Leans for Tuesday 1/27/09 CK's Carjacking the NCAA Threads Day 2

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  • sportsguy04
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-21-08
    • 11885

    #36
    Originally posted by WestsidePete
    What do you guys think of Northeastern +6.5 ??
    Also like this one. NE plays some nice D.
    Comment
    • dob08
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-04-08
      • 290

      #37
      You guys are overlooking the easiest game on the board. I went to NC State and follow every ACC game closely. NC State will not cover tomorrow night in Raleigh. This team is horrible, poorly coached, and will lose by 7+ against Miami. Miami is coming off of a loss to VT. Their quickness will kill us. This is an easy play in my opinion. I've been fading and betting on the Pack all season. So far I've done really well. Get on MIAMI -3. I do like Purdue and Maryland. I've watched wisconsin a lot this year. They are horrible.
      Comment
      • Smacksmiter
        SBR MVP
        • 12-20-08
        • 1169

        #38
        I am looking for another play like Manhattan where we get inside information confirming good handicapping...that is a very strong combination indeed!

        Comment
        • jgbgsox
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-16-09
          • 5774

          #39
          machine taking northeastern
          Comment
          • WestsidePete
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-19-07
            • 8049

            #40
            plays already booked
            Maryland -4
            Miami-Fla -2
            Northeastern +7
            Colorado +1
            Purdue pk
            Baylor -1
            Comment
            • cocknocker
              Restricted User
              • 11-06-08
              • 8001

              #41
              Another game that I like to go under is Kentucky at Ole Miss. The under is 4-0-1 in games below the Dixie line, and the under is 7-8 overall in Kentucky's last 8 contests, and 4-3 in Ole Miss home contests. Maryland suffered it's worse loss in school history to Duke, so look out for them to blow away a one dimensional attack by Boston College. I think that the prop for Tyrese Rice's scoring total would be an interesting option as well, as JohnMorr hooked me up with this typeof play for Boston College's games. He dominates their scoring unlike too many players on a squad in the NCAA. I do think that they will shock one or two teams in the ACC Tournament, and may have an outside shot at a NIT bid if they play their cards right.

              One thing that I am definitely looking forward to is when Niagra gets into their conference tourney. After some early success, they have been burning holes in the lining of their backers, and I think that they have become fade material. But they are a deep team and what I think will happen is that when they get into the conference tournament, they will turn on the afterburners and start playing in form again, specailly now that bettors have become comfortale with laying against their number with a casual attitude.
              Comment
              • khaden
                SBR MVP
                • 01-19-09
                • 1864

                #42
                Originally posted by WestsidePete
                What do you guys think of Northeastern +6.5 ??
                M


                The Machine likes them--he just put it out
                Comment
                • WestsidePete
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 07-19-07
                  • 8049

                  #43
                  Originally posted by khaden
                  M


                  The Machine likes them--he just put it out

                  Yea...I saw that
                  Comment
                  • jaymac82980
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-08-09
                    • 3416

                    #44
                    khaliagent. you need to give it up with your little digs here and there. CK needs to be careful, but I am fine with warnings or whatever over a pissing match. Mine is bigger and it will win. You buy picks from subscriber services and thats all i have to say. i have read your threads and they are terrible. if you want to try and make trouble, go somewhere else. Every other post you have made has been a weak dig. get over it.

                    Sportss guy, Westside, you guys have quality angles, and I like the purdue pick. I'm with you on that. there is nothing wrong with going against ck's opinion, but it doesn't have to be followed by a lame ass dig (khaliagent)...

                    p.s. buddy, make as many waves as you want, the mods have yet to be told of your posts where you cut and paste paid for picks. get over yourself and let's make this a peaceful thread.
                    Comment
                    • danrman
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-30-08
                      • 2696

                      #45
                      orlando has been playing like crap.. they play indy and then they play cleve.. look for orlando to play well going into the cleveland game and blow indiana out.. orlando huge!!!! over indiana
                      Comment
                      • cocknocker
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-06-08
                        • 8001

                        #46
                        Yeah Westside, just as i put the info up you were already on it. maryland should easily outclass the game but short on talent Boston College squad.

                        George Mason is coming off of two heartbreaking road losses by a combined figure of 6 points. They are coming into this home game pissed off and about to exact their rage on Delaware, that has been feast or famine in their last 4 games, either winning by a large margin or getting blown out by a large margin. They won their last game by 12 over Georgia State and may be still smelling the fruits of their success. George Mason is a step up in class for the Blue Hens. The Patriots are a smaller favorite in this game than last years contest(-15) which they won but din't cover by 12. The Patriots have beaten the Blue Hens at home by 12, 30, 14, 14, 7, 14 or 15 points on average. i see no reason why the outcome of this one will be any different. George Mason gives up only 60.3 points per game and the Blue Hens 70.8. Not good for this matchup. Blowout City. George Mason wins by 20.

