LKid1's 2013-2014 NCAA Hoops Thread

[Louisvillekid1]

Going to have my thoughts on Opening night shortly.

I doubt we can repeat last years Numbers but it's all about the ride in this game

Good Luck this season

[Louisvillekid1]

Alabama vs Oklahoma @ Dallas, TX
Fri, Nov 8 5:00 PM ET

The Sooners are completely depleted after losing their top 3 scores from last season's NCAA Tournament Squad. They do have a talented backcourt sending I. Cousins, B. Hield, & J. Hornbeak into their Sophmore campaigns. However their frontcourt offers nothing to talk about.

The Tide are very experienced group, lead by a great talent in Sr. Guard Trevor Releford. His side kick Jr. Rodney Cooper provides a nice compliment. They have some big boys they rotate in the Frontcourt that really work well together.

You guys know Anthony Grant's style: Play hard nose defense and really work the ball around on the offensive end. They play a slow style and are relentless on the defensive side of the ball.

I think Alabama will wear out Oklahoma and easily win the turnover battle with the more experienced group. This game won't be fun to watch and I see this something like 64 - 56 type of game. Zero chance I will be playing totals for a while until I see the rule changes first hand. However I will take my chances with the Crimson Tide here -4ish or less.

I'll be starting the year making 0.5 unit plays just until I settle in.

I'll post Offical plays when lines come out

More thoughts to come

[TPowell]

Lines have been out for around 2 hours.. Bama is 6

[Louisvillekid1]

TCU vs SMU @ Dallas, TX
Fri, Nov 8 7:30 pm ET

This game has blowout potential. Larry Brown's group returns all 5 starters and expectations are growing by the minute. They have some depth this year, which will really play a big role in their run towards the dance. TCU is a very inefficient squad who lost their best big man to a season ending injury.

I wouldn't be surprised if Coach Brown's squad gets out a a quick start and doesn't look back.

Will play SMU at single digits most likely

[Louisvillekid1]

Colorado vs Baylor @ Dallas, TX
Fri, Nov 8 10:00 PM ET

I like the players coming back for the Buffs this year and not sold on Baylor (per usual). However I'm hesitant to take the dog because I do think Baylor has the advantage on the glass. Colorado doesn't not have an answer for Isiah Austin. This is a game I'm most likely going to take a wait and see approach, even though I might be passing up a nice ML Score here.

Maybe I can talk myself into this one by tomorrow.

[Louisvillekid1]

Boston College @ Providence
Fri, Nov 8 6:00 PM ET

I like Ed Cooley's squad and think he is one of the more underrated coaches in the nation. They have star talent on this squad with Cotton, Batts, Dunn, & Henton. Just imagine if Ledo played 1 year! This team will be dancing in March.

BC had a better than expected season last year and return everyone. They will be hard but at the end of the day the Friar's talent @ home will be too much. Just as along as Providence does not turn it over 20 times.

Give me the Friars at home minus the short #

[Emancipator]

TCU vs SMU @ Dallas, TX
Fri, Nov 8 7:30 pm ET

This game has blowout potential. Larry Brown's group returns all 5 starters and expectations are growing by the minute. They have some depth this year, which will really play a big role in their run towards the dance. TCU is a very inefficient squad who lost their best big man to a season ending injury.

I wouldn't be surprised if Coach Brown's squad gets out a a quick start and doesn't look back.

Will play SMU at single digits most likely

I'm with you on this one, line should be like 15/16 had alot of fun fading them last year on the road.

[Louisvillekid1]

I'm with you on this one, line should be like 15/16 had alot of fun fading them last year on the road.

Good Luck this Season

[Emancipator]

Good Luck this Season

run them jewels

[Louisvillekid1]

Took a long time to go over that card.

