Ultimate of ironies that I am on BYU after saying that they don't belong in the tournament and that SMU should have had their spot.
Also, Oklahoma goes against by bracket where I have North Dakota State going to the Sweet 16. The logic there is that the seed differential bonus makes the risk worth it for the brackets, but betting wise, I think that TOO much support for N Dak St has made Oklahoma a cheap price at -2.5. Now watch Sooners win by 1 or 2 and I lose everything.
Comment
RavensFan2k3
SBR Posting Legend
08-18-12
17378
#13
So you have NDST in your bracket, but are betting on Oklahoma? Did you have a change of heart or you just dont like making sense?
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#14
Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
So you have NDST in your bracket, but are betting on Oklahoma? Did you have a change of heart or you just dont like making sense?
I explained why. Seed differential bonus makes it worth it in the bracket, this is a 12-seed vs. a 5-seed, so you are getting a 7-point bonus for just a 2.5 point underdog. Remember winners this round are only worth 1 point each. Brackets and ATS are two different mentalities.
Comment
RavensFan2k3
SBR Posting Legend
08-18-12
17378
#15
Originally posted by LT Profits
I explained why. Seed differential bonus makes it worth it in the bracket, this is a 12-seed vs. a 5-seed, so you are getting a 7-point bonus for just a 2.5 point underdog. Remember winners this round are only worth 1 point each. Brackets and ATS are two different mentalities.
so essentially you like Oklahoma to win, but picked NDST in your bracket because of value(12th over a 5th) since there is always a chance that they could win?
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#16
Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
so essentially you like Oklahoma to win, but picked NDST in your bracket because of value(12th over a 5th) since there is always a chance that they could win?
Bingo! It's a percentage play combining seed difference, low spread and fact that I'd only be giving up 1 point with Okie win.
Comment
gizmo2431
SBR Wise Guy
01-11-08
971
#17
Card complete? I'm not used to seeing only 3 plays from you with so many games on the board.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#18
Originally posted by gizmo2431
Card complete? I'm not used to seeing only 3 plays from you with so many games on the board.
Actually there are only 16 games. And yes, card complete.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#19
Friday Plays
FRIDAY, 3/21
George Washington +3 -104 (5 Dimes)
Tulsa / UCLA UNDER 147 -110 (Heritage)
FRIDAY, 3/21
George Washington +3 -104 (5 Dimes)
Belmont -9 -108 (Heritage)
Tulsa / UCLA UNDER 147 -110 (Heritage)
Comment
RavensFan2k3
SBR Posting Legend
08-18-12
17378
#21
LT why GW?
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#22
Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
LT why GW?
Besides the fact that Memphis is trash?
The two biggest keys for me here are Memphis is very sloppy with the ball, ranking 215th in offensive turnover percentage while George Washington is above average in defensive turnover percentage at 19.6 percent vs. national average of 18.3 percent. And second, GW should have many more second chance ops, they are 63rd in offensive rebounding percentage at 34.7 percent vs. national average of 31.4, while Memphis is 265th in defensive rebounding percentage.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#23
GW dominating on the offensive glass as I expected but they can't put the ball in from point blank range.