3.5 (4.5)
Duquesne -6 (4) opened at 7.5
Duke -10 (6)
Tulsa -2.5 (3.5)
Wichita State -8 (2)
Iowa State +4.5 (5.5) opened at -5
Long Beach State -6 (3)
These look like the plays for 1/19. Of course let Dunchen and company make it official but this is looking like the card for the day. I may have missed one possibly, went through it kind of quick. Feel free to double check of course, but it's accurate in my estimation. Carry on
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Huge card, lot of picks. Good luckComment -
No Kine system plays again
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can't wait to see your picks for today... I went with Depaulplus 21 yesterday knowing Marquette had covered there last 6 games..Comment -
I dont think there's money to be made betting like that, I used to think that because a team kept covering that vegas would get sick of it and put out a big juicy line out on the underdog to stop the rot but I never made shit from it cos when it comes down to gametime its just another game with another spread worked off power rankings etc. If anything vegas know that people are riding spreads thinking that the ship will sink but its just not worth waiting around for in my opinion. And no offense meant to you because many people do it and as I said I used to aswell but now I cut that stuff out of my handicapping Im doing much better and its less frustrating too
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Actually there has been quite a lot of money made that way this season...no team has gone beyond 7 in a row ATS...and only 4 teams now all season have made it there...I've set up a 2 game max chase/double up and it's been good...only those 4 losses on the season.I dont think there's money to be made betting like that, I used to think that because a team kept covering that vegas would get sick of it and put out a big juicy line out on the underdog to stop the rot but I never made shit from it cos when it comes down to gametime its just another game with another spread worked off power rankings etc. If anything vegas know that people are riding spreads thinking that the ship will sink but its just not worth waiting around for in my opinion. And no offense meant to you because many people do it and as I said I used to aswell but now I cut that stuff out of my handicapping Im doing much better and its less frustrating tooComment -
could some one explain how to interpret line movements? eg what does it mean when a line goes higher say from -7 to -8, and what does the opposite mean when it goes from -7 to -6. Thanks guysComment -
Worked last year too.
2 game chase isn't breaking my bank. Appreciate the concern though...I get where you're coming from but I don't bet mass units on it. I bet 1 to start, 2 on the chase...if I lose, I'm done. Has worked well thus far.Comment -
Sorry, been absent for a couple days. I have been on the road for most of this month and then had to deal with some unexpected issues the last couple days. Had NO time for handicapping.Towson -3 (2) opened at -2 Ohio pk (3) Ball State -3.5 (4.5) Duquesne -6 (4) opened at 7.5 Duke -10 (6) Tulsa -2.5 (3.5) Wichita State -8 (2) Iowa State +4.5 (5.5) opened at -5 Long Beach State -6 (3) These look like the plays for 1/19. Of course let Dunchen and company make it official but this is looking like the card for the day. I may have missed one possibly, went through it kind of quick. Feel free to double check of course, but it's accurate in my estimation. Carry on
Assuming the plays above are the Dunc system plays for today, the Bulldog Subset would be:
Towsen
Ohio
Duke
Tulsa
Wich St
Iowa St
Good Luck AllComment -
I agree, just look at the history of a team that is 6-0 or 7-0 against the spread and see how long that keeps up. I played Depaul last night as well and lost and I will be on ND on Saturday against Marquette (who is at 7-0 ats). Just found a great thread that Goalline Bob has and it is a winning formula in my opinion. It's not for everyone, I hated Depaul last night and knew they were terrible but the odds say to start fading a team when they are at 6-0. Thats just my take on it and if I lose I lose but I am a gambling man so I will take my chances. By the way I love the work and the conversation in this thread as well. Good luck today everyone, hope to see alot of W's on the card this evening.Comment -
HA,
Can you share Goalline Bob's thread.....is it in here or a particular website? How do we access it?Comment -
We got a kine play CENTENARY +19.5Comment -
Sorry for the delay today. I've been sick lately and couldn't do anything.
Iowa St +5 (6)
ST Joe's +1.5 (2.5)
Ohio PK (3)
Towson -2 (3)
Tulsa -2.5 (3.5)
Ball St -4 (4)
Long Beach State -6 (3)
Duquesne -7.5 (2.5)
Western Mich -9 (2)
The only difference between mine and fphatpat's above is he had Duke -10, which isn't a play because that's in the double digits, and he didn't have Western Michigan.
I'll be back shortly to see which of these match up with AccuScore.
BOL today!Comment -
Congratulations and good luck with your plays!Comment -
OK, I'm back
Iowa St +5
Ohio PK
Towson -2
Ball St -4
Western Mich -9
The one that stuck out for me as the game to avoid was Duq -7.5. The line has already dropped to -6 and AccuScore says even at that line, they have a 43% chance of covering. That's almost fade-worthy (I'm staying away though).Comment -
Dunc, I think he didn't have Western Mich because if Kenpoms line is above 10 its a throw outComment -
He has a thread here in the College Bball handicapping. Great thread in my opinion. Of course not all games are winners but I have never found a system that was all winners. I just personally believe that Vegas will make the lines so that people can't just auto bet Marquette and win. I thought the line last night might of been inflated but Depaul was just that bad.Comment -
I dont see any lines out on that game yet but Ill keep an eye out thanks. Centenary is the worst ranked team #345 @0-19 it might just be a good one to pass on tonite if you can even get a line. I know it will be a no play for me but if a majority of the books do put out a line I will count it in the win /loss tallyComment -
Hean, 5 dimes has it but not under reduced juice. Both sides are at -115. I'm gonna pass. thanks for the inputComment -
I'm going to pass on Centenary also... thanks for the work!Comment -
Thanks for the picks!Comment -
in regards to kine plays the home team must be the favorite? it cant be the other way araound because if so Toledo +9 seems like a Kine play because both teams are ranked 180 or lowerComment -
hey huys, sorry havent posted much, have no discipline, and got killed last 2 days, so im totally out of it. Here are unit plays for today:
Iowa St +5 (6) 1u
ST Joe's +1.5 (2.5) no play
Ohio PK (3) 1.5 units
Towson -2 (3) 1 unit
Tulsa -2.5 (3.5) 1 unit
Ball St -4 (4) 1 unit
Long Beach State -6 (3) 1 unit
Duquesne -7.5 (2.5) no play
Western Mich -9 (2) 1 unit
from now on, I am only posting line movements as 1pt or greater, these 1/2 pointers are not too significant imo to change from a (+) to a neutral, plus dont have time all day to follow line movements. good luck I really need these tonight.Comment -
Just a suggestions and i realize that you are doing a massive amount of work already DuncHen, but have you thought about adding Dunkels score system to the filters along with accuscore?Comment
