What's up guys, hope your season's are going well.
My season has been a grind to be honest, I haven't had that huge run but still turning a solid profit.
Anyway throwing a few darts tonight
Syracuse @ Notre Dame
This is a tough spot for the Orange traveling to Purcell Pavilion after three straight games in the dome. They have been playing very hard lately Alternating Wins and Losses since the start of February. The kids haven't folded after the postseason ban, and Rakeem Christmas has been outstanding, although I think tonight might be a different story.
You all know the zone isn't the same this season and Notre Dame obviously has the shooters to match-up against it. Mike Brey can do all kinds of things, whether they put Connaughton at the foul line for the wide open jumper or even play a little high low game into the short corner. The Irish can space the floor with the ability to score both inside and out. The major difference with the Syracuse zone, is their lacking to stop dribble penetration. Its really uncanny, well this is clearly a problem facing Jerian Grant. He can get to any spot he likes and I just think ND is going to put on a clinic on how to run zone offense.
On the defensive side of the ball, obviously you have to try and contain Christmas. Now you all know that Brey does not like to double team leaving the 3 ball open, however Trevor Cooney has been ice cold lately shooting 1 for his last 15 and his back seems to be more hurt than lead on. Coach B said he'll play but don't expect the 9-12 from the arc he put up when he dropped 33 against the Irish last season. Yeah Gbinije is a threat to knock down the 3 so that is a concern. Point being here, if Cooney doesn't play or starts off cold the Irish will be able to squeeze the defense and make it more difficult on Christmas inside.
From beginning to end here, I like the Irish to score at will and the Orange simply will not be able to keep up. We obv have a huge edge at the line here, and Notre Dame doesn't foul anyway so we will win that battle.
I have this one in the 79 - 65 range
Notre Dame -8 (-105)
Just a 1 unit play, nothing crazy but I might use them on the ML in a parlay also...
Texas A&M @ Arkansas
We have a battle of styles here as the aggies want to slow it down and play in the half court, and of course the Hogs want to press and run for 40 minutes. Which they do normally get their way @ Bud Waldon Arena.
The Aggies have talent on this roster and should be playing a higher level. Daniel House (transfer from Houston) is an outstanding talent having the ability to slash and stroke the 3. He's also a high flyer, Jaylen Jones (transfer from SMU) has not played as well as he is capable up to this point either. PG Caruso can make the dumbest plays you'll ever see at times, always forcing a few bad passes that aren't there (not good against ARKY) but the kid has heart. Roberson is a beast on the glass but probably leads the nation in missed Layups, actually this team prob leads the country in missed bunnies, its uncanny.
Caruso has handled this press in the past quite well and Im hoping he can do so again tonight.
Arky is a scary team @ home, at any given time they can get out on the break and go on a 12-2 run in less than 2 minutes. They can score from inside and out and Portis is just relentless.
I'm going to take a shot on the under in this one. I could see the press slowing down the aggies not allowing their already slow offense to even get started until 10 seconds have ticked off the clock. I don't expect A&M's game plan to try and score after breaking the press, I think they will try to break it and then pull it out and run clock. You have to take the energy out of this building if you want a chance.
On defense I think A&M will make arky work to get open looks, of course portis and qualls will get theirs but the aggies should be able to make them grind here.
If this turns into a halfcourt game it should stay well under the total, and if Arky does roll, we can still cash a 75-62 type of game.
Texas A&M/Arkansas u 140 -105
Also just a 1 unit play
I bet 1x or 2x maybe a rare 3x just as a heads up
Good luck on your plays and I'm still looking into the card, and any feedback/thoughts/opinions are always welcomed and wanted.
My season has been a grind to be honest, I haven't had that huge run but still turning a solid profit.
Anyway throwing a few darts tonight
Syracuse @ Notre Dame
This is a tough spot for the Orange traveling to Purcell Pavilion after three straight games in the dome. They have been playing very hard lately Alternating Wins and Losses since the start of February. The kids haven't folded after the postseason ban, and Rakeem Christmas has been outstanding, although I think tonight might be a different story.
You all know the zone isn't the same this season and Notre Dame obviously has the shooters to match-up against it. Mike Brey can do all kinds of things, whether they put Connaughton at the foul line for the wide open jumper or even play a little high low game into the short corner. The Irish can space the floor with the ability to score both inside and out. The major difference with the Syracuse zone, is their lacking to stop dribble penetration. Its really uncanny, well this is clearly a problem facing Jerian Grant. He can get to any spot he likes and I just think ND is going to put on a clinic on how to run zone offense.
On the defensive side of the ball, obviously you have to try and contain Christmas. Now you all know that Brey does not like to double team leaving the 3 ball open, however Trevor Cooney has been ice cold lately shooting 1 for his last 15 and his back seems to be more hurt than lead on. Coach B said he'll play but don't expect the 9-12 from the arc he put up when he dropped 33 against the Irish last season. Yeah Gbinije is a threat to knock down the 3 so that is a concern. Point being here, if Cooney doesn't play or starts off cold the Irish will be able to squeeze the defense and make it more difficult on Christmas inside.
From beginning to end here, I like the Irish to score at will and the Orange simply will not be able to keep up. We obv have a huge edge at the line here, and Notre Dame doesn't foul anyway so we will win that battle.
I have this one in the 79 - 65 range
Notre Dame -8 (-105)
Just a 1 unit play, nothing crazy but I might use them on the ML in a parlay also...
Texas A&M @ Arkansas
We have a battle of styles here as the aggies want to slow it down and play in the half court, and of course the Hogs want to press and run for 40 minutes. Which they do normally get their way @ Bud Waldon Arena.
The Aggies have talent on this roster and should be playing a higher level. Daniel House (transfer from Houston) is an outstanding talent having the ability to slash and stroke the 3. He's also a high flyer, Jaylen Jones (transfer from SMU) has not played as well as he is capable up to this point either. PG Caruso can make the dumbest plays you'll ever see at times, always forcing a few bad passes that aren't there (not good against ARKY) but the kid has heart. Roberson is a beast on the glass but probably leads the nation in missed Layups, actually this team prob leads the country in missed bunnies, its uncanny.
Caruso has handled this press in the past quite well and Im hoping he can do so again tonight.
Arky is a scary team @ home, at any given time they can get out on the break and go on a 12-2 run in less than 2 minutes. They can score from inside and out and Portis is just relentless.
I'm going to take a shot on the under in this one. I could see the press slowing down the aggies not allowing their already slow offense to even get started until 10 seconds have ticked off the clock. I don't expect A&M's game plan to try and score after breaking the press, I think they will try to break it and then pull it out and run clock. You have to take the energy out of this building if you want a chance.
On defense I think A&M will make arky work to get open looks, of course portis and qualls will get theirs but the aggies should be able to make them grind here.
If this turns into a halfcourt game it should stay well under the total, and if Arky does roll, we can still cash a 75-62 type of game.
Texas A&M/Arkansas u 140 -105
Also just a 1 unit play
I bet 1x or 2x maybe a rare 3x just as a heads up
Good luck on your plays and I'm still looking into the card, and any feedback/thoughts/opinions are always welcomed and wanted.
