Leans for Tuesday 1/27/09 CK's Carjacking the NCAA Threads Day 2

[cocknocker]

joanapoker,

Sportsinsights lists the results of 5 books: Pinnacle, CRIS, Skybook, Betus, and WSEX. Currently there have been 2,036 plays reportedly made on this game by those books, and the consensus shows that Northeastern has had 65% of the action on their side and 78% of the moneyline plays on their side. The line has stayed at +6.5 for them across the board with the exception of Betus, which has the line at Northeastern+7, which means that the line is not getting good movement with the majority of bettors on one side. With a majority like that the line shuld be 6 by now, but it isn't. I have no idea which book you use but on those the reporting is not good so far for the blind tailers.

[joanapoker]

CLE -7.5 1st half (they always start strong at home, maybe we'll see a 20 points lead at half)

[joanapoker]

bet 365

[showtime2000]

You know what i find amazing, you guys all ignited the "fire" in CK.
For awhile he was cruising along in the NBA forums getting his picks in cashing the tickets and having fun with the odd child trying to challenge him.
BUt now, well now you just put him up to the challenge and he is going to rock all you naysayers out!

It's funny how these so called expets (MACHINE) posts their plays without any explanation or logic as to why they are playing them and you all take them but are not even trying to learn as to why to play them. You take his picks but are not wanting to learn why or logic?

Don't mess with CK, he is "best in class" at what he does! CK, we who trust in you will always be here for you pal!

[adamloses]

Goergetown was a great pick..

[The General]

Card for me today

2 units each
Purdue/Wisc under 125
Maryland -4
Miami-Fla -2

one unit each
Colorado +1
So Miss -7.5
Baylor -1
Purdue pk
Northeastern +7

The three I feel strongest about are my 2 unit plays...actually like Colorado a lot and may add more to it later

I'm going to grab some of that action, sir. TY.

he can call the great machine a fraud, but I can't call him one.??? I know this.. I'll win more games than him.. Here's what you guys don't understand.. You're gonna have 37 poeple in here giving reasons why each team in every game is gonna cover.. It defeats the purpose.. Machine and tpowell keep it simple, post their winners, and DOCUMENT them!! You geeks tell eachother how smart you are, one has a lucky week and than u think CK helped u win.. From now on I'd like to see each and every one of u frauds document your winning %.. Then we will see

Just post the plays Adam and I'll grade em for you. If you would also, send me a private message with the location of your picks daily so I can get em down properly and we'll see how well you do.

You up for that, Adam?

Let me know.

[cocknocker]

adamloses,

You're losing your religion. Now you're berating the thread for being insightful. See now.... that there is exactly why I know that you are not worthy of having the priviledge to have a challenge against me. Leaders don't act that way. Listen sir, nothing about you in the way that you have presented yourself tells me that you are worth my time. The other gentlemen that you speak of have credible records and thusly are worthy of a challenge. You ain't shown me anything other than you can run your mouth and criticize expert wagerers. Now go on back to the other side and leave the message that I want to challenge your leader, and not you, who are obviously the help and an understudy. I only challenge the big boys from now on, not guys who come from nowhere.

[Dexter]

Goergetown was a great pick..

you lost a lot also huh..lol

we're all on the same side bro - relax yourself. you're on the internet, not face to face with someone.

[jaymac82980]

ck, looks like my line dropped more. Maybe I need to start thumping my chest even more...by the time the tourney starts I'll be an even match, and then my backers can cash in on an easy spread cover! Keep it up.

[SamsNCharge99]

CK....I'm doing ESPN Streak For The Cash and I'm looking good for an 8 game streak. I know 100% at 1030 I'm picking Bynum Points and Rebounds Over Okafor, but I'm looking at in b/t and Kentucky vs. Ole Miss 3's made.

ole Miss has made 5 more 3 pointers this season in 1 less game, but Kentucky shoots at a slightly higher percentage. Plus, Ole Miss has some startes out I think due to some injuries, so I think Kentucky is a good pick.

Thoughts?

[cocknocker]

I'm going to grab some of that action, sir. TY.




Just post the plays Adam and I'll grade em for you. If you would also, send me a private message with the location of your picks daily so I can get em down properly and we'll see how well you do.

