NCAAB Computer Model Totals Experiment plays!

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  • jordanft19
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-12-15
    • 673

    #1
    NCAAB Computer Model Totals Experiment plays!
    As of this college basketball season, I have been testing out this system I have created, so far it is 108-89-1 (57.75%). I back tested last season and it went (61-60-1) however these were the lines my bookie (heritage) had. There were 19 other lines that went 14-5, so that would bring the record up to 75-65-1 for the 2014-15 NCAAB season. I am just going to combine 61-60-1 with the 108-89-1 so this system is 169-149-2 (53.14%) when using heritage lines, or 183-154-2 (54.30%) when using all picks from system (the 19 not being offered by heritage). For simplicity reason, 169-149-2 (53.14%) will be what i go with. I round to two digits for my record percentages btw. Will be posting plays tomorrow right before game time since i use closing lines offered by heritage. Wishing all luck!
  • jordanft19
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-12-15
    • 673

    #2
    Please note odds i use are -108 or better (-105 in this case for this season) which is also the reason i use heritage because they offer more lines than the other bookie i use (Pinnacle) and their odds are fantastic.
    Comment
    • jordanft19
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-12-15
      • 673

      #3
      8:00 pm ET: Under the closing total for Northern Illinois-Illinois-Chicago

      7:00 pm ET: Under the closing total for Miami (FL)-Princeton

      8:00 pm ET: Under the closing total for Texas A&M-Cal Poly






      I am posting these lines now because the closing lines would be a few min before the game starts (I wanna give you guys some time to bet these lines without being late) so, at 6:55-7 and 7:55-8 i would recommend using whatever lines you are offered and betting accordingly. I will update what the closing lines are at around 6:55-7 and 7:55-8. Keep in mind Closing totals i use are from Heritagesports

      Good luck everyone!
      Comment
      • jordanft19
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-12-15
        • 673

        #4
        So I will be posting at 6:58 pm for the Miami Florida-Princeton game and 7:58 pm for the other games.
        Comment
        • jordanft19
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-12-15
          • 673

          #5
          Under 148 Miami (FL)-Princeton
          Comment
          • jordanft19
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-12-15
            • 673

            #6
            2. Under 137.5 Illinois (CHI)-Northern Illinois

            3. Under 146 Texas A&M-Cal Poly
            Comment
            • jordanft19
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-12-15
              • 673

              #7
              146.5 was the closing line from Texas A&M-Cal Poly unfortunately didnt get that half point darn it
              Comment
              • jordanft19
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-12-15
                • 673

                #8
                Thats all for tonight! Lets get these wins
                Comment
                • jordanft19
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-12-15
                  • 673

                  #9
                  Win: 1-0
                  Originally posted by jordanft19
                  under 148 miami (fl)-princeton
                  Comment
                  • jordanft19
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-12-15
                    • 673

                    #10
                    2-0 on these to cap off a perfect 3-0 day
                    Originally posted by jordanft19
                    2. Under 137.5 Illinois (CHI)-Northern Illinois

                    3. Under 146 Texas A&M-Cal Poly
                    Comment
                    • jordanft19
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-12-15
                      • 673

                      #11
                      Sorry not 89 losses 79 , cuz that wouldnt make sense to be 57.75% lol
                      Originally posted by jordanft19
                      As of this college basketball season, I have been testing out this system I have created, so far it is 108-89-1 (57.75%). I back tested last season and it went (61-60-1) however these were the lines my bookie (heritage) had. There were 19 other lines that went 14-5, so that would bring the record up to 75-65-1 for the 2014-15 NCAAB season. I am just going to combine 61-60-1 with the 108-89-1 so this system is 169-149-2 (53.14%) when using heritage lines, or 183-154-2 (54.30%) when using all picks from system (the 19 not being offered by heritage). For simplicity reason, 169-149-2 (53.14%) will be what i go with. I round to two digits for my record percentages btw. Will be posting plays tomorrow right before game time since i use closing lines offered by heritage. Wishing all luck!
                      Comment
                      • jordanft19
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-12-15
                        • 673

                        #12
                        111-79-1 ytd 58.4%
                        Comment
                        • jordanft19
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-12-15
                          • 673

                          #13
                          172-139-2 record= (55.3% on 313 picks to date, includes 2014-15 season as well as this season)
                          Comment
                          • jordanft19
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-12-15
                            • 673

                            #14
                            I'm eyeing 4 games' totals today.

