Tracking New System (80% in 1st week)

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  • jerry12345
    SBR Rookie
    • 01-12-11
    • 20

    #631
    Dunc, possible additions to the list as bookies have just released the lines on these games;

    North Dakota St -5 o Western Illinois (3)
    Southern Utah -6 o Centenary (7)
    Comment
    • GGZOLA
      SBR MVP
      • 06-30-06
      • 1118

      #632
      OK, 7 games based on my filters so far, play the best line available, as always: (N)=NEUTRAL (+) POSITIVE line movements

      vandy +1 1UNIT (N)
      ALABAMA +1 1 UNIT (N)
      Yale -1 1.5 UNITS (+)
      LOY-CHI +3 1.5 UNITS (+)
      UCONN -9.5 1.5 UNITS (+)
      CALL ST FULLERTON +2 1.5 UNITS (+) (late game line dropping to 1.5)

      added games: 230pm pacific: SOUTHERN UTAH -6.5 1.5 UNITS (+)
      had to get this in, dont see line going down already went from 6 to -6.5.
      only available @ 5dimes and select books. KP has 13-pt projection win for S. Utah, too good to pass up...more to come later.

      on a side note, surprised at the number of games I have today...was expecting more, but better, I already am risking all I won this week.
      Comment
      • GGZOLA
        SBR MVP
        • 06-30-06
        • 1118

        #633
        on a side note: louisville, central florida, and san francisco lines dropping like a rock personally not touching those...
        Comment
        • Aussiecapper101
          SBR MVP
          • 09-04-10
          • 2220

          #634
          Originally posted by GGZOLA
          on a side note: louisville, central florida, and san francisco lines dropping like a rock personally not touching those...
          louisville already started
          Comment
          • GGZOLA
            SBR MVP
            • 06-30-06
            • 1118

            #635
            yes i know...just line dropped 1 full point (6 to 5) before it went off...GL anyways if you got them I think it will be close to spread.
            Comment
            • Aussiecapper101
              SBR MVP
              • 09-04-10
              • 2220

              #636
              Kineproffesor System plays for today (for tracking purposes til February unless your crazy like me)

              Florida int +7
              UL Monroe +8.5
              UL Lafayette +8
              Tenn Martin +6
              Idaho state +11.5 (should get 12 before tip off)
              Toledo +11 (trending down to 10-10.5)
              Niagara +10

              Heandog please check these if you have a chance
              And Bulldog if you could please run these through your filters again it would be appreciated
              Comment
              • Aussiecapper101
                SBR MVP
                • 09-04-10
                • 2220

                #637
                Originally posted by GGZOLA
                yes i know...just line dropped 1 full point (6 to 5) before it went off...GL anyways if you got them I think it will be close to spread.
                thanks for posting those up GL
                Comment
                • GGZOLA
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-30-06
                  • 1118

                  #638
                  no prob, thx for kine's plays too, sooo tempted but gonna hold off till feb
                  Comment
                  • Heandog
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-30-09
                    • 1634

                    #639
                    Originally posted by Aussiecapper101
                    Kineproffesor System plays for today (for tracking purposes til February unless your crazy like me)

                    Florida int +7
                    UL Monroe +8.5
                    UL Lafayette +8
                    Tenn Martin +6
                    Idaho state +11.5 (should get 12 before tip off)
                    Toledo +11 (trending down to 10-10.5)

                    Heandog please check these if you have a chance
                    And Bulldog if you could please run these through your filters again it would be appreciated
                    Aussie I got toledo+10,Fla Int+7, Idaho st+11-,U Lafayette+8, Ul Monore+9 and Niagara +10 I gotta go back and check Tenn Martin yes Tenn Martin a play also+6- Thanks Aussie you did not have Niagara got go out be back later thanks
                    Comment
                    • Aussiecapper101
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-04-10
                      • 2220

                      #640
                      Originally posted by Heandog
                      Aussie I got toledo+10,Fla Int+7, Ill Chicago+8-,U Lafayette+8, Ul Monore+9 and Niagara +10 I gotta go back and check Tenn Martin
                      illinois chicago wouldnt be a play as wisc green bay are ranked 178? close but no cigar am I right?
                      Comment
                      • Aussiecapper101
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-04-10
                        • 2220

                        #641
                        and yes I did miss out Niagra I will edit
                        Comment
                        • Aussiecapper101
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-04-10
                          • 2220

                          #642
                          Originally posted by Heandog
                          Aussie I got toledo+10,Fla Int+7, Ill Chicago+8-,U Lafayette+8, Ul Monore+9 and Niagara +10 I gotta go back and check Tenn Martin yes Tenn Martin a play also+6- Thanks Aussie you did not have Niagara got go out be back later thanks
                          did you get Idaho st? Weber st ranked 189
                          Comment
                          • Axis
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-08-09
                            • 1255

                            #643
                            Good Morning all...time to start capping (a little late)
                            Comment
                            • Axis
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-08-09
                              • 1255

                              #644
                              I like Yale.
                              Comment
                              • Aussiecapper101
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-04-10
                                • 2220

                                #645
                                Originally posted by Axis
                                I like Yale.
                                yale moved from +2 to -1 on my book
                                Comment
                                • duyp
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 01-12-11
                                  • 16