You up for that, Adam?

Let me know.

Thank you General. Let me have a report on how he does two weeks from now and then I'l take the matter into considration at that time after I discuss the matter with the CK Mafia. If they give their approval at that time after seeing his record, and excuse him for his trangressions today, then we'll see at that time.

[cocknocker]

Goergetown was a great pick..

Oh yeah and watch with amazement as I tail them tomorrow and get ALL that was lost on that pick by taking them again.

[Dexter]

ck, looks like my line dropped more. Maybe I need to start thumping my chest even more...by the time the tourney starts I'll be an even match, and then my backers can cash in on an easy spread cover! Keep it up.

there is no spread - MONEYLINE!

again, with better % moving on, the total wins mean nothing.

[Dexter]

booked plays-

kings +13.5
bobcats +11

[jaymac82980]

dex, you're right about the contest, but some books are offering spreads. haha

[bumppinee]

he can call the great machine a fraud, but I can't call him one.??? I know this.. I'll win more games than him.. Here's what you guys don't understand.. You're gonna have 37 poeple in here giving reasons why each team in every game is gonna cover.. It defeats the purpose.. Machine and tpowell keep it simple, post their winners, and DOCUMENT them!! You geeks tell eachother how smart you are, one has a lucky week and than u think CK helped u win.. From now on I'd like to see each and every one of u frauds document your winning %.. Then we will see

Dude you have less than 20 post and already stirring up controversy, you are a bona fide loser, "the great machine" i'm sure the machine isnt saying the great adamloses, stop dick riding and be a man and make your own picks sometime.

[cocknocker]

SamsNCharge,

I actually like Tyrese Rice (Boston College) to get his numbers. JohnMorr gave me that one and when you think about it he dominates their scoring. Also you might want to take Duke to reach their team total in their games as well. Look for over .500 teams that have sustained 3 or more conference games in a row. I think that Notre Dame fits this subset as well as Georgetown in the Big East, and Texas A&M in the Big12. If you take those teams in their next games as i am you're sure to go on a hot treak. Always remember, take a team who's stock is low. I definitely recommend that you take Notre Dame to get their share of made threes in their next game against Pittsburgh for sure. They will get the cover in that one as well. Their recent bad play is a welcome sight for bettors who want to ride a team that will get a bounce. Tell me Sam is this ESPN Challenge only for prop bets?

[schaapattack]

Explanation or not..all that matters is a win.

[cocknocker]

Plays for tomorrow, Wednesday 1/28/09

Georgetown-11 (projected)
Texas A&M -8 (projected)

[Luv2Poker]

Jeez

Where did all the jagoffs come from!! Look if your gonna come into the sandbox you must play nice. If not, get the fark outa here and lets get back to gettin some winners.

CK... You wanted a write up so i'll give it a shot. I'm new to ncaa so dont be too harsh.

I'm looking at Kentucky who are suprisingly still unranked. All the numbers seem to add up in their favor along with an under in this game.
KY (16-4, 5-0 SEC)
MIss (10-9, 1-4 SEC)
As a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points KY 2-0.
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Ky's def is playing exceptionally well. Especially on the road. In the last 5, holding opponents to 35% and under 60pts per, while averaging close to 48% and 72.5pts per game.

Ky is 11-1 s/u and 9-2 against the spread in the last 12 games.
Only loss by three points on the road to Louisville.
Avg winning margin during this stretch is 18
4-0 ATS on the road

Miss is average at best. 10-9 s/u, Losing the last 3.
Not sure HOW IN THE WORLD this team can slow down KY or from the other side even come close to keeping up with Ky.

3 of Miss top players are already down and out with season ending knee injuries. To add to that, another harsh injury to freshman guard Terrico White who injured his KNEE last weekend.
****downgraded to doubtful Today vs. Kentucky****
Not sure who they have left besides the mascot

Last but not least........ Jodie Meeks, the Wildcats' 6-4 beast who leads the SEC and ranks third in the nation at 26.1 pts per. He's capable of shooting LIGHTS OUT FROM THE 3 and will go for at least 25-30 tonight if not more. (30pts-6times) (40+ twice) and (90% from the line).

