There are a few of these I don't like, so I'm holding off until I get updated data and I want to be able to put it through my second filter.
Any reason why Washington is not on the list, KenPom has them by 9 and the line is -6 ???????????????
Comment
liamalan
Restricted User
11-21-10
148
#705
Let's have some winners today
Comment
GGZOLA
SBR MVP
06-30-06
1118
#706
guys I am not playing today, going to collect for a change, do not want to risk units won this week. Spent so many hours away from work and family to do this, I am gonna take 8 units and close out week. But, I will track plays today and include in my record, here they are: (prob go undefeated so fire away)
VALPO +2 1 UNIT
EASTERN MICH +9.5 1.5 UNITS
AUBURN +10.5 1.5 UNITS
UNC -6 -105 1 UNIT
MIA-OHIO +1 1 UNIT
IOWA +10.5 1 UNIT
WASHINGTON, ND,PURDUE, no plays for me as all lines moving against them. good luck to all.
I know its the wrong thread but have an nba 1st quarter play that I am very confident on.
Clippers +the points 1st qtr. No guarantees, but with Lakers facing OKC on deck, clippers should start good and have a lead at end of 1st. Said I am not playing but I will have something on this qtr bet maybe 1 unit.
Comment
EasyHustlin
SBR Wise Guy
07-15-10
633
#707
GG any line movement so far?
Comment
kenjikash
Restricted User
01-03-11
46
#708
i love this system, thanks for the insight.
Comment
peterpan19
Restricted User
11-02-08
3377
#709
Originally posted by TEXAS MICKEY
Any reason why Washington is not on the list, KenPom has them by 9 and the line is -6 ???????????????
opening line was -8, Difference not big enough
Comment
Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#710
Another play for Kine System is Kennesaw St +8- and the other play is East Washington +11- now 12 (and East Mich+10 alltho I think it went off @8-)I missed the east mich game earlier my Bad sorry guys
Comment
lenahanj
Restricted User
12-29-09
293
#711
BOL today to all will be tailing
Comment
TEXAS MICKEY
SBR MVP
11-14-10
1398
#712
Originally posted by peterpan19
opening line was -8, Difference not big enough
Thanks.
Comment
GGZOLA
SBR MVP
06-30-06
1118
#713
here are line movements:
VALPO +2, STILL +2. NEUTRAL
EAST. MICH +10, NOW +9. POSITIVE LINE MOVEMENT.
MIAMI OHIO +1 NEUTRAL
AUBURN +11.5 NOW +10.5 POSITIVE LINE MOVEMENT.
UNC -5.5 NOW -6-105 SLIGHT POS. BUT I AM COUNTING AS NEUTRAL.
WASHINGTON -7.5 NOW -6.5 -105 DANGER
ND +2.5 NOW +3 DANGER
IOWA +10.5 NEUTRAL
remember guys...just a guideline here.
I am following jerry12345's theory and limited data of playing only games with positive or neutral line movement
like I said "fake-playing" today keeping track but the nervous wreck I am have things to do today I cant be glued to laptop had enough yesterday. That being said, I still hope these plays I posted net a positive result...even if I didnt win because it further will solidify system. Will be back at night with recap of units, good luck all....
Comment
Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#714
Good Luck GGZOLA Thanks
Comment
ufcmma36
SBR MVP
02-22-10
1065
#715
bol bro doing a great job!!!!!!
Comment
jerry12345
SBR Rookie
01-12-11
20
#716
Updated: Line movement results from yesterday’s games
Positive – 44 – 21 = 68% (Rounded up)
No difference – 17 – 11 = 61% (Rounded up)
Negative – 29 – 33 = 47% (Rounded up)
Comment
Axis
SBR MVP
01-08-09
1255
#717
Now, people use different terms so...just so I'm not confusing myself haha...
When you say Positive line movement...do you mean that if the team we want start at -4, and by game time it's at -5...??
And Negative would be if that team at -4 is at -3 by game time...??
Just trying to clarify terms being used. Thanks
Comment
DuncHen22
SBR MVP
11-20-09
1079
#718
Originally posted by TEXAS MICKEY
Any reason why Washington is not on the list, KenPom has them by 9 and the line is -6 ???????????????
The line opened at -8 and has dropped to -6 so I'm not touching that one.
Comment
Underwraps
SBR Rookie
01-16-11
22
#719
Originally posted by Heandog
Another play for Kine System is Kennesaw St +8- and the other play is East Washington +11- now 12
Isn't eastern Mich one of them also since both teams are under 180?
Comment
GGZOLA
SBR MVP
06-30-06
1118
#720
axis, once and for all, let me explain this because yes its confusing.
POSITIVE means , whatever ken pom predicts, the line moves towards that. But in essence, we are losing points.
Example: He has auburn +9, original line was +11.5, now down to +10.5. even though we lose a point playing late late, it is considered positive line movement because books agreeing with kenpom.
and negative is the opposite of this. So far my plays doing good, typical I dont have a cent on them
Comment
GGZOLA
SBR MVP
06-30-06
1118
#721
Originally posted by GGZOLA
across the board sucked ass tonight. I went 0-4 on 1 unit plays, 4-2 on 1.5 unit plays.
Net=-7.1 units on shitty saturday.
updated record: 1 unit (8-5) neutral line movements 1.5 units (7-3) positive line movements.
net 8.05 units for week
dont really mind realistic perspective to lose, its frustrating as hell because at least 3-4 losses should have won.