                            4:00 pm ET: Northwestern vs Nebraska

                            8:30 pm ET: Troy vs Arkansas State

                            10:00 pm ET: San Diego State vs Wyoming

                            10:00 pm ET: San Jose State vs Utah State

                            Comment
                            • jimm246
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-01-12
                              • 1357

                              #15
                              following you today. thanks for the plays
                              Comment
                              • jordanft19
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-12-15
                                • 673

                                #16
                                No problem!
                                Comment
                                • jordanft19
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-12-15
                                  • 673

                                  #17
                                  Under 130.5 on the Northwestern-Nebraska game
                                  Comment
                                  • jordanft19
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-12-15
                                    • 673

                                    #18
                                    Line changed to 131.5 on heritage, if you got it at that even better
                                    Comment
                                    • jordanft19
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-12-15
                                      • 673

                                      #19
                                      Yea id recommend betting a couple minutes after the hour to make sure you got the closing line or close to it. Closing line ended up being 132, but i still believe this game will go under 130.5.
                                      Comment
                                      • LALVES1
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 02-03-15
                                        • 100

                                        #20
                                        THANKS MAN I GOT IT AT 131.5u
                                        Comment
                                        • jordanft19
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-12-15
                                          • 673

                                          #21
                                          Np man! Damn teams just chucking up 3s lol, hopefully it cools down, if not then theres still 3 games left
                                          Comment
                                          • jordanft19
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-12-15
                                            • 673

                                            #22
                                            Im thinking under on the rest of the games i posted, however, im gonna be making sure i get the closing line so 2 min after the hour
                                            Comment
                                            • jordanft19
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-12-15
                                              • 673

                                              #23
                                              Yeaaa this going over hopefully the next 3 go as expected
                                              Comment
                                              • jordanft19
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-12-15
                                                • 673

                                                #24
                                                2. Under 157 Troy-Ark. State, or whatever the closing line on heritage is
                                                Comment
                                                • jordanft19
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 09-12-15
                                                  • 673

                                                  #25
                                                  3. Under 144 San Jose State-Utah State

                                                  4. Under 123 San Diego State-Wyoming
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jordanft19
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-12-15
                                                    • 673

                                                    #26
                                                    1-3 today, shit day unfortunately right after that 3-0 day.

                                                    112-82-1 YTD (57.7%)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jimm246
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-01-12
                                                      • 1357

                                                      #27
                                                      following you still. no worry
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jordanft19
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 09-12-15
                                                        • 673

                                                        #28
                                                        My model not showing any good games today, however maybe that will change with line movement.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jordanft19
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-12-15
                                                          • 673

                                                          #29
                                                          Got 1 play today:

                                                          Under 156 Rice-UTEP
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jordanft19
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-12-15
                                                            • 673

                                                            #30
                                                            1-0
                                                            Originally posted by jordanft19
                                                            Got 1 play today:

                                                            Under 156 Rice-UTEP
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jimm246
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-01-12
                                                              • 1357

                                                              #31
                                                              good win today man it was way under
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jordanft19
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-12-15
                                                                • 673

                                                                #32
                                                                Hell yea! Good start to the New Year lol
                                                                Originally posted by jimm246
                                                                good win today man it was way under
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jordanft19
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-12-15
                                                                  • 673

                                                                  #33
                                                                  113-82-1 ytd (57.95%)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jordanft19
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-12-15
                                                                    • 673

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I am going to start posting a play at around noon for a 12 pm ET game. From looking at my Computer model its showing 8 good plays at least, however, the lineup could change it from being a pick to no pick (Also not too sure if all the plays will be offered by heritage). I will write in brackets if heritage does not have a play whenever i post, otherwise, Bet365 has pretty much all lines for totals. Not too fond of the -110 juice meh
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jordanft19
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-12-15
                                                                      • 673

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Over 134.5 Charlotte-Old Dominion
                                                                      Game at noon
                                                                      Comment
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