I know the Public loves the Over in big games but 81% Over and line moved from 133 to 135.
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Thinking defense tonight. Players will be tighter. Will use majority of shot clock. Kentucky will mess around and play UConn's style. I can see an under brewing.Comment -
80% on the Over and now at 136.
I guess with Uconn shooting 86.7% free throws and UK's rebounding edge, people are figuring there are going to be some easy buckets tonight.
ATS and ML are basically 50/50, but that 80% sticks out like a sore thumb. Seems like Books are just begging for more Over.
Over 136 -111, Under 136 -109. That is not much incentive to move people towards the UnderComment -
Last time UConn was in the finals the game total wasn't even 100...final score was 53-41Comment -
My thoughts on this total are that UConn can win a low scoring game, whereas Kentucky is less likely to be able to win a lower scoring game. When Kentucky gets down (as they have in the first half of every tourney game this year), they tend to push the tempo a bit more and sacrifice defense in favour of offensive rebounding. Neither team is good enough defensively to stop the other if that team is executing well on offense, however UK has the length to frustrate Uconn's smaller guards. I could see a 1H UConn + Under / 2H UK + Over combo playing out.
Personally, I think this game is unbettable. Just not worth it to risk anything on such a tight margin. Even if it works out so that one team blows the other out or the total goes under/over by 15 points, any bet made beyond the entertainment level is a bad one.Comment -
KU should be able to push the tempo and the over might very well hit; Uconn might play slow but they can score as they showed against Florida. I think UConn 1H and then, depending on HT score, KU 2H is the play, that has been the pattern in KU's games.Comment