Vbuilt, alabama, oregon were all covering at least 3/4 of the game. Moving on to tomorrow.
I am so fried cant even do simple math last night.
1 unit games went 0-4 -4.4 units. 1.5 unit games 4-2 +2.7 units, not -2.7, as listed last night
But net units are correct, +8.05 pending sunday, Im out for sons bball game....GL to all fellow degens
Comment
Axis
SBR MVP
01-08-09
1255
#722
Yea thanks...I normally refer to positive line movement when it's in my favor, i.e. when it appears the sharps are on my side...so I was just making sure terms were being correctly understood
Lost ND...I was only going to play Creighton +3.5 today...but jumped on ND and Eastern Mich. hopefully EMU can pull throw for a W
Comment
Aussiecapper101
SBR MVP
09-04-10
2220
#723
Originally posted by Heandog
Another play for Kine System is Kennesaw St +8- and the other play is East Washington +11- now 12
I'm a bit late but yes these are right, I am spewing I missed them was sleeping! GL
Comment
Heandog
SBR MVP
12-30-09
1634
#724
Originally posted by Underwraps
Isn't eastern Mich one of them also since both teams are under 180?
Underwraps I totally missed that play Yes it is a play good looking out . I will edit my post Thank you
Comment
LockPickMaster
SBR MVP
02-15-09
1943
#725
Originally posted by Axis
Yea thanks...I normally refer to positive line movement when it's in my favor, i.e. when it appears the sharps are on my side...so I was just making sure terms were being correctly understood
Lost ND...I was only going to play Creighton +3.5 today...but jumped on ND and Eastern Mich. hopefully EMU can pull throw for a W
Did you factor in that EMU's top player is out for this game.
Comment
Aussiecapper101
SBR MVP
09-04-10
2220
#726
Originally posted by GGZOLA
axis, once and for all, let me explain this because yes its confusing.
POSITIVE means , whatever ken pom predicts, the line moves towards that. But in essence, we are losing points.
Example: He has auburn +9, original line was +11.5, now down to +10.5. even though we lose a point playing late late, it is considered positive line movement because books agreeing with kenpom.
and negative is the opposite of this. So far my plays doing good, typical I dont have a cent on them
Wish I saw your plays earlier cos we all know how it go when u don't have a cent on them! Good work
Comment
Aussiecapper101
SBR MVP
09-04-10
2220
#727
Originally posted by Heandog
Underwraps I totally missed that play Yes it is a play good looking out . I will edit my post Thank you
I thought u posted emu earlier but it was east Washington, my bad
Comment
scratbandit
SBR Wise Guy
09-07-09
548
#728
Pretty cool system. I definitely like the new filters..
Comment
Fins007
SBR High Roller
01-04-11
104
#729
Aussiecapper,
This Kine System seems like it works! What's the success rate so far? I'm assuming your doing
well even though it's not Feb?
Tomorrow's lines with KP can be found as his site.
The list for tomorrow 1/17 is :
Houston Baptist
The Citadel
N. Carolina A&T
S. Carolina St
Grambling
Florida A&M
According to this system, your just using KP's info and seeing if the team (180 or higher is
picked to win by 6 or more). I think I did that. Can you check my work when you get a chance
and let me know if it is ok?
I just want to start filtering ASAP. Make sure I have this down.
Thanks!
Fins007
Comment
Fins007
SBR High Roller
01-04-11
104
#730
Should have added - HOME TEAM.....I did it....just didn't state it...My bad...
Comment
GGZOLA
SBR MVP
06-30-06
1118
#731
back from game...wow did games turn for the worse...no winner besides valpo, hows everyone else faring?
Hope someone tailed on clippers 1st qtr....
Comment
TEXAS MICKEY
SBR MVP
11-14-10
1398
#732
I think we all got our asses handed to us today. Filtered and Un-filtered.
Tomorrows a new day, lick our wounds and move forward.
DH22, TXBulldog, Aussie, H-Dog, GG, Axis you guys rock with all your input.
Thanks and GL tomorrow, we got NBA all day and early college action.
Comment
Aussiecapper101
SBR MVP
09-04-10
2220
#733
Originally posted by Fins007
Aussiecapper,
This Kine System seems like it works! What's the success rate so far? I'm assuming your doing
well even though it's not Feb?
Tomorrow's lines with KP can be found as his site.
The list for tomorrow 1/17 is :
Houston Baptist
The Citadel
N. Carolina A&T
S. Carolina St
Grambling
Florida A&M
According to this system, your just using KP's info and seeing if the team (180 or higher is
picked to win by 6 or more). I think I did that. Can you check my work when you get a chance
and let me know if it is ok?
I just want to start filtering ASAP. Make sure I have this down.
Thanks!
Fins007
I have to go to work shortly but I'll go through the plays and let u know.. the record so far I can't be sure of because I've been getting the best lines and buying half points etc, I myself have not had a day worse than 1-2 (today is one of those days) but on the weekend I went 10-4 and last week I had a few good days too.. The good thing is that the closer it gets to February it's only going to get stronger (according to previous years) so hopefully we can make some serious money. it's not easy though cos u have to remember we are backing low ranked teams that are pathetic so it's tough on the eyes sometimes but hey if it's successful then I can't complain.. I'll check those plays in a bit
Comment
Aussiecapper101
SBR MVP
09-04-10
2220
#734
Heandog might be able to help out with an accurate record for the last week or so