SBR's Source for FADEs.... Top Betting Trends

[snapstick]

Good Point. Hey Houl what website is the second screenshot with the %'s.

BOL with this it looks good so far. Interesting to see if it works for baseball.

[HoulihansTX]

Good Point. Hey Houl what website is the second screenshot with the %'s. BOL with this it looks good so far. Interesting to see if it works for baseball.

http://www.sportsbook.com/betting-tr...portName=ncaab

[snapstick]

Duke ML now out of the top 10. Are they still a play?

[HoulihansTX]

Duke ML now out of the top 10. Are they still a play?

Yes.

It will be back up there B4 game time. Also look at the percentages on the website. ML is being slammed

[snapstick]

Yes.

It will be back up there B4 game time. Also look at the percentages on the website. ML is being slammed

Is there a time cut off for your plays? How close to gametime do you wait to make a play as far as the 10 trends are concerned? BOL

[HoulihansTX]

I look when I first wake up, around noon, then close to gametime.

As for cut offs.. Ignore names that pop up an hour, or half an hour B4 gametime. Like today there is only 4 games so people just started to bet after getting off of work, and made Baylor pop up to the top.

I like when the names are up there the whole day.

For example.. Tex A&M was at the top for the whole day, B4 they played Purdue. I made my play the day B4, but if I had waited I would have never made my Tex A&M play.

[TwoWays]

Nice fade on Denver, Houl. Got Toronto at half at +2

[Walulu]

Question on rule #3, fading top team on list. You say to ignore teams which pop up late. Mich St was on your list earlier and now has moved to the top of the list. Is this a situation you would ignore? Appreciate input just trying to understand nuances, definitely understand the rules.

[HoulihansTX]

Question on rule #3, fading top team on list. You say to ignore teams which pop up late. Mich St was on your list earlier and now has moved to the top of the list. Is this a situation you would ignore? Appreciate input just trying to understand nuances, definitely understand the rules.

Yes ignore. They are no other games for people to bet on, so of course the next games will shoot up to the top.

[angelodebo]

I don't know Houli...Seeing Mich St getting alot of action and the line staying at -1 makes me want to lean on Northern Iowa. Duke is by far a more popular team to bet and yet Mich St is sitting on top of the board. If the line move to 2pts I would probably lay off.

But I think everyone is watching St Mary's get whipped..and they are thinking N. Iowa is the next cinderella to fall.

I like N. Iowa here. Not a definite fade..but I think vegas seems to like the public wagering on Mich St b/c they haven't moved the line at all.

Don't get me wrong..I'm not laying a huge bet. But I think Mich St is a good team to fade at this point! Good luck guys..I'm 2-0 tonight..looking for 3

[HoulihansTX]

i SEE EVEN ACTION @ 5dimes, and the percentages are even at Sportsbook.com

[Walulu]

I actually look at sportsinsights.com and they have the public on No. Iowa - 55-45% (44,000 bets). Houli's sight has 59-41 MSU, I wonder why the huge difference.

[HoulihansTX]

I actually look at sportsinsights.com and they have the public on No. Iowa - 55-45% (44,000 bets). Houli's sight has 59-41 MSU, I wonder why the huge difference.

Its even action dude.

The only FADE left is DUKE, play on PURDUE

[angelodebo]

Mich st is the #1 pick on vegasinsider. They are showing 60% on Mich St. Like I said before, I think St. Mary is causing everyone to jump all over Mich St.

As far as Duke/Purdue goes ..I got Purdue in a small parlay with my St mary/Baylor under 141.

Good luck guys!

Looks like a couple books are dropping the line to a pickem!

[HoulihansTX]

I respect Debo, so I would tell everyone to listen to what the man has to say. If you agree with him, follow him.

[Walulu]

Right on, like I said just trying to understand. I appreciate the input. I was already on Purdue so good to see it in here. Hoping it cashes...GL to all

[HoulihansTX]

The plays are

Toronto(NBA) W

Purdue(CBB) L

Record 7-2

FADERNATION

[DolphinSpurs]

I've been following this all week and I've noticed that the 2nd place team on the list wins/cover, especially if they don't have a ML in the top 10. Baylor, K-St, App. St, Cornell were the 2nd most bet team on the vegas insider list and all covered.

[TheLock]

The fade is strong in you young DolphinSpur. You may be the chosen one.

[HoulihansTX]

3/27

FADERNATION we have been killing the books, by not buying into their traps. ...

Well I did with Tex A&M v Purdue, but that is neither here nor there.

Today the FADERs are faced with another conundrum. With only 2 games every team shows up on the list. I'm talking ML, pointspreads, and their totals. But do not worry, we another angle working in our favor.

Reverse Line Movement
--- Notice the sharp drop of the line from 4 to 2.5. Then it steadily came back up to 4, then another drop to 3.5. 5Dimes has been getting heavy UK action since the line came out, but the line is not moving with the money. I would also recommend you guys go to SBRodds.com, and check out pinny's line movement.



Kentucky's betting percentages are as one sided as it gets. People have had a day and a half to bet this game, and the betting percentages a have stayed the same.





The FADE is Kentucky

The play is West Virginia +4

Record (7-2)

[rolltide10]

What about Kstate... The line has moved from -4 to -2 in ceased and mirage. Is that not in the parameters?

[TwoWays]

Will play West Virginia no matter the if the public is on them or not.

[HoulihansTX]

What about Kstate... The line has moved from -4 to -2 in ceased and mirage. Is that not in the parameters?

Those lines for the Vegas sports books represent first half lines. not line movement.

[rolltide10]

Those lines for the Vegas sports books represent first half lines. not line movement.

Well how strong do you like the fade? I know it's not a play as big as butler but it is strong?

What about the jazz I have them at my book at -8.5... Are the lines represented on 1h as well?

[HoulihansTX]

The FADE is always strong

[BobHarvey]

I'm just curious. Which sport has been more consistent/profitable using the fade system?

Keep up the good work!

[thebestthereis]

everyone must be on kentucky, how could you not? that line opened at 2.5? what are they smoking assuming the goal is equal action. if someone thought that would attract equal action they are on crackola.

[HoulihansTX]

I'm just curious. Which sport has been more consistent/profitable using the fade system? Keep up the good work!

College Football.

Overall college sports, since their are soo many games. If one game is getting all the action, it usually represents a sucker bet.

[HoulihansTX]

Truthfully Angelodebo brought the FADE system to SBR, and is the Godfather of this system. All questions about long-term fading should be directed towards him.

I thought we should use it for the tourny, since it receives more action than any sporting event with exception to the Super Bowl

[TheLock]

I just punched WV +4



FADE

[teecee]

I'll take WVU +4.5, thank you. Denver burned me and my square play at -3.5 last night.

[TheLock]

Here we go boys.......

[mcbaseball10]

+5 at bodog now. Thanks bodog!

[doylfish]

Late money pouring in on WVU, +5 right now

[Sunde91]

Late money pouring in on WVU, +5 right now

Money is on UK if it's going up