CK's Carjacking the NCAA Threads Leans for Saturday 2/7/09

[cocknocker]

Well it's harvest time and I don't have any time to chat right now I will just get down to business and lay out the dynamite Saturday ahead

Northeastern-11 1st half Pure CK Secret Play

Oklahoma-11.5 1st half Pure CK Secret Play

North Carolina-14 1st half Pure CK Secret Play

Michigan State -12 1st half Pure CK Secret Play

UCONN IS NO LONGER A Pure CK Secret Play?/NO PLAY ON UCONN

Houston-10.5 1st half Pure CK Secret Play

San Diego State-10 1st half Pure CK Secret Play


Last Week on NCAA Threads 14-8


Secret Play-O-Meter 31-7 ats

[j4inc.]

should i run a parlay with half plus bet straight what yall think ...

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

Man, I should've saved my money for them SP's not waste it on Orlando! lol

[2qwik]

Man, I should've saved my money for them SP's not waste it on Orlando! lol

I lost huge on Orlando and I was sharing the same thought as you.

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

Just playing SP's tomorrow, spent a fair amount of my bankroll today.

[KingKing]

ok. thanks ck.

[The_Kid]

Is anyone going to play these Secret Plays for the same amount? I'm probably going heavy on a couple, most notably North Carolina and Oklahoma.

What does everyone else think? Any others I should go heavier on? Does Davidson have the potential to be a Secret Play tomorrow?

[khaliagent]

I lost huge on Orlando and I was sharing the same thought as you.

you guys should play my 100 unit game today i had indiana

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

you guys should play my 100 unit game today i had indiana

I capped Orlando for the win tonight going on past history and recent form, they just played crappy tonight, you can't win them all.

[JColli32]

davdison is possible if the spread grows whic is a good possibility it is only 1:52 AM

[j4inc.]

Ok someone please help me here in the Texas vs. nebraska game the first half is texas -1 1/2 but the money line for nebraska is +958 on thegreek.com .. Is this right i dont understand why it is so high i was thinking just putting 20 on it just to see. Can somone please shed some light on this ....

[Dexter]

the mavs have seemed to really turn things around recently (beating portl, dal, gstate and mia), and were simply in a bad spot at utah on a btb. now they come back home to face a bulls team that will be on their 7th and final game of a grueling west/midwest coast trip. this one could get ugly.

-mavs (big)
________________
the bucks early season ats dominance will be a thing of the past in the next month or 2. they have been drilled with key injuries to bogut, redd and now ridonour to a broken thumb for 4 weeks. the pistons have been a huge disappoinment since acquirng the cancer (ai) but this is an arena/team that they dominate. detroit has won 4 of their last 5 su in milw by an avg margin of 16ppg (including a win earlier in the year by 11)

-pistons
________________
*scratch the grizzlies - cant play em as a 3 point favorite.
_________________
the nuggets will be on their 4th game in 5 nights and have lost 3 of their last 5 visits su to NJ who should be a 3 pt home dog.

-nets
_______________
i dont play ncaa hoops much on my own - in fact, this is the first game i'm laying money on from my own handicapping. duke has been great at home (24-17 ats the last 3 years) and coming off a blowout loss, miami looks to be up against it with the cameron crazies sat afternoon. duke has 3 losses now this year, and the prior 2 losses resulted in wins the next game by an avg margin of 34ppg. duke is 3-1 ats the last 4 home games vs mia, winning by an avg margin of 16ppg. this is also a revenge game for duke, as they lost by 1 at mia last year.

-duke (big)
__________________

[MVFC182]

Can anyone let me know what time these college games start? I can't find them listed anywhere

[oBaMa_MaNiA]

Northeastern 1pm
Oklahoma 1.30pm
North Carolina 4pm
Michigan St. 4pm
UConn 6pm
Houston 9pm
San Diego St 10pm

[texhooper]

Is anyone going to play these Secret Plays for the same amount?

yes. me. all of them.

[pho3nix32]

Good win today people. Let's have another one tomorrow:

line: mh+4.5@phi
pick: phi-4.5

The separate trends of both teams seems to be a toss up. So we look at the head to head trends:

- Sixers is 6-2 ATS vs the Heat in the past 3 seasons.
- Sixers is 4-0 ATS vs the Heat in games played at home in the past 3 seasons.

To summarize, the Sixers owns the Heat in the past 3 seasons. Brand is now out, which ironically makes the Sixers better. Expect Iggy, Miller and Young to carry the Sixers tomorrow folks!