                        George Mason-11.5

                        Baylor is a team on the rise, and the spread in this game reflects that as they are favored again this year by an identical opening line, which tells me that last year, they underacheived. Otherwise texas would be favored in this game given the history of the two teams playing at Baylor. Texas is 5-0 straight up in games at Baylor, but it's kind of hard to beat a good team 6 consecutive times at their place. I think that this line was presented to obviously get a ton of money on Texas, only to have the rug pulled out from underneath bettors. It actually is too easy to take the Longhorns in this game. I am actually glad that the linemaker made Baylor the favorite. With the reverse line movement involved in this game, I have to roll with the Bears. Early returns show that with 98% of bettors on Texas thinking that this is a free money giveaway, the line has crept up to Baylor-2 already.

                        Baylor-1.5
                        Comment
                        • RoagBettor
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-20-09
                          • 8355

                          #47
                          Orlando is in their mid-season slump now. I think Indy covers.
                          Comment
                          • WestsidePete
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 07-19-07
                            • 8049

                            #48
                            I like Baylor...bought 1/2 for -1 and added them to the card...solid team and they played horrible last game at Oklahoma in the first half....
                            Comment
                            • RoagBettor
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-20-09
                              • 8355

                              #49
                              My plays:

                              Texas +2
                              BC +4
                              Utah -3.5 (over BYU)

                              So it shall be written, so it shall be done
                              Comment
                              • ANDYW15
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-28-08
                                • 1254

                                #50
                                wow, found my way over here from the NBA forum. Once again there appears to be some real solid capping going on. Defo tailing the consensus picks
                                Comment
                                • jaymac82980
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-08-09
                                  • 3416

                                  #51
                                  so ck, I got tired of waiting for you! sometimes I think you just live to play these stupid jokes on me. I never saw you in that tired ass grey SS, so I decided to take care of myslef...i picked up some lame ass hoopdy from some trick that referred to himslef as "K". anyways, I know this plymouth reliant sucks, but I got a full tank of gas, so let me know where you're at...I got some picks for ya'.

                                  I think we're both on those George Mason cats, as I see nothing lshy of a blowout. Gm's last 5 have been 5-0 ATS, which is good enough for me (plus the other trends that aren't worth getting into here.

                                  North Eastern are my howtown boys! They may not be the as high prfile as the other local BC boys, but they are much better people! I used to hang with these cats and they got some skills. Plus my boy optimus is riding them too, which adds even more confidence with the points they are getting.

                                  Miamia looks like a solid pick at -1.5 as I can see them winning by around 6, but it should be a close matchup that we can ultimately win.

                                  Some guy named Westside driving a hot ride mentioned to me at a red light that Purdue looks good, and I don't know why but I believe him. Besides, wisconson is on a slump and the boilermakers arent to be messed with when your on the downside.

                                  As a side note, I agree with the popular consensu that BC is decent, but they can't hold acandle to Maryland. Those turtles will outclass the superfrauds and make us a little does as long as we lay the chalk!

                                  I'm also throwing a hail mary on southern miss. they are at home and should take care of business against a struggling Marshall. I know the ATS trends aren't that hot, but Marshall loves to lose on the road and I smell a 16 point win. Might be a good one to take the 1st half bet on too! I need to make a little extra cash with this one cuz I took a gold chain from "K" along with his car, but it is so cheap that it's turning my kneck green! So now I gotta bysome soap and some better jewelry.

                                  Take 'em all, they'll win us all some cash.

                                  p.s. If you don't like this Reliant, there's not too much I can do about that for now, some of these guys round here were'nt driving serious rides - Westside Pete, I was gonna ask you for a lift but you drove by so fast I didn't have time
                                  Comment
                                  • danrman
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-30-08
                                    • 2696

                                    #52
                                    ck,,,if baylor beats texas you have picked one hell of an upset.. the line i see is baylor -1.... this game could go either way... roagbettor orlando cant afford to go into the cleve game in a slump.. they have already lost 2 in a row.. they will bounce back here against indy... indy has some important games at home so this game should mean nothing to them
                                    Comment
                                    • RoagBettor
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-20-09
                                      • 8355

                                      #53
                                      dan, I'm just looking for Indy to cover the 9.5, Orlando may very well (and should) win the game.
                                      Comment
                                      • cocknocker
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-06-08
                                        • 8001

                                        #54
                                        George Mason's line has already jumped to -12.5 just that quick.
                                        Comment
                                        • danrman
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-30-08
                                          • 2696

                                          #55
                                          roagbettor, your on the side w/ the public w/ indiana so far...72%-ind-38%-orlando.. looks like most people think orlando wont win convincingly like you
                                          Comment
                                          • jaymac82980
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-08-09
                                            • 3416

                                            #56
                                            danram, when the line is +2 or -2, whichever teams wins does not constitute "one hell of an upset". That being said, I have read posts where some people actually play systems bets where all they take are the dogs plus up to 2.5 - figuring on the "upset", and then also taking the favorites of -8 and higher (up to 14) figuring obvious blowouts.

                                            But in regards to that Orlando game, I can't agree with you more. I can totally see Orlando covering, but I'll probably try to find a reason to play the over (you know me!)

