Stanford is 1-15 in their visits to LA in Pac-12 matchups

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  • Jago2008
    SBR MVP
    • 05-18-11
    • 3047

    #1
    Stanford is 1-15 in their visits to LA in Pac-12 matchups
    Just something to consider.

    -UCLA should win this game, Stanford's starters are literally the buttress for the team if they do not contribute as per usual - avg'ing about 33 minutes a game (accounting for close to 86% of the teams points), I don't expect the bench to be able to make up much of the slack. Chasson Randle needs to have another huge game for Stanford. Alternatively UCLA's bench contributes close to 32% of their total point output.

    -UCLA despite struggling against good competition this year has matched up well against Stanford, I don't see much changing in this match-up until the game is played @ Stanford.

    -UCLA avg.s 84ppgs and have 88+points in the last 4, with a positive rebounding and TO margin, they are 11th nationally in scoring. Although losing previously to Utah, I was encouraged UCLA overcame 17 point deficit and brought the game within two points, the hole they created in the 1st half was too much to overcome. I don't see that happening @ home against stanford today.

    Not stating anything that isn't already obvious with a favored team @ home. But a close to 50% return on the ML with UCLA playing at home in this match up - I'm inclined to absorb the juice. I know this level of juice is -EV so spare the me the spread argument for now, I know where you are coming from .

    -The other SU winner I like today is Florida v. Alabama. Florida SU.

    -The option to parlay both Favorites for a +105 return is also something to consider.

    Fade/tail/opinions/criticisms welcome. Good luck on your bets.
  • lucullus
    SBR MVP
    • 09-16-13
    • 1027

    #2
    Comment
    • Jago2008
      SBR MVP
      • 05-18-11
      • 3047

      #3
      Originally posted by lucullus
      Hehe. I'm looking forward to the match-up tonight in Tennis.
      Comment
      • Jago2008
        SBR MVP
        • 05-18-11
        • 3047

        #4
        Florida got the 1st win.

        Now UCLA let's go.
        Comment
        • Jago2008
          SBR MVP
          • 05-18-11
          • 3047

          #5
          Nice two relatively easy winners, and parlay winner. Didnt maximize value as both teams covered, but ill take "never in doubt" any day.

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