My Card will be looking something like this

1x Ml Parlay
SMU
UCONN
Alabama

0.5x Prov -2.5

Leans towards Buffalo +5 & Drexel +10

Lines are just soft openers from Bet Online

[Regul8er]

LK......havent kept up with it since I don't have funds, but just peaking at the lines, Illinois St +19.5 at VCU seems intriguing.
I know Carmichael is gone, but what about Brown? Illinois St may be in complete rebuild mode, and I'm guessing thats probably the case with such a huge number for a respectable program.

[Louisvillekid1]

LK......havent kept up with it since I don't have funds, but just peaking at the lines, Illinois St +19.5 at VCU seems intriguing.
I know Carmichael is gone, but what about Brown? Illinois St may be in complete rebuild mode, and I'm guessing thats probably the case with such a huge number for a respectable program.

Illy St bringing in like 10 new faces, so yeah complete re-build. Number might be 1-3 points high but not touching it...

GL

[Regul8er]

I used to have more success over the next 2-3 weeks then any other time of the year.
I think I hit close to 70% 3 straight seasons about 30-40 into the season. Obviously I always tapered off, but this is a time to exploit perceptions, and really hammer what are known as traditionally strong or weak programs.

[Louisvillekid1]

Yeah I hear ya, non-conference play is normally very profitable

[Louisvillekid1]

Offical Plays (so far)

528 SMU -10 1x
532 Providence -3 1x
541 Missouri St -3 2x

[Louisvillekid1]

Missouri St @ Old Dominion
Norfolk, Va
7:00 PM ET

ESPN Full Court

ODU brings in new coach Jeff Jones to try and turn around a team that only won 5 games last year. They were one of the worst teams in the nation last year. Returning 4 starters but not sure how much that means for this unit.

The Bears have Postseason expectations for this '13 Campaign. They return basically their entire rotation including MVC Freshman of the Year Marcus Marshall. They also get back Senior Forward Jamar Gulley after missing all of last season.

The pace of this game should be faster than most would expect. Both teams foul a lot, and Missouri St should want to get out and run more than they did last year. If a Low Total Comes out, like 126, I'd hit the Over as well.

The mismatch is clear in this one and its located in the Frontcourt. Bigtime size advantage for the Bears in this and w/ the reigning FOY in the backcourt they should have no problem leaving Norfolk with the Win.

EDIT total set at 136, too high for me but oddsmakers seem to agree about the pace.

[Vegas39]

GL this season Kid

[Tommy Karate]

Going to have my thoughts on Opening night shortly.

I doubt we can repeat last years Numbers but it's all about the ride in this game

Good Luck this season

have another great season pal

[Louisvillekid1]

GL this season Kid

have another great season pal

Thanks Fellas

[khaden]

Best if luck- I'll be tailing hope to make some $$$

[Louisvillekid1]

I'm going to post some info about a few teams that might be under the radar some.

IOWA HAWKEYES

I have no clue how this team is not ranked in the top 25. Ken Pom has them at 15, which is all that really matters. However this is my sleeper pick to make a deep run this year. Fran McCaffery's 4th year and he has done an excellent job, fresh off a 25 win season. Leads me to believe this is the year it really comes together.

This team is incredibly deep and very experienced, having gone to the NIT Championship game last season. Roy Devyn Marble is primed for a huge Sr. season. Aaron White is a very good player at the forward position and they both have a solid group around them. They team rebound, take care of the ball, & shoot it very well from the line. They had 6 losses by 4 points or less last year.

They are going to have a big time season.

Other Teams that should have strong seasons, that not many are talking about:

UConn
Memphis
Providence
St. Johns
Harvard
UMass

[Louisvillekid1]

Connecticut vs Maryland @ Brooklyn, NY
Fri, Nov 8 6:30 PM ET ESP2/WatchESPN

I don't see much to like with the Terps this season. Dez Wells can score but they have a question mark at the Point with the injury of Seth Allen. I don't like their frontcourt and they are most likely going to play 6 freshman in a 9 man rotation.

Kevin Ollie is a very good coach and his Backcourt is an outstanding one. The duo w/ Bazz & Boatright is among the nations best. They have experience and really provide solid pressure on their opposing guards. Which will play a role in this one, with the question mark @ the point for the Terps.