I'll Take my chances and take KY minus WHATEVER. will also teast the game w/under

[SamsNCharge99]

SamsNCharge,

I actually like Tyrese Rice (Boston College) to get his numbers. JohnMorr gave me that one and when you think about it he dominates their scoring. Also you might want to take Duke to reach their team total in their games as well. Look for over .500 teams that have sustained 3 or more conference games in a row. I think that Notre Dame fits this subset as well as Georgetown in the Big East, and Texas A&M in the Big12. If you take those teams in their next games as i am you're sure to go on a hot treak. Always remember, take a team who's stock is low. I definitely recommend that you take Notre Dame to get their share of made threes in their next game against Pittsburgh for sure. They will get the cover in that one as well. Their recent bad play is a welcome sight for bettors who want to ride a team that will get a bounce. Tell me Sam is this ESPN Challenge only for prop bets?

WAYYYYyyyyyyy OFF CK

http://streak.espn.go.com/entry?date=20090127

[Dexter]

Explanation or not..all that matters is a win.

true if your just here to tail others and play their games - but many of us like to handicap games on our own, and bounce ideas off of other credible handicappers - cant be credible if you dont discuss your plays sometimes.

[wangichu]

At first i was going to let this game ride. but the response of the board has been overwhelmingly in Purdue's favor, which mirrors the public's perception of the game that this is a drive through fried chicken take out. I have to do this to you fellas. You leave me no other choice...

Wisconsin-1

LMAO

I think I'm going to have to tail you here. I just can't see Wisky being this bad for long, and like you said, two teams at opposite ends of the spectrum, time to think outside the box

As for the NBA, I am ASTONISHED at how much the public is all over the spurs, but will gladly say thank you as i take jazz ML with no extra juice. Last year, the spurs got blasted 78-102 by the hornets at home and then traveled to utah with one day off to recuperate their old bones, what happened? Utah went up 10 at half and held that lead going into the 4th quarter when all the spurs could do was cut the lead to 6. Utah has lost 3 straight and is coming off a blowout in denver, and as a .500 plus club we know what that means. Again, home teams are 9-0 SU/ATS in the last 9 meetings between these teams. About 80% of the public still likes the spurs, but that just makes me feel that much more comfortable. Still hesitating on my other picks, but i've already posted this one large.

UTAH ML (-110) BIG STATUS

other leans:

IND +9

they got smacked around last time they went to orlando, but in the last 3 years they have actually faired rather well in Orlando for at least one of the two match ups. I don't see them losing by more than 8, and there's an outside shot that they could win SU. I know that the magic are on bounce back mode, but they look like they're about ready to slow down a bit and the pacers have been playing decent ball lately. Given the matchup history between these two teams i have to think that they will keep this one close at the very least. We all know that if any team in the league can trade 3's with the magic, it is the pacers, i say granger and dunlevy keep this one within striking distance

CHAR +11

I am a little leary of this one because the lakers have also historically struggled with the blazers and rockets and they have covered all 4 games against these two teams, struggling to cover against most of the rest of the league. Nevertheless we all know that raja bell can give kobe some fits and larry brown has this squad playing some quality defense and keeping the squad in games at the least. The thing that scares me the most is that last year when these two teams met in los angeles, the bobs capitolized on not just the obvious abscense of andrew bynum, but a missing pau gasol who was suffering from a sprained ankle. Nevertheless, lakers are coming off that nationally televised win and could be ready for a little let down...

CHAR/LAL under 196

I'm actually tossing around the idea of running that under too. Outside of a home tilt with the horny's, this is the lowest home total the lakers have been given since they got knocked off by the pistons back in the middle of november and the public has responded by pounding the over. Thanks to coach larry, Charlotte plays some good defense on the road and that's how they've been covering and occasionally winning. I may tread on both of these lightly and parlay them together.

The RLM in the memphis/denver game and their history does make that game appealling, but memphis has just been dropping too many straight games and look like they're really missing milicic (as weird as that sounds). I can't lay the wood on a team with that kind of losing streak, i just wish i had been fading them earlier.

