STL / BUTLER Today = Cincy / UConn Yesterday

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  • 124
    Restricted User
    • 02-19-13
    • 138

    #1
    STL / BUTLER Today = Cincy / UConn Yesterday
    Same scenario as Uconn game yesterday. Cincy was the play at -1 / -1.5 but PUBLIC was POUNDING UCONN n the Line kept moving in favor of UConn. StL is the play here at +2 but the PUBLIC is POUNDING Butler and the line continues to move -2 / -2.5 / -3.

    I'd put my Money on BUTLER even tho I capped the game and STL is the Play.


    Bottom line, Im staying away from this game. But if u must bet, Put your money on BUTLER
  • Frisco
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-27-12
    • 6138

    #2
    Staying away is probably wise but the cincy/conn outcome doesn't affect this game. Public thinks they learned a lesson yesterday and could easily be wrong again
    Comment
    • 124
      Restricted User
      • 02-19-13
      • 138

      #3
      Originally posted by Frisco
      Staying away is probably wise but the cincy/conn outcome doesn't affect this game. Public thinks they learned a lesson yesterday and could easily be wrong again
      Very true. Haha BEST BET HERE: STAY AWAY!
      Comment
      • Frisco
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-27-12
        • 6138

        #4
        Yea, I wish 5dimes was offering live betting on it though
        Comment
        • 124
          Restricted User
          • 02-19-13
          • 138

          #5
          Originally posted by Frisco
          Yea, I wish 5dimes was offering live betting on it though
          I use 5dimes as well, can u explain to me how Live Betting works?
          Comment
          • Frisco
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-27-12
            • 6138

            #6
            Originally posted by 124
            I use 5dimes as well, can u explain to me how Live Betting works?
            It's pretty simple. During timeouts and commercial breaks they post new lines/totals for games that have live betting. These are usually the nationally televised games. All you have to do is go to Straight and RIF and then under basketball click on Live In Play to see what games will have live betting for the game. Be careful you know what you're betting though b/c they offer lines for quarters, halves, and the game live
            Comment
            • Frisco
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-27-12
              • 6138

              #7
              A lot of times (especially on NBA games) you can get a team you like at a lot better line live if their opponent just goes on 1 small run which happens all the time in the NBA
              Comment
              • 124
                Restricted User
                • 02-19-13
                • 138

                #8
                Originally posted by Frisco
                It's pretty simple. During timeouts and commercial breaks they post new lines/totals for games that have live betting. These are usually the nationally televised games. All you have to do is go to Straight and RIF and then under basketball click on Live In Play to see what games will have live betting for the game. Be careful you know what you're betting though b/c they offer lines for quarters, halves, and the game live
                Ya I'm sure u could make some good money that way, but it seems like a BIG HEADACHE to me. Seems to me like I would overthink it, cuz I know how Ball works, 5min runs, 10min runs, and worst dry runs. Teams can be shooting the 3 ball at a 75% rate for 5 min and then go cold for 15min and then hot again for 5min (Arkansas yesterday) ...I think I will just cap the games and continue to take the spreads on Games instead of quarters halves and all that. Thank you for the info tho
                Comment
                • 124
                  Restricted User
                  • 02-19-13
                  • 138

                  #9
                  I capped this game and I got BUTLER -1 so if Butler is now -3 The play is STL +3!! Be careful with this one guys. In my opinion, stay away and take another game. Or wait for tomorrow.
                  Comment
                  • Kira
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-22-12
                    • 364

                    #10
                    do you somehow forget that cinci/uconn game went OT ?

                    it's a coin flip, that's all
                    Comment
                    • 124
                      Restricted User
                      • 02-19-13
                      • 138

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Kira
                      do you somehow forget that cinci/uconn game went OT ?

                      it's a coin flip, that's all

                      No, its not a coin flip. I capped the game at Cincy -1.5... Cincy was up 2 and had the ball. costly turn over as he crossover right past mid court to take it to OT and then u know the rest. However I would take that 10 out of 10 times. And lose 1 of them, (yesterdays game)
                      Comment
                      • 124
                        Restricted User
                        • 02-19-13
                        • 138

                        #12
                        I win more games then I lose on a daily basis. So if you continue to bet same amount of units on STRAIGHT bets u will profit. I dont care about the public, and I dont care about fixed games and all that. More often then not, I will be on the winning side rather then the losing side. The right play for me was Cincy yesterday. I lost. Not a big deal, I won on 7 games last night so I can afford a couple losses.
                        Comment
                        • Kira
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 10-22-12
                          • 364

                          #13
                          Cincy was definitely the right side, they're one of the best rebounding teams, while Uconn cant rebound at all, but it's still a coin flip with the short line nevertheless.

