Wisconsin -3.5 Sunday

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Wisconsin -3.5 Sunday
    Badgers in a double-revenge spot, having lost to the Buckeyes in Columbus earlier this season (by 9) and on their home court to them a year ago. More disciplined team and the better coach on their home court, but Wisky's played three straight OT games, which worries me a little.

    I'm still leaning toward a big play on the Badgers here, and I like Iowa (PK) over Minnesota as well.
  • mistermatt891
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-14-13
    • 371

    #2
    wisconsin lost a heartbreaker vs minnesota on thursday and could be deflated
    Comment
    • TwoWays
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-24-10
      • 13145

      #3
      Pick a play that goes with the public, I dare u
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by TwoWays
        Pick a play that goes with the public, I dare u
        How do you know which side the public is on in this one? My guess is it'd be pretty even by the time all bets are accounted for.
        Comment
        • TwoWays
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-24-10
          • 13145

          #5
          Oh I know. Ohio St, 13th ranked, an 4 pt dog, c'mon.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by TwoWays
            Oh I know. Ohio St, 13th ranked, an 4 pt dog, c'mon.
            You honestly think I'd just take Wisconsin here to fade the public?
            Comment
            • ThaTopMoron
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-30-10
              • 27020

              #7
              Illinois better play

              Ohio State bipolar squad... Wisconsin with their crazy shit.... no thanks!
              Comment
              • Speedy88
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-19-11
                • 11717

                #8
                I kinda like it, only thing that worries me is that Wisky wins by just a bucket.
                Comment
                • FilletMaster
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-21-10
                  • 1096

                  #9
                  LOVIN the Iowa play. Coin flip in Wisky
                  Comment
                  • Ralphie1412
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-29-08
                    • 13963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                    Illinois better play

                    Ohio State bipolar squad... Wisconsin with their crazy shit.... no thanks!
                    There is absolutely NO WAY of knowing which U of I team shows OR....OR which Northwestern team shows. These teams are either deadly from 3 and great......OR the worst of the worst.
                    "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                    Goat Milk
                    Comment
                    • PAULYPOKER
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-06-08
                      • 36581

                      #11
                      Wisconsin 36% ATS record
                      1-4 ATS, 2-3 SU, 0-2 ATS and 1-1SU @ home when favored by 5 or less..........

                      OHIO STATE 55%ATS record
                      2-1 ATS, 0-3 SU, 0-2 SU on the road as Underdog.................
                      Comment
                      • the fatts
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 01-01-13
                        • 273

                        #12
                        You can put the stats away, especially in the Big Ten this year.

                        Whisky is coming off 3 consecutive OT games, they are drained...Ohio State can't be trusted as they barely beat NW (with 2 of their players out!) and have proven to be anything but consistent.

                        The Badgers are capable of going 10 minutes without scoring a point at any moment during the game - see last game vs OHst and last week vs Minny.

                        With the lock down D and awkward play by the Badgers, the safer play and maybe the obvious (square) move is the under.

                        Under Whisky total 120

                        This grinder will be hard pressed to top the century mark....
                        Comment
                        • R.P. McMurphy
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 06-15-12
                          • 9654

                          #13
                          Lean towards Speedy's thoughts on this one Wiscy wins just afraid they dont quite cover. Buckeyes don't really have an impressive road win vs a quality opponent all year. The 4 tough road games they have played (Duke, Illin, Mich, Mich st.) they are 0-4 s/u and 2-2 a.t.s. GL Coin
                          Comment
                          • lakecityransom
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 02-09-13
                            • 51

                            #14
                            Originally posted by the fatts
                            Under Whisky total 120

                            This grinder will be hard pressed to top the century mark....
                            Comment
                            • neutral
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-29-12
                              • 1002

                              #15
                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                              Badgers in a double-revenge spot, having lost to the Buckeyes in Columbus earlier this season (by 9) and on their home court to them a year ago. More disciplined team and the better coach on their home court, but Wisky's played three straight OT games, which worries me a little.

                              I'm still leaning toward a big play on the Badgers here, and I like Iowa (PK) over Minnesota as well.
                              I lean Badgers' way as well for a win and cover of anything under a bucket, reason why Wiscy don't really blow teams out is they actually have poor talent level but they have a good coach that demands 110% effort every game otherwise they will be dropped. Consequently they play games close to number frequently. I would say them and Izzo's Spartans provide the best opportunity for hitting middle play.

