Can someone explain to me why Villanova is getting 3 points?

[bettilimbroke999]

Is a star player out? I dont get it

#4 vs unranked and #4 is getting 3

[Deuce]

Louisville is the better team in this match up.

[onthewhat]

don't handicap based on polls ace

[DolphinSpurs]

Why ask when you can go ahead and play the house on Louisville?

[bettilimbroke999]

Makes absolutely no sense, you have the superior team getting pts and its been going up for the past day, you can look at their records, ranking, etc and Nova should win this game, I mean what is the deal, sports is fukin nuts sometimes

[onthewhat]

Just like Kansas blew out Tennessee yesterday. Bet you had the Jayhawks in that one

[Monebingmdrndhrr]

I don't know honestly, I don't read into the whole "Well it's a ranked team getting points against an unranked team" whatever. Since I've been capping this year(my first year) I don't listen to the public or trends that do this and that, I RUN MY NUMBERS, ANALYSIS THE GAME, AND GO WITH MY GUT. In my short time posting on here, I have had 3 games where everyone was like oh it's this because of this and it's that because of that TRAP THIS AND THAT and I won all three. Don't pay attention to that, do your capping and go with what is working for you.

[2daBank]

perception is a crazy thing..that little number by there name means jack shit...power ranking wise these two are very close for what its worth (imo much more important than ap rank)...lou has the clear advantage on the glass and with interior scoring all together..nova plays soft defense and to me if your not playing good d in this 1 you could be in trouble...not to mention home court....dont have a crystal ball im just saying the clear reasons why lou is favored in this game

[Hammew]

Just like Kansas blew out Tennessee yesterday. Bet you had the Jayhawks in that one

You got it OTW. Same shit different day on SBR. Maybe one day people will learn.

[bettilimbroke999]

Just like Kansas blew out Tennessee yesterday. Bet you had the Jayhawks in that one

I did (please donate SBR points so I can get a freeplay someday)

But Kansas is overrated (hell Cornell almost beat them their last game) and they were giving 3 1/2 on the road at #16, -3 1/2 sounded about right

Nova -3 1/2 for this game sounds about right but getting 3 I mean wtf

Also TN hit like 70% 3s in that game I mean did you see that shot that idiot kid McBee hit I mean fuk the Kansas player was like are you fukin kidding me?

[2daBank]

cornell is underrated

[milwaukee mike]

sagarin predictor rankings:
villanova 86.11
louisville 85.47

subtract the 2 you get nova by .64 on a neutral court, home court advantage is 4.20 so the line is right where it should be at louisville favored by around 3.56

this isn't rocket science people, the lines are based on computer numbers for the most part. no matter how many people blabber about their favorite team being underrated and/or their most hated team being overrated, the numbers don't lie over the long run.

[milwaukee mike]

by the way the villanova line in their last game (saturday) was WAY off. should've been 4-5 point favorites instead i got marquette +9 and laughed all the way to the bank with a 2 point loss.

[tltaylor89]

Kansas was due for a loss they never covered

[bettilimbroke999]

Kansas is way overrated, almost lost at home as like a 20 somethin pt favorite unreal, no team really looks dominant like North Carolina did last year

[8550937]

its rigged take louisville

[2daBank]

Kansas is way overrated, almost lost at home as like a 20 somethin pt favorite unreal, no team really looks dominant like North Carolina did last year

it was a absolute joke that kansas was giving cornell 20 in the 1st place just goes to show perception rules this business one of easiest bets i made this year cornell +20 that and south fla catching 19 against a overrated fla team that was pretty damn easy

[AMBlai01]

cornell is underrated

Cornell is a very good team...they have played a lot of top teams tough...

[2daBank]

by the way the villanova line in their last game (saturday) was WAY off. should've been 4-5 point favorites instead i got marquette +9 and laughed all the way to the bank with a 2 point loss.

now this is a guy that knows what the hell he is talking about....we need to see more milwaukee mike around here

[bettilimbroke999]

its rigged take louisville

Now this I believe, when I see Nova go 20% from the line tonight and lose by 10 I'll know why #4 was gettin 3 and the line was movin up against an unranked team

[bettilimbroke999]

+3 1/2 now are you fukin kidding me, unreal, all the money's on the unranked team that hasnt beaten anyone

[tullamore]

In my opinion home court is a big difference in college basketball.

[Glitch]

I don't know honestly, I don't read into the whole "Well it's a ranked team getting points against an unranked team" whatever. Since I've been capping this year(my first year) I don't listen to the public or trends that do this and that, I RUN MY NUMBERS, ANALYSIS THE GAME, AND GO WITH MY GUT. In my short time posting on here, I have had 3 games where everyone was like oh it's this because of this and it's that because of that TRAP THIS AND THAT and I won all three. Don't pay attention to that, do your capping and go with what is working for you.

wow you won 3 games. 1. its only 3 games 2. ever heard of beginners luck?? 3. traps and funnybusiness do exist in sports.
this line is moving funny....switching my lean to louisville PURELY cuz they want me on nova (and home court advantage)

[jjgold]

I got 3.5 line going up.

Home Cts are very difficult though

[onthewhat]

Louisville ML is the play here

[homerbush]

I love the rankings in college basketball because it influences the betting public who just look for a number by the name. I also love when a home team is a 6 point favorite beats a ranked team and the crowd rushes the court. I am like "um hello you were favored to win why are you rushing". But of course the crowd thinks the rankings mean something.

[homerbush]

Plus by taking Louisville you are also fading jjgold and Lang. Huge +EV there.

[Monebingmdrndhrr]

wow you won 3 games. 1. its only 3 games 2. ever heard of beginners luck?? 3. traps and funnybusiness do exist in sports. this line is moving funny....switching my lean to louisville PURELY cuz they want me on nova (and home court advantage)

Yea I've won three games that were supposed to be trap games, beginner's luck whatever you want to call it but I do my thing and if the line agrees with the play I play it. Stick to analyzing the game and STOP WORRYING ABOUT SOMEONE BAITING YOU IN

[HoulihansTX]

don't handicap based on polls ace

I understand where you are coming from with this statement, but I live by this Rule of Thumb in college sports.

When a ranked team is on the road, receiving points, and facing an unranked team take the unranked home team.

This has worked to a tee this season, the only recent speed bump was the Rhode Island/ Temple game. Temple was getting points, and won in overtime.

[onthewhat]

Perhaps they should be getting more than 3 points.

Louisville 28-19.

[The Seer]

#4 vs unranked and #4 is getting 3

that's all i needed to see. Thanks for drawing it to my attention. I went and ahead and put a wager on L'ville. If it wins I will come back and give you points.

[Rixsaw]

If Nova lose this game, we can safely say that Louisville owns Nova.

[Glitch]

Yea I've won three games that were supposed to be trap games, beginner's luck whatever you want to call it but I do my thing and if the line agrees with the play I play it. Stick to analyzing the game and STOP WORRYING ABOUT SOMEONE BAITING YOU IN

how about do both

[southpaw74]

Nova might be good half value play if Louisville is up by 15 at half!!

[bettilimbroke999]

Wow Nova with 30 turnovers the 1st half, they just cant deal with the full court press