                          my point is that there are many better games to be played, why bother with this one
                          Comment
                          • 124
                            Restricted User
                            • 02-19-13
                            • 138

                            #14
                            Cuz we are degenerates. Simple as that. I've said I'm going to stay away from this game OVER n OVER n OVER today. In the end, I will probably bet STL +3 hahaha I HATE THIS ADDICTION!!
                            Comment
                            • Kira
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 10-22-12
                              • 364

                              #15
                              Originally posted by 124
                              Cuz we are degenerates. Simple as that. I've said I'm going to stay away from this game OVER n OVER n OVER today. In the end, I will probably bet STL +3 hahaha I HATE THIS ADDICTION!!
                              nice reply there

                              my personal opinion : 80% public on butler, butler got blown out last game against STL, it seems like STL is the play. but wait, this is a revenge game, I just cannot bet against butler in this spot
                              Comment
                              • chunk
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-08-11
                                • 808

                                #16
                                Originally posted by 124
                                I capped this game and I got BUTLER -1 so if Butler is now -3 The play is STL +3!! Be careful with this one guys. In my opinion, stay away and take another game. Or wait for tomorrow.
                                Agree that fair line is Butler -1 which is what it opened at and also agree that there is "line value" with St. Louis. Very difficult situation for them, however, and I believe Butler wins in this situation 6 of 10...minimum.
                                Comment
                                • 124
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-19-13
                                  • 138

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by chunk
                                  Agree that fair line is Butler -1 which is what it opened at and also agree that there is "line value" with St. Louis. Very difficult situation for them, however, and I believe Butler wins in this situation 6 of 10...minimum.
                                  Ya u make a good point. It seems like Saint Louis has to play A VERY GOOD mistake free game to win here. So with that said, Butler should win ...........Way too much thinking in this one. I'm skipping it, I'm already looking at the early games tomorrow. I'll make a new thread for that shortly
                                  Comment
                                  • mistermatt891
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 02-14-13
                                    • 371

                                    #18
                                    i wanna bet this game but its too close

                                    might just bet butler ml for small
                                    Comment
                                    • stevenash
                                      Moderator
                                      • 01-17-11
                                      • 65728

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by mistermatt891
                                      i wanna bet this game but its too close
                                      Don't bet it then.
                                      There are like 100 games tomorrow (Saturday) take the night off.
                                      Comment
                                      • mistermatt891
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 02-14-13
                                        • 371

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by stevenash
                                        Don't bet it then.
                                        There are like 100 games tomorrow (Saturday) take the night off.
                                        leaning towards that especially since there are 2-3 nba games that i love tonight
                                        Comment
                                        • Magnificent
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 02-01-13
                                          • 448

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 124
                                          I capped this game and I got BUTLER -1 so if Butler is now -3 The play is STL +3!! Be careful with this one guys. In my opinion, stay away and take another game. Or wait for tomorrow.
                                          Im just curious...I certainly have my times when I just degenerately pick with my gut...and then I have my times when I spend 30 minutes researching a game from injuries, to last 5-7 games played, to history between teams, and so on. But I have never used the phrase, or knowingly said, I capped this game at -1 or -6...I say to myself, I think they can cover/not cover. What is a consistent criteria for "capping" a game? Like I said, I do my research, but do most cappers follow the same criteria? Or does each capper follow his own method and then just give a projected outcome?
                                          Comment
                                          • 124
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 02-19-13
                                            • 138

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Magnificent
                                            Im just curious...I certainly have my times when I just degenerately pick with my gut...and then I have my times when I spend 30 minutes researching a game from injuries, to last 5-7 games played, to history between teams, and so on. But I have never used the phrase, or knowingly said, I capped this game at -1 or -6...I say to myself, I think they can cover/not cover. What is a consistent criteria for "capping" a game? Like I said, I do my research, but do most cappers follow the same criteria? Or does each capper follow his own method and then just give a projected outcome?
                                            We do our own method of madness.
                                            Comment
                                            • YungCiroq
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 01-21-13
                                              • 299

                                              #23
                                              Saint Louis wins SU (lets get paid)...
                                              Comment
                                              • killawookie
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-25-09
                                                • 3457

                                                #24
                                                NBA on Fridays are usually brutal.. at least the board fills up with alot of complaining. But I'm going with the over.. close game of teams that went over the current total already even with a massive amount of turnovers. Close game means higher chance of a 10-15 pt foul situation boost for the total with a minute to go.. but I don't think this game will need it at 124 lol
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