How I see Game 1 Going Down

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  • Goat Milk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-24-10
    • 25850

    #1
    How I see Game 1 Going Down
    The Thunder roster is deeper. I'm not talking about the bench, but their Harden, Ibaka, Durant, Westbrook, Perkins, Sefalosha -- that is a good core of guys that are a little more durable physically than Miami. Any of those guys can score the ball.

    The Heat are going to come out on a mission in game 1. Lebron has become an assassin overnight. Miami would have murdered Dallas last year if Lebron James was Lebron James. He has consistantly shrunk in the moment, but this time, he's going against a bunch of 22 23 year olds and those kind of kids don't get in the head of Lebron. He is the second vet star after Wade and that's huge.

    D Wade has played great in 2/3 games he had his knee drained. He had his knee drained yesterday, and I feel a big game coming from a guy that's averaging what, like 32ish a game over 12 finals games. Sefalosha is a good defender and can guard him, but if Wade's going, you're done. I'm thinking its a great game.

    Scott Brooks should not allow Durant to guard Lebron for the whole game. That's a mistake. Lebron is 270 all muscle. Sefalosha is a stronger defender and should be used to guard Lebron at times. If Durant wants the challenge, I guarantee he gets fatigued having to guard Lebron. Durant is also going to have to settle for some tough jumpers, which he's capable of hitting, but I bet he'll shoot less than 50% in game one and be surprised with Lebron's D early.

    Harden can be used to guard Wade at the start of the second quarter. This is where Wade will be tested. I'm thinking Harden gets nervous game 1 for sure. THe magnitude of this stage.

    The same goes for Westbrook. I still see a good game from Westbrook, but too many turnovers probably that kill them. Westbrook can get a shot off any time over chalmers, but I think Chalmers likes that challenge. Westbrook will make some defensive mistakes for sure for open 3s for the Heat.

    Bosh is the mentally toughest player on the Heat. If he has open jumpers, I bet he hits 60%. I think Ibaka will want to be a hero and try and block all Lebrons drives leading to wide open shots for Bosh. Bosh can also take Ibaka or Perkins, he has a lot of offensive moves.

    The Heat are the veterans and I like them to put the young Thunder in check gm 1. Ibaka or Perkins will rack of the fouls for sure and neither team is deep on the Bench.

    The Heat should be starting Haslem and Bosh. Maybe Battier. Stretching Ibaka even further to guard Battier, that might be smart if Battier shows he can hold his own defensively. Both him and Haslem will play solid minutes. Fisher will start chucking up bricks to try and erupt the crowd. Dequan Cook might have a few wide open 3s, Sefalosha maybe, but Bosh will be the main help defender on Westbrook, Lebron and Wade are playing the wings so the THunder are not gonna hit to many 3's with the exception of Durant of course.

    For all those reasons I'm taking MIA game 1.
    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
  • Goat Milk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-24-10
    • 25850

    #2
    Durant has lit it up this playoffs but lets not forget who's he had to guard. Artest, Marion, Steven Jackson. Terrible.
    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by Goat Milk
      Bosh is the mentally toughest player on the Heat.
      I'm not sure what's a more important point to make from that statement: that it's really sad or that it's true.

      Bosh = "mentally tough." Wow.
      Comment
      • Vinnie Paz
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-27-12
        • 12177

        #4
        Put all this okc is young crap to rest

        You probably thought same shit with spurs series. Those fukks have won how many rings?? They are battle tested, better coach more experience, shouldve put those youngboys to rest blah blah blah. Thunder boys beat them 4 fukkin games straight. Lebron by chamce has an off day that team is done. Thunder were killing spurs with Kd doing fukk all ...6 shots in first half or something like that...i dont remeber which game exactly but there was one game where he hardly had shit 1st half and they were still blowoing right by san an. Westbrook will eat chalmers too.

        Only thing with bosh is he will draw the okc bigs away from the rim. He is not a post up man... Would be excellent strategy keep him midrange/perimeter in attempt to get Ibak away from the rim, fukkin guy is good for 10-12 points worth of blocks. I dunno man u make some good points but I really thinnk thunder take this. Going down 2-0 like that and taking that series really showed me something man. I aint no homer but ive been saying whoever won Spurs thhnder would take it all. Last 2 miami series those teams failed to deliver the final blow, okc will not
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        • Vinnie Paz
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-27-12
          • 12177

          #5
          Who on miami will step up, no one on their bench can even get fukkin 8 points lol
          Comment
          • RAVENSFAN
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-17-10
            • 891

            #6
            How do you see the SERIES going down tho?
            Comment
            • Ockert12
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-18-11
              • 464

              #7
              Miami just got done playing Boston for 7 games.. you don't think that it might take the heat a game to adjust to the speed of Oklahoma city?
              Comment
              • Vinnie Paz
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-27-12
                • 12177

                #8
                Dont the finals go like

                Game 1/2 - In okc
                3-5 - in miami
                6 & 7 in okc.

                ????????
                Comment
                • onlooker
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 36572

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                  Dont the finals go like

                  Game 1/2 - In okc
                  3-5 - in miami
                  6 & 7 in okc.

                  ????????
                  Yes. 2-3-2.
                  Comment
                  • bureK
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-21-10
                    • 1059

                    #10
                    Heat will lose game 1. Expect the series to start in game 2 or even in game 3.
                    Comment
                    • Vinnie Paz
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-27-12
                      • 12177

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Ockert12
                      Miami just got done playing Boston for 7 games.. you don't think that it might take the heat a game to adjust to the speed of Oklahoma city?
                      Seems like a bad spot for the heat but afterall this is the finals.

                      I didbt expect this roster to beat spurs 4 straight but fukk me they got it done.
                      Comment
                      • Goat Milk
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 03-24-10
                        • 25850

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                        Put all this okc is young crap to rest

                        You probably thought same shit with spurs series. Those fukks have won how many rings?? They are battle tested, better coach more experience, shouldve put those youngboys to rest blah blah blah. Thunder boys beat them 4 fukkin games straight. Lebron by chamce has an off day that team is done. Thunder were killing spurs with Kd doing fukk all ...6 shots in first half or something like that...i dont remeber which game exactly but there was one game where he hardly had shit 1st half and they were still blowoing right by san an. Westbrook will eat chalmers too.

                        Only thing with bosh is he will draw the okc bigs away from the rim. He is not a post up man... Would be excellent strategy keep him midrange/perimeter in attempt to get Ibak away from the rim, fukkin guy is good for 10