EP36's 2nd Half Formula Plays

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  • OhMyEli
    SBR MVP
    • 07-17-12
    • 1164

    #1611
    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
    W.Virginia-Kansas Over 70.5 [-110]
    I learned last year never to take a KU over second half, I'm not sure where to find the stat but I honestly feel like their second haves go under about 80% of the time in the second half versus conference teams or non-cupcake ooc.
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #1612
      As with everything, this is a work in progress and this lull has given me time to look for corrections. I think the thing I need to get back to doing better is playing the strongest plays and leaving the others off the board. That is my goal this week. Could be fewer plays, but I think the hit rate should work back in the right direction if I stick to this.
      Comment
      • OhMyEli
        SBR MVP
        • 07-17-12
        • 1164

        #1613
        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
        As with everything, this is a work in progress and this lull has given me time to look for corrections. I think the thing I need to get back to doing better is playing the strongest plays and leaving the others off the board. That is my goal this week. Could be fewer plays, but I think the hit rate should work back in the right direction if I stick to this.
        Would you mind just posting your play that you want to use then the "lean" you would have on something even if you arent necessarily playing it.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #1614
          If I have time, I can try. No promises though because it's usually hard enough to get the picks up after crunching numbers.
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #1615
            Updated Record: 144-117-7 [+13.17]
            Comment
            • WinOrDie
              SBR Hustler
              • 12-09-12
              • 90

              #1616
              Are you gonna be posting totals tonight? If so, I'm gonna wait. If not I wanna play under 144 in the miss/kentucky game.
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #1617
                Might be Twitter only on this 1st one tonight as well.

                NCST-UVA and VANDY-TENN looking over.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #1618
                  That play was ...

                  Tennessee-Vanderbilt Under 63.5 [-110]

                  Hopefully you missed it because of course both teams are shooting lights out.
                  Comment
                  • hkarmy_kenny
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 11-25-12
                    • 248

                    #1619
                    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                    That play was ...

                    Tennessee-Vanderbilt Under 63.5 [-110]

                    Hopefully you missed it because of course both teams are shooting lights out.
                    I actually tailed Vandy/Tennessee Over because you mentioned "looking over." woops but thanks
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #1620
                      LoL. That wasn't what I meant, did not even think about it. Meant I was looking over the stats. Glad it worked for you though.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #1621
                        Well guess I can't say I am too upset about losing that one. It barely scrapes by in the final :30. Unfortunately both teams were hot for too long before the end. Shit happens. Onto the next and maybe a rebound.
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #1622
                          Bradley-Illinois State Over 73.5 [-110]
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #1623
                            Ole Miss-Kentucky Over 76 [-110]
                            Comment
                            • southpaw74
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-21-09
                              • 7104

                              #1624
                              It's 78
                              Comment
                              • Tkeni
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 12-31-10
                                • 3

                                #1625
                                Can your formula be applied to the NBA? If so, are there any changes to be made with the formula to use it?
                                Comment
                                • LowRollin
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-29-12
                                  • 467

                                  #1626
                                  took it at 77. gl to us and nice win on il state game!
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #1627
                                    Originally posted by Tkeni
                                    Can your formula be applied to the NBA? If so, are there any changes to be made with the formula to use it?
                                    I have not had good luck trying similar things with the NBA. I've tried different variations, but it does not seem to translate very well. NBA doesn't offer the extra possessions normally in the 2nd half and seem way more scattered than NCAAB to me from half to half and even quarter to quarter.
                                    Comment
                                    • Tkeni
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 12-31-10
                                      • 3

                                      #1628
                                      ok, thanks
                                      Comment
                                      • RJBucs
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-26-07
                                        • 446

                                        #1629
                                        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                        Ole Miss-Kentucky Over 76 [-110]
                                        These refs are foul happy in this game. Should help us big time. They got to 75 with Ole Miss shooting miserably in the first part of the first half.
                                        Comment
                                        • southpaw74
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-21-09
                                          • 7104

                                          #1630
                                          30 points in the first 5 minutes...that's a new one
                                          Comment
                                          • Nomadik
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-03-10
                                            • 1723

                                            #1631
                                            Shit they're on pace to score 100 in this 2nd half.
                                            Comment
                                            • LowRollin
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 02-29-12
                                              • 467

                                              #1632
                                              uk* making it rain
                                              Comment
                                              • RJBucs
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 11-26-07
                                                • 446

                                                #1633
                                                Easy money!
                                                Comment
                                                • Nomadik
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-03-10
                                                  • 1723

                                                  #1634
                                                  Cha Ching
                                                  Comment
                                                  • southpaw74
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-21-09
                                                    • 7104

                                                    #1635
                                                    That was enjoyable...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #1636
                                                      Indeed. Staying with the strong plays was very helpful and avoiding any iffy ones. Going to stay in that mindset and I think things will continue to turn around.

                                                      Updated Record: 146-118-7 [+14.07]
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #1637
                                                        Going to challenge myself so I can hopefully do some good things come March all-around. Going to post one line each day for a full game that stands out to me - might be a spread, total or team total. We'll see if I know shit about shit. Since this was started as a Viking Style assault on the books, it'll be the Viking Funeral POTD to bury the books [hopefully].

                                                        1.30.13 VIKING FUNERAL: MICHIGAN TEAM TOTAL OVER 72 [-110]
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #1638
                                                          Notre Dame-Villanova Under 71.5 [-110]
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #1639
                                                            Probably the usual Twitter Only for this next pick. About to pop out of work. Looking at the OU-Baylor game and OVER could be the potential play depending on the #s.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hkarmy_kenny
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 11-25-12
                                                              • 248

                                                              #1640
                                                              whats your twitter
                                                              Comment
                                                              • southpaw74
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-21-09
                                                                • 7104

                                                                #1641
                                                                Originally posted by hkarmy_kenny
                                                                whats your twitter
                                                                Same as username
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hkarmy_kenny
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 11-25-12
                                                                  • 248

                                                                  #1642
                                                                  Originally posted by southpaw74
                                                                  Same as username
                                                                  Got it thanks!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • onacloud
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 10-14-10
                                                                    • 5360

                                                                    #1643
                                                                    EaglesPhan36 ‏@EaglesPhan36 no pick
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #1644
                                                                      N.Illinois-Kent State Over 65.5 [-110]
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • micase
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 01-21-13
                                                                        • 157

                                                                        #1645
                                                                        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                        N.Illinois-Kent State Over 65.5 [-110]
                                                                        Going to need a bit of help here, pretty slow scoring to start with
                                                                        Comment
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