                                  #646
                                  I got yale at +1, line just changed for me.
                                  Comment
                                  • cccallow
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-24-10
                                    • 322

                                    #647
                                    yeah, line is really swinging back to brown right now. Does this make it a no play since it is back to the original line?
                                    Comment
                                    • Aussiecapper101
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-04-10
                                      • 2220

                                      #648
                                      your right i got ripped off took them as a pk
                                      Comment
                                      • GGZOLA
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-30-06
                                        • 1118

                                        #649
                                        For the record, my plays posted DO NOT CHANGE; I stick with original line moves. IMO books do this later to act as a "head-fake" to scare right sides from jumping ship. Just my humble opinion...
                                        Comment
                                        • cccallow
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-24-10
                                          • 322

                                          #650
                                          well, im on yale as my best play of the day but of course, I got -1 as it fits this system plus one that I use. Hope we nail it. I have them as 3.5 pt favorites today.
                                          Comment
                                          • GGZOLA
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-30-06
                                            • 1118

                                            #651
                                            ADDING:
                                            NORTH DAKOTA STATE (5pm pacific) -5, 1 UNIT (NEUTRAL LINE MOVEMENT)
                                            locking in the 5 -115. Some places have 5.5 think it will go up by gametime...
                                            Comment
                                            • liamalan
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-21-10
                                              • 148

                                              #652
                                              Good luck with your picks.
                                              Comment
                                              • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-29-07
                                                • 26068

                                                #653
                                                You guys are great keep up great work
                                                Comment
                                                • Aussiecapper101
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-04-10
                                                  • 2220

                                                  #654
                                                  vandy need a 3 with 3 seconds to go
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Axis
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-08-09
                                                    • 1255

                                                    #655
                                                    Vandy sucks when they are a play in this system...refused to play them today.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Jericholic
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-15-10
                                                      • 3099

                                                      #656
                                                      Vandy completely crapped the bed in the 2nd half. Terrible loss.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Aussiecapper101
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-04-10
                                                        • 2220

                                                        #657
                                                        Originally posted by Jericholic
                                                        Vandy completely crapped the bed in the 2nd half. Terrible loss.
                                                        yep, I need to let off some steam - VANDERBILT FUKKN SUCK - ahh thats better
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Axis
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-08-09
                                                          • 1255

                                                          #658
                                                          Originally posted by Jericholic
                                                          Vandy completely crapped the bed in the 2nd half. Terrible loss.
                                                          Every time the are a play...the look great, and then lose the 2H BIG.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Jericholic
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-15-10
                                                            • 3099

                                                            #659
                                                            Originally posted by Aussiecapper101

                                                            yep, I need to let off some steam - VANDERBILT FUKKN SUCK - ahh thats better
                                                            I'm sure my neighbors are wondering why I'm so pissed!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Heandog
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-30-09
                                                              • 1634

                                                              #660
                                                              Originally posted by Aussiecapper101
                                                              illinois chicago wouldnt be a play as wisc green bay are ranked 178? close but no cigar am I right?
                                                              sorry my Bad 178 is correct, and yes i missed the Idaho st Im glad we are here checking each other on this , and Good luck today
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Aussiecapper101
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-04-10
                                                                • 2220

                                                                #661
                                                                Originally posted by Heandog
                                                                sorry my Bad 178 is correct, and yes i missed the Idaho st Im glad we are here checking each other on this , and Good luck today
                                                                Im gonna need it
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Aussiecapper101
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-04-10
                                                                  • 2220

                                                                  #662
                                                                  lets hope bama dont take a page out of vandys book and shit the bed aswell
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Axis
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-08-09
                                                                    • 1255

                                                                    #663
                                                                    I swear...I need to stop betting games on Saturdays...I feel like I never do good on them. Hopefully tonight changes this.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DuncHen22
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-20-09
                                                                      • 1079

                                                                      #664
                                                                      Originally posted by Axis
                                                                      I swear...I need to stop betting games on Saturdays...I feel like I never do good on them. Hopefully tonight changes this.
                                                                      Hey man, it's still early. Don't get too down on yourself... yet. Let's just check back in after all the games are done.

                                                                      Yale, UConn, and Bama are all looking good... although there is a lot of time left.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • DuncHen22
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-20-09
                                                                        • 1079

                                                                        #665
                                                                        Okay, so I'm trying out my own additional filter today, just to see how it does. I'm going to compare KP's picks with AccuScore's spread predictions, and if they both agree (with a cutoff of 54%, although I may want to raise it up to 55%), then it's a play. It didn't pick Louisville or Vandy this morning so it's already cut out 2 losses.

                                                                        Bama +1
                                                                        Loyola-Chi +3.5
                                                                        UConn +3
                                                                        Central Florida +2
                                                                        Morehead -7.5
                                                                        North Texas -5
                                                                        San Fran -4.5
                                                                        Tenn-Martin +6
                                                                        Samford +4

                                                                        AccuScore has Central Florida beating the spread 54.2% of the time, and Tenn-Martin 54.6% of the time, those were the only 2 under 55%.

                                                                        So it cut out 7 games and 2 of those were already losses. Keep in mind this is the first time I'm trying this filter and it's merely a side project. I won't start officially following it until it has proven itself after a few days. Let's see how we do!
                                                                        Comment
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