I have Baylor at 75-1

[terpkeg]

Its the easiest hedge to make, when your team is the favorite.

I had a UNLV future to win the MWC tourny this year. They make it to the Championship game, and are favored by 5. I didnt hedge, and they end up losing.

I would hedge every time they are the favorites, b/c you are not losing money on Juice.

oyu cant look at it short sighted. it is easy to hedge when they are favorite, but what happens if they win, like a favorite should. then your hedge the next game just doubled. instead of having to bet Duke to win 64, you need to bet to win 128. If Duke is -4 -200 and Baylor wins, you really start to create trouble.

Hedging this game would have been a poor decision. Fortunately Baylor looked great which should shorten the line next game slightly. If Purdue pulls the upset it would be great.

Great play on Baylor BTW.

[TUDINH]

baylor good game so far

[Pair of 5s Sir]

you got it fellas, I am strapped in all the way. I am routing for Purdue now

[Pair of 5s Sir]

My ticket pays 2420 if baylor wins. Not to be annoying, when do I start hedging. This is getting scary.

[veemister]

GOOD LUCK 1000 WILL GET 75,000 NICE BET YE BABY LETS GO BAYLOR

[BRAHOOK]

Jinx

You just pissed off the gambling god by talking about
baylor now i'm pissd as i have them too
good luck !

[Pair of 5s Sir]

You just pissed off the gambling god by talking about
baylor now i'm pissd as i have them too
good luck !

Hey buddy, you need to look when I started this thread, March 21.

GL

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Baylor is now +985

[Pair of 5s Sir]

The number is not out. Duke/Baylor what do you think the number will be?

[Irish Lumberjack]

i hope it's colse to a pick so you can get your hedge on if you chose

[Pair of 5s Sir]

i hope it's colse to a pick so you can get your hedge on if you chose

I am thinkin the same thing. I think it will be Duke 2.5

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Number out Duke 4.5

[bradleysnyder]

at this point they could take it down.this has been a crazy tourney

[Pair of 5s Sir]

who knows. its been nutz.

[TheLock]

I would have bitch slapped you if you hedged before the last nights game. Baylor PUMMEL FISTED THAT GIRLS TEAM. I'm glad I played a small part in taking you off the hedge.

My gut tells me Baylor beats Duke by 3 points.

Anyone have any insight to how Baylor matches up with Duke?

[Kustac]

this thread is really long ... how much have you hedged so far?

[Pair of 5s Sir]

32 was the initial and 32 additional for 64 total. I wanted to last night but TheLock will kill me. The ticket wins 2400

[terpkeg]

I would have bitch slapped you if you hedged before the last nights game. Baylor PUMMEL FISTED THAT GIRLS TEAM. I'm glad I played a small part in taking you off the hedge.

My gut tells me Baylor beats Duke by 3 points.

Anyone have any insight to how Baylor matches up with Duke?

I am no college bball expert, but Baylor has a lot of size. I would think they are the biggest team in the tourney. You would think they could keep Duke of off O-Glass. They seem to be very athletic too. Duke needs to shoot very well to win game imo. But, thing is, Duke FG% not great if i recall correctly. Baylor will have crowd, and Duke is a weaker team away from Cameron.

I think Baylor wins. But I also have them to win tourney.

[terpkeg]

32 was the initial and 32 additional for 64 total. I wanted to last night but TheLock will kill me. The ticket wins 2400

What was your reasoning for making the bet in the first place? Did you intend on taking advantage of this and betting off to guaruntee 1 unit? Or, were you willing to accept a high variance play for a big reward. If you made the play specifically because you saw a weak line and thought you could exploit a 1-2 unit win, then maybe you have accomplished that. But that does not seem to be a good strategy because with that rationale, you could have bet Baylor ML for 32 dollars in round one. Take winnings and put it on top of Baylor in Rd 2 and you would have reached your goal.

I think you have to let it ride one more round before thinking about the hedge.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

What was your reasoning for making the bet in the first place? Did you intend on taking advantage of this and betting off to guaruntee 1 unit? Or, were you willing to accept a high variance play for a big reward. If you made the play specifically because you saw a weak line and thought you could exploit a 1-2 unit win, then maybe you have accomplished that. But that does not seem to be a good strategy because with that rationale, you could have bet Baylor ML for 32 dollars in round one. Take winnings and put it on top of Baylor in Rd 2 and you would have reached your goal.

I think you have to let it ride one more round before thinking about the hedge.

Thanks for the good advice.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

I like that Kentucky is out. Prefer playing West Virginia if Baylor wins tomorrow.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

cross them fingers boys

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Baylor is now 7.75-1 (+775) to win the tournament.

[KingKolzig]

I like that Kentucky is out. Prefer playing West Virginia if Baylor wins tomorrow.

you should more than like it. if Baylor beats duke it will not only get them to the final 4 but it will bolster their public image a ton, meaning a nice line vs WV. if they get there i think they will be +1.5 to WV as opposed to +6.5 to UK..............so this is really the biggest obstacle, i think you should get some value on the dukies here. cause its all even money after this one. thats what i would do, gl

[Pair of 5s Sir]

you should more than like it. if Baylor beats duke it will not only get them to the final 4 but it will bolster their public image a ton, meaning a nice line vs WV. if they get there i think they will be +1.5 to WV as opposed to +6.5 to UK..............so this is really the biggest obstacle, i think you should get some value on the dukies here. cause its all even money after this one. thats what i would do, gl

Be more specific. I am not sure what you are suggesting as to a hedge.

[KingKolzig]

i glanced over the thread. from what ive seen you put $32 to win $2400. thats crushing if they lose today and you dont get some pie back. i think you already tossed away like $64 on it or something, so thats not important. if you have cash that you can put in a book today i would do this:

get a nice bonus, like 50% cash somewhere. put in $500 ($32 with fees) for a balance of $782. At -240 on Duke it would win you $325 even. that would bring your balance to $1107 in a new book......if Baylor wins (unlikely) then you will be -$532 temporarily, but it would just be a matter of crunching the numbers against WV and then Butler/MSU/Tenn in the final to still bring home a good payday........if Duke wins then you basically win $500 total

[TheLock]

Interesting idea. Maybe someone can recommend a reliable book with a 50% cash bonus.

[extenzeuser]

baylor vs WV should be the championship but whatev

[KingKolzig]

betonline will match any bonus thats offered by an SBR "B" book or higher and sportbet/island both have a 50% cash bonus. Should be no problem for him to do this. Also wagerchief has a 50% cash bonus right now. Hes in a good spot with no powerhouses left but they could easily lose this game, he has to do something

[Pair of 5s Sir]

I hope.

[KingKolzig]

I hope.

huh .............are you going to let it ride?

[TheLock]

Good info King.

I agree. Now is the time to hedge. Don't want to walk away empty handed at this point.

[KingKolzig]

Good info King.

I agree. Now is the time to hedge. Don't want to walk away empty handed at this point.

Yes now is critical. And by using a books bonus offer (at 50% cash) you are knocking the Duke ML from -240 down to about -180

[Pair of 5s Sir]

I am not going to open in a new book. There has got to be a different way. All suggestions appreciated.

[KingKolzig]

A. Duke ML
B. Wait until half and hope for a Baylor lead (hedge then)
C. Let it ride
D. Buy Duke to -3.5 and hope they dont win by 1,2 or 3 pts