[Dexter]

Is anyone going to play these Secret Plays for the same amount? I'm probably going heavy on a couple, most notably North Carolina and Oklahoma.

What does everyone else think? Any others I should go heavier on? Does Davidson have the potential to be a Secret Play tomorrow?

imo, that totally takes a great system - and puts it at risk.

[haserfauld]

imo, that totally takes a great system - and puts it at risk.

exactly. the second you take a purely incidental "stats" play and start weighting some more than the others, it is no longer following the system. I'm just gonna go 1U each and hope it hits >50%

[MVFC182]

Northeastern 1pm
Oklahoma 1.30pm
North Carolina 4pm
Michigan St. 4pm
UConn 6pm
Houston 9pm
San Diego St 10pm

Thanks dude, it gets confusing trying to keep up from the other side of the world.

[BrandonLaz]

I have never checked for exact figures, but I know on the Secret Plays I have lost it has been just barely so playing all 7 of these plays as a 5 point teaser or so would probably be a good bet just a thought. Nothing to put tons on, but could be decent to look at. I am sadly on bookmaker and my halftime plays are not available until 8:00

[Gotcha955]

Hey guys I know this is the main thread because of obvious reasons but I was wondering if anyone could give me alittle insight on the picks I made. The thread is titled incorrectly using the 8th but I believe the picks should do well tomorrow.

[Dexter]

love the fact that all sp's are home teams...i hate playing road teams in college sports.

[jgbgsox]

gotcha did u end up getting yourself an account at the greek?

[Gotcha955]

Yea I did I can finally make the special plays

[jgbgsox]

cool

[The_Kid]

imo, that totally takes a great system - and puts it at risk.

True, but I feel a couple of them warrant a bigger play. Today, I played Denver bigger than normal once I found out Butler was out with the flu. But I stayed within my limits and didn't go TOO crazy.

[nonsense48]

booked northeastern-11 okla-11' n.car-14 mich st.-12 1st 1/2 nickle each gonz-4' davidson-17 w.ky-7 geo mason-4 duke-14 nickle each. good luck everyone

[cocknocker]

If it has the criteria, it gets played. That's all there is to it. Every last one of them gets played for the same amount.

[hoop guru]

booked northeastern-11 okla-11' n.car-14 mich st.-12 1st 1/2 nickle each gonz-4' davidson-17 w.ky-7 geo mason-4 duke-14 nickle each. good luck everyone

Really like northeastern -11 at the half. Northeastern defeated Old Dominion 58-42 in away game and Old Dominion beat up UNC Wilmington by 87-57. I do not see a let down affect in this game. UNC Wilmington defeaed northeastern last time they met.

[LUNT101]

Dex, I love the Mavs tomorrow. I like the Duke pick too...GL on your first real college wager! Not much of a college bball fan myself.

[peetlui]

Hey Ck, with such a large number of secret plays on the roster for tomorrow what are the chances of any one of them being assigned a halftime moneyline which would in essence disqualify it as a pure secret play? the reason why I ask is because I'd like to know if it's safe to just go ahead and lock them all in now or should I wait until it's closer to gametime when it's more definitively "carved in stone" as to it's status as a secret play?

[LUNT101]

peetlui, IMHO I would wait till the morning to lock them in, you never know what can happen overnight...and the halftime line most likely wont go up. Even if it does, should only be a half point at the most. Worth the wait.

Also,
I normally wouldn't do this but I believe I will be betting slightly more on the MICHIGAN STATE secret play tomorrow. I go to Indiana and to be honest, our last game that we won was SUCH a relief to us. To win a single Big 10 game with the tradition we have here was a huge weight off our shoulders. We got out to an early lead, let up a bit and let it get close, then closed the door at the end. It felt like a storybook ending. Except it was only the beginning. We now have to go INTO Michigan State (big rivals, esp from last season), on a nationally televised game and try and put up a fight. Bottom line...we are BAD. The Spartans will put a whoopin' on us.

Goin to bed now, my girl won't stop barking. GL tomorrow fellas and long live the secret play.

[j4inc.]

Ok someone please help me here in the Texas vs. nebraska game the first half is texas -1 1/2 but the money line for nebraska is +958 on thegreek.com .. Is this right i dont understand why it is so high i was thinking just putting 20 on it just to see. Can somone please shed some light on this ....helkllllllllllllllooooooooooo

[MVFC182]

Does anyone who uses Pinnacle know when they usually release the NCAA Half Time lines?

[FrenchConnection]

I will say around 5PM in France so about 11AM on East coast.