[ploben]

Dude you have less than 20 post and already stirring up controversy, you are a bona fide loser, "the great machine" i'm sure the machine isnt saying the great adamloses, stop dick riding and be a man and make your own picks sometime.

In all fairness, and not that this thread needs any more length, but there is some serious dick riding on both sides.

I understand the "teach a man to fish" angle here CK but a W is a W. Let's not be naive, 90% of this forum doesn't give two $h!+s about capping games and just wants winners. So if someone is picking winners they are good in my book, and I think good in a lot of other people's books (except the sports books )

[maddogmadden86]

hey ck are you playing the under in the ole miss and kentucky game these teams score nothing close to the total that its at i was about to pull the trigger just seeing if you feel its worthy to invest in

[cocknocker]

So Sam if it isn't props, then what are the requirements of the ESPN challenge? I have to knowwhat your objective is if i am to thelp you. In your original statements, it appears that you were speaking of prop bets and not ats issues. Correct me if I am wrong and make it clear what you are asking for to have a streak on, gabeesh?

[WestsidePete]

Here's a two team ML parlay at -172 worth playing
Kentucky ML
So Miss ML

[SamsNCharge99]

So Sam if it isn't props, then what are the requirements of the ESPN challenge? I have to knowwhat your objective is if i am to thelp you. In your original statements, it appears that you were speaking of prop bets and not ats issues. Correct me if I am wrong and make it clear what you are asking for to have a streak on, gabeesh?

Dude, CK, it's on ESPN.com, under fantasy games, just sign up make an account and DO WORK. They give you a list of games daily and your goal is to pick 27 games in a row w/o losing, if you do that, you win $1 Million.

Click on the link and look at my selections and check it out.

http://streak.espn.go.com/entry?date=20090127

[jaymac82980]

maddog, where are you getting your numbers for that kentucky game? That total looks pretty on point. and I see the ATS trends for over/unders are pretty close to even between the two. Plus, figuring what both teams average in scoring vs what their opponents avg in scoring makes an even better case that the total isn't off at all.

[jaymac82980]

maddog, put that smoke wagon back in its holster. pull the trigger on another bet.

[cocknocker]

I don't know ploben, there's a lot of the *ick riding going on on both sides of the fence. One look at the other side shows that there is even moreof that type of thing going on over there, and i am the hot topic over there now in case you didn't notice. but to be fair, you are definitely entitled to your opinions and i am more than happy that you continue to frequent the thread and give us your responses. i don't agree with your assertions that no one here cares about capping games and just wanting winners. If that was the case we would all stop capping and start buying picks like some of the people on the other side. We are about capping over here, and obviously we are about winning. If I don't have a winner, there are opinions from a whole mass of people here to ride, including YOU. If you gave me a pick and it had sound reasoning behind it and i took it and played it and lost, I wouldn't try to call you out, slander your name and attempt to make you feel bad about it, even if I rode you for three days and lost every one of your wagers. that's what this thread is about. There are tons of good wagerers here, not just me. I only catch heat because I am the front man, but sometimes i hae caught heat for riding someone else's pick if you can actually believe that, lol! See this is a underground brotherhood, and yes we are about capping games and a means of support win/lose/draw. What are ya playing today ploben?

[ploben]

Sam, nice work on the streak so far...I used to do this for MLB on mlb.com.

Can you cross-sport your picks? I would look at the Bruins tonight at home vs. Wash.

[Dexter]

i was almost with you on the jazz wang. but as i mentioned a few days ago, i feel their recent woes are directly attributed to no ak47. he means that much to them on the defensive end of the floor - starting fast breaks etc..

with that said, the jazz just have to win su to get the cash, which is very good value for such a great home team.

[adamloses]

I just want to win $.. I posted my picks.. You guys have 5 pages of chatter...what's the pick of the day???? Or is everyone here on different sides??

Iowa st. +1
Purdue +1

[cocknocker]

maddog,

I'm with jaymac, hold off on that one. it looks tantalizing, but if you must play it, go low.

Westside Pete,

I can't let you be the only one to get down with that two way. I'm going to have to bite your selection and throw me some money on that. It looks too good to pass up. I'm gonna get me some of that money too.
Nice work!