The Huskie's brought in a much needed Frontline. They couldn't rebound anything last year and I'm hoping these newcomers will improve that category. But as I stated before, Maryland's no better.

I just don't think the Terps can hang in for 40 minutes in this game.

Moneyline's aren't out yet but I'm considering playing the Huskies on the ML parlayed with the Tide. (It should be around +125)

For some reason I'm hesitant to pull the trigger on the -5 and -5.5 in these 2 games.

Will post if I do make a play....

[Louisvillekid1]

Best if luck- I'll be tailing hope to make some $$$

[Louisvillekid1]

Drexel & Buffalo are still standing out to me as live dogs, but haven't hit those 2 either, at this point.

[TPowell]

Connecticut vs Maryland @ Brooklyn, NY
Fri, Nov 8 6:30 PM ET ESP2/WatchESPN

I don't see much to like with the Terps this season. Dez Wells can score but they have a question mark at the Point with the injury of Seth Allen. I don't like their frontcourt and they are most likely going to play 6 freshman in a 9 man rotation.

Kevin Ollie is a very good coach and his Backcourt is an outstanding one. The duo w/ Bazz & Boatright is among the nations best. They have experience and really provide solid pressure on their opposing guards. Which will play a role in this one, with the question mark @ the point for the Terps.

The Huskie's brought in a much needed Frontline. They couldn't rebound anything last year and I'm hoping these newcomers will improve that category. But as I stated before, Maryland's no better.

I just don't think the Terps can hang in for 40 minutes in this game.

Moneyline's aren't out yet but I'm considering playing the Huskies on the ML parlayed with the Tide. (It should be around +125)

For some reason I'm hesitant to pull the trigger on the -5 and -5.5 in these 2 games.

Will post if I do make a play....

The guy has coached one year........... Maryland has a lot of young talent but not liking their PG situation, its a pass for me

[Louisvillekid1]

The guy has coached one year........... Maryland has a lot of young talent but not liking their PG situation, its a pass for me

The words been out on Ollie for years now, his team will always give 110%.

[TPowell]

The words been out on Ollie for years now, his team will always give 110%.

I'll hold off judgement until when he doesn't have 2 legit PG's in the lineup at all times. I think they could potentially be a Sweet 16 type team if they can find a post presence

[Louisvillekid1]

I'll hold off judgement until when he doesn't have 2 legit PG's in the lineup at all times. I think they could potentially be a Sweet 16 type team if they can find a post presence

Lol, well if he doesn't than his failing to recruit...

They will have a strong year, no doubt.

[Ra77er]

Bookmark, didn't realize you had a thread in here. Ready to roll this year

[Louisvillekid1]

Bookmark, didn't realize you had a thread in here. Ready to roll this year

Lets get it

[Emancipator]

Offical Plays (so far)

528 SMU -10 1x
532 Providence -3 1x
541 Missouri St -3 2x

Tailed your SMU play, BOL.

[Ra77er]

Okay I've locked in my first 2 early plays for tomorrow. Will have more plays for the evening games but I cannot cap anymore tonight or my wife may murder me. Looking hard at SMU, Im not there yet but I have some time.

Ticket #	Accepted	Type	Risk	To Win	Short Description
	11/7/2013 9:42PM	Spread	54.00	50.00	Basketball - 532 Providence -3 -108 for Game
	11/7/2013 9:42PM	Spread	54.00	50.00	Basketball - 585 Air Force +3 -108 for Game

[YoGaddy]

BOL this year Lkid! You had a great year last year and I know you'll do the same this year

[Louisvillekid1]

Offical Plays (so far)

528 SMU -10 1x
532 Providence -3 1x
541 Missouri St -3 2x

Adding

Ml Parlay 1x
Alabama -175
Connecticut -230
(+125)

Final card

[Louisvillekid1]

BOL this year Lkid! You had a great year last year and I know you'll do the same this year

Thanks man, looking forward to it

good luck