                              Played Iowa last night @ pk, this is revenge spot for Iowa, they actually shot quite poorly in the first match, Minny's problem in defending 3s is Iowa's offensive strength and Minny also turn the ball over. Iowa is fast tempo team while Minny is a slow/mid tempo team, this very important when study the line. In the first match total line was 138 but only 121 pts was scored but odds-maker have set another reasonably high line of 133 considering the actual score in the first match. Meaning tempo wise, they expect Iowa to get way rather Minny then factor in Minny's t/o problem in that tempo should lead to cheap transition baskets for Iowa, excluding their brilliance from downtown.
                              Comment
                              • kcburg
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-30-10
                                • 1219

                                #16
                                Per Sports Options 64% on Ohio State.
                                Comment
                                • R.P. McMurphy
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-15-12
                                  • 9654

                                  #17
                                  Fukk it I'm on Wiscy as well I like taking the loser of the 1st matchup in a div or conf rival game and the line has Wiscy written all over it. They will d up and hit their 3's as usual and hopefully win and cover at the end with ft's if nothing else 57-51. GL
                                  Comment
                                  • numismatist
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-02-11
                                    • 2192

                                    #18
                                    I am huge Badgers fan and I think this is a bad spot for them. Ohio State plays a similar, low tempo ball control game, and Craft will be effective at defending the perimeter from easy 3's. I agree with most that this is likely to go under the total but Vegas isn't stupid, I can actually see a scenario where this game goes over, especially in the 2nd half and especially if Ohio State is winning. To me the spread is pretty much bang on and so is the total. What I decided to do today was take Ohio State as part of a teaser at +9. Great value IMHO.
                                    Comment
                                    • meader99
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-30-10
                                      • 4223

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by numismatist
                                      I am huge Badgers fan and I think this is a bad spot for them. Ohio State plays a similar, low tempo ball control game, and Craft will be effective at defending the perimeter from easy 3's. I agree with most that this is likely to go under the total but Vegas isn't stupid, I can actually see a scenario where this game goes over, especially in the 2nd half and especially if Ohio State is winning. To me the spread is pretty much bang on and so is the total. What I decided to do today was take Ohio State as part of a teaser at +9. Great value IMHO.
                                      Craft will guard Jackson. He can't do anything to stop the UW bigs from shooting the 3. Frankly, Craft should probably guard Brust, UW biggest scoring threat along with Dekker off the bench. 4 is a tough number to lay with a team that struggles finishing teams off and isn't a very good FT shooting team either.
                                      Comment
                                      • Rick22
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-29-09
                                        • 2200

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by meader99
                                        Craft will guard Jackson. He can't do anything to stop the UW bigs from shooting the 3. Frankly, Craft should probably guard Brust, UW biggest scoring threat along with Dekker off the bench. 4 is a tough number to lay with a team that struggles finishing teams off and isn't a very good FT shooting team either.
                                        Right on - I too am a Badger fan, but unlike past UW teams this one can't close well because they only shoot 62% from the line. Hopefully playing in Madison will help but I'm staying away.
                                        Comment
                                        • R.P. McMurphy
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 06-15-12
                                          • 9654

                                          #21
                                          They are not good from the line but I also think they rebound well from a 30% shooting from the field performance at Minny as well.
                                          Comment
                                          • homerbush
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-17-08
                                            • 2317

                                            #22
                                            I have thought badgers played over their heads a little all year, Bucks +4 all day.
                                            Comment
                                            • darrell74
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-16-07
                                              • 14648

                                              #23
                                              Ohio State over 57 1/2 team total
                                              Buckeyes have scored at least this much in last 7, and in all of their games but 3
                                              Comment
                                              • neutral
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-29-12
                                                • 1002

                                                #24
                                                Bank those units, Iowa by 21.
                                                Comment
                                                • Speedy88
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 03-19-11
                                                  • 11717

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by TwoWays
                                                  Pick a play that goes with the public, I dare u
                                                  Yeah c'mon No Coin, why didn't you just take Ohio St? Why are you always fading the public. Geez.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PAULYPOKER
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-06-08
                                                    • 36581

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by TwoWays
                                                    Pick a play that goes with the public, I dare u
                                                    He did, Iowa.........

                                                    all the FREE public consensuses were RLM with 64% of the public on Iowa..........
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TwoWays
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-24-10
                                                      • 13145

                                                      #27
                                                      Gotta give u props, NC. Good looking picks.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by TwoWays
                                                        Gotta give u props, NC. Good looking picks.
                                                        Thanks.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ThaTopMoron
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-30-10
                                                          • 27020

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                                                          There is absolutely NO WAY of knowing which U of I team shows OR....OR which Northwestern team shows. These teams are either deadly from 3 and great......OR the worst of the worst.
                                                          true, but I think Northwestern is done. Wisky did their job and took care of biz tho... Ohio State "suck squad" showed up today lol
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ThaTopMoron
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 04-30-10
                                                            • 27020

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                                                            Illinois better play
                                                            Illinois up 14 at half

                                                            This thread was just full of good tips and sharp plays. Good job guys!
                                                            Comment
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