                                            good luck bro.
                                            Comment
                                            • jaymac82980
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-08-09
                                              • 3416

                                              #57
                                              ck, with these picks, by the end of tomorrow night, I will have my local paying out my start up money for what we discussed!
                                              Comment
                                              • danrman
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-30-08
                                                • 2696

                                                #58
                                                ck i think the line on the texas game will go to a pick em by gametime
                                                Comment
                                                • danrman
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-30-08
                                                  • 2696

                                                  #59
                                                  hey jaymac i said upset only cause texas has beaten them sooooo many times and 5 in a row.. i live in texas and if baylor beats them most would consider it an upset even though handicappers like us looking at the line would feel differently
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jaymac82980
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-08-09
                                                    • 3416

                                                    #60
                                                    i gotcha danrman, I didn't mean any disrespect.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • twitch66
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 12-30-08
                                                      • 147

                                                      #61
                                                      games i like for today:

                                                      nba
                                                      kings and cavaliers
                                                      pacers and magic
                                                      nuggets and grizzlies
                                                      bobcats and lakers

                                                      ncaa
                                                      Kentucky and Mississippi
                                                      George mason and Delaware
                                                      Austin peavey and east Kentucky
                                                      Indiana and Creighton
                                                      Texas and Baylor
                                                      Purdue and wisconsin
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ManBearPig
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-04-08
                                                        • 2473

                                                        #62
                                                        Has anyone looked at the Austin Peay game? I think the wrong team is favored here. Everything I look at tells me to go for Austin Peay. They are 8-1 in conference play (6-3 ATS) while Eastern Kentucky is 4-5 (2-7) in conference play. They did lose to AP away by 3 a few weeks ago and now they have the home court but favored are 1-6 ATS. Also AP owns E. Kentucky winning 7 out of the last 10 by an average of 6 pts so to be getting 3.5 is almost too easy. These are a few of the trends I noticed that make this an enticing matchup...as random as it may be. I may play this because this reminds me of the Northern Iowa game a little bit from Sunday and that was ez money.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dexter
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 25829

                                                          #63
                                                          -bottom line with the college first half plays - there usually is no 1st half moneyline with games that have an overall spread of -21 or >...

                                                          -early rlm on the grizzlies getting only 15% of the early action yet the line has dropped from 7 to 6.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dexter
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-24-08
                                                            • 25829

                                                            #64
                                                            the bobcats are in a nice spot catching the lakers off of a big national tv win on sunday vs the spurs. they roll into staples, where they have won their last 2 visits straight up as 14 and 11 point dogs. they will again be catching about 13, and i look for larry brown to have these guys ready and take the roller coaster lakers down to the wire.

                                                            -bobcats
                                                            _________________
                                                            the kings played the cavs tough last year in cleav (3-2 su & ats last 5), and i look for much of the same this time around, as the cavs are likely to be very sluggish in their first home game off of a solid 4 game west coast trip.

                                                            -kings
                                                            Comment
                                                            • scwical
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 12-18-08
                                                              • 149

                                                              #65
                                                              Pete I am with you on all your picks but Maryland. I live in the DC/ Maryland area and that ass beating that maryland took was really bad for them. This team has the worst talent Gary Williams has every had. It is not even a lack of talent but worse. This team has no heart. Gary Williams hates to recruit and it is catching up to him. Has much as I want to see Maryland play well I think they get rolled up big time at home.
                                                              CFB Record 25-13 (66%)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • missumuch
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 01-27-09
                                                                • 62

                                                                #66
                                                                I love this site, you guys know what your doing...

                                                                Texas has beat Baylor 22 times in a row. Tonight won't be any differnt. Baylor plays zero defense. I think it will be close but Texas pulls it out... Baylor has only beaten Texas Tech and Kansas State in conference. TT and KSU barley beat at super bad Colorado team. If Texas loses someone got paid. goood luck capping fellas
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SamsNCharge99
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 10-22-08
                                                                  • 41242

                                                                  #67
                                                                  I got to go to class now for about 3 hours

                                                                  already locked in Denver at -5.5 (-105)

                                                                  I think I'm going to do a teaser w/ all the big games, Make Texas like +6 and Purdue +5 and Kentucky -4, or a 4 team 10 point teaser, to mkae it even better,
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dexter
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                                    • 25829

                                                                    #68
                                                                    1/28-

                                                                    a west coast team playing btb in boston is enough for me to go large on the Green Machine.

                                                                    -celtics (big)
                                                                    ________________
                                                                    the bobcats will also be on a btb, and now have to travel to portland to face a blazer team looking to avenge an earlier season loss in charl.

                                                                    -blazers
                                                                    ___________________
                                                                    the raptors are healthy and catch the nets on their first home game after a 4 game midwest trip.

                                                                    -raptors
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mmaddness08
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 11-21-08
                                                                      • 39

                                                                      #69
                                                                      For you early birds in here for some easy soccer money to be made, take

                                                                      Man U to win - squad is way to strong and they don't lose often
                                                                      Tottenham Spurs to win - they have been in good form lately and they get a boost with recent transfer signings and some of players are now healthy.

                                                                      Back later today with basketball contributions got get to work- good luck all today
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mmaddness08
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 11-21-08
                                                                        • 39

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Aston Villa in a lean play as well as they are still close to the top of the group, but go lighter in this game then the other 2.
                                                                        Comment
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