SBR's Source for FADEs.... Top Betting Trends

HoulihansTX · 03-22-10, 03:05 PM

Originally posted by cakasmaloy

do you always fade the #1 bet if it stays on top of the list all day up until tip off?

I have lately, except the Tex A&M game.

Angelodebo Always fades the top bet.

cakasmaloy · 03-22-10, 03:12 PM

how frequently does vegasinsider update this list

HoulihansTX · 03-22-10, 03:15 PM

Its updated every 10 to 20 minutes.

Look at the bottom half of the page, and it tells you the last update time.

cakasmaloy · 03-22-10, 03:17 PM

yea just saw that. do you follow this method for NBA too? i dont feel too confident about nets+6

HoulihansTX · 03-22-10, 03:19 PM

Yes. I dont fade everyday, but this is a great tool for capping.

ExposingLines247 · 03-22-10, 03:59 PM

yo houli shoulda got on with the lady cyclones last night 1-1 for me who you liking tonight in wncaa initial glance likin duke lady devs -7.5

HoulihansTX · 03-22-10, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by ExposingLines247

yo houli shoulda got on with the lady cyclones last night 1-1 for me who you liking tonight in wncaa initial glance likin duke lady devs -7.5

Link Not Working - Removed-)

HoulihansTX · 03-22-10, 04:15 PM

OK the link shit isnt working.

I played these really small, but Stanford -22.5, and Dayton +18.5. $65 each

I got really good lines on both, as they have moved a half point each. LSU is always a solid squad. I know they are strong each year.

Also in beaver ball I like to bet home teams, and UConn in the regular season. In the Tourny I either lay a lot of points, or take a lot of points. Dayton has played ever team tough this year, and only has one loss by double digits, which was to Xavier, a very strong team.

ExposingLines247 · 03-22-10, 04:23 PM

duke game is in durham

ExposingLines247 · 03-22-10, 04:23 PM

ha why didnt i say cameron

HoulihansTX · 03-22-10, 04:41 PM

Originally posted by ExposingLines247

duke game is in durham

Originally posted by ExposingLines247

ha why didnt i say cameron

LSU is just to tested for me to bet against them getting points.

They play some strong teams in conference, and beat Xavier on the road.

angelodebo · 03-22-10, 05:46 PM

I always fade the top picks..I took Rhody and Uconn tonight. VA Tech and Nevada were #1 &#2. I've had alot of success since fading the top picks.

I find it more successful when there are alot of games on the board b/c if one team out of 20 games is getting all the action, that is usually a sign that there is a "sucker" bet out there. But..when there are only a couple games, it really doesn't say much b/c everyone is betting the same games.

I love using the fade system during college football season and NFL. My total all year ..I'm in the black $2070. I destroyed the book this week for $800.

So overall..the system is pretty good. Remember..the more games going ..the better!

HoulihansTX · 03-22-10, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by angelodebo

I always fade the top picks..I took Rhody and Uconn tonight. VA Tech and Nevada were #1 . I've had alot of success since fading the top picks. I find it more successful when there are alot of games on the board b/c if one team out of 20 games is getting all the action, that is usually a sign that there is a "sucker" bet out there. But..when there are only a couple games, it really doesn't say much b/c everyone is betting the same games. I love using the fade system during college football season and NFL. My total all year ..I'm in the black $2070. I destroyed the book this week for $800. So overall..the system is pretty good. Remember..the more games going ..the better!

What about if their are multiple sports? Like today the top bet is Miami Heat in the NBA? Can fading the top bet in each sports work, for the FADE.

HoulihansTX · 03-22-10, 05:58 PM

Todays FADE 3/22

UConn +5

top pick in sports is VT. Gotta fade. everyday, every play. FADERNATION

snapstick · 03-22-10, 06:06 PM

Houlihans is there a record so far for this post? BOL

HoulihansTX · 03-22-10, 06:08 PM

I'm starting today. Really havent cared to keep track, but it hit last night with Purdue( FADE on TEX A&M) If you look at the previous screen shots you can backtrack.

HoulihansTX · 03-22-10, 06:10 PM

Ask Angelodedo though. He FADES everyday, and could give a better account of how the FADE has fared.

HoulihansTX · 03-22-10, 11:33 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Todays FADE 3/22 UConn +5 top pick in sports is VT. Gotta fade. everyday, every play. FADERNATION

W for FADERNATION.

TheLock · 03-23-10, 12:05 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

W for FADERNATION.

Nice work.

What are your thoughts on this particular fading system for bases?

HoulihansTX · 03-23-10, 12:19 AM

No idea.

I would monitor it for awhile, but I like fading point spreads rather than ML

HoulihansTX · 03-23-10, 02:49 PM

No screenshot today. Posting from my phone, on the road. Top overbet side is Denver Thuggets. ML is in the top 5 also. The Fade play is Knicks +. Knicks are a scary team to back, but the FADE is Strong.

southpaw74 · 03-23-10, 03:34 PM

Isn't Denver a JM play today. I don't follow that system but maybe that's another reason it's a top play.

HoulihansTX · 03-23-10, 11:11 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

The Fade play is Knicks +. Knicks are a scary team to back, but the FADE is Strong.

Winner. Outright Dog winner to boot.

FADE is 4-1 since we started keeping track, with two SU Dog winners.

The FADE is Strong

--- FADERNATION

RJ89 · 03-24-10, 05:10 PM

So would the fade plays today be:

Boston -4.5
Toronto +3

Sportsbook.com also has betting percentages on these games-

nobodyukno · 03-24-10, 08:14 PM

Boston looks good so far

HoulihansTX · 03-24-10, 09:05 PM

Originally posted by RJ89

So would the fade plays today be: Boston -4.5 Toronto +3 Sportsbook.com also has betting percentages on these games-

Only Boston today.

I forgot to post today. Was busy capping NBA.

HoulihansTX · 03-24-10, 09:06 PM

I wont count the plays since I didnt post for FADERNATION.

HoulihansTX · 03-25-10, 09:52 AM

3/25

Good morning FADERNATION I have some good news, and some Great news. B4 I get to the news I wanted to let everyone know that today offers a short list of games to bet. So I expected all the college games to show up on the list. They did, but one
sticks out above all.

Good news: We have a FADE that fits all catergories of a FADE.

Great News: Sharps are backing the FADE as they alone have driven down the number, even with the one-sided action.

FADING the CUSE

The play is Butler

HoulihansTX · 03-25-10, 10:00 AM

Notice CUSE is the top bet side, then look at the percentages in the lower pic.

Of the games that show up on the list, Cuse has the highest percentages of bets Spread, and ML wise.

But notice the line dropping ... It just dropped to 5.5 this morning. This is RLM, and correlates with Sharp(respected money) action on Butler.

I will be on Butler ML, but the play is +6/5.5.

Ignore The Appalachian St/Pacific game, as it doesnt show up on the Top Ten list.

FADERNATION

SEAHAWKHARRY · 03-25-10, 10:34 AM

Gl today hou

ninja33 · 03-25-10, 01:50 PM

good luck. I can't bring myself to play butler, as I've liked Syracuse all week in this game. BUT, the heavy public % on syracuse and RLM has been enough to scare me off from playing the orange. Think I'll just sit back and pull for a good game here and some mountaineer domination in the other one.

JGILL50 · 03-25-10, 01:54 PM

damn somone hit ceasers hard for butler

tealish · 03-25-10, 02:37 PM

Great to hear another point to back my Butler play! Thanks Houli

HoulihansTX · 03-25-10, 08:17 PM

I will be on Butler ML, but the play is +6/5.5

Fadernation rakes in another win. Congrats to the Faders

Walulu · 03-25-10, 08:27 PM

Put this in another thread but curious if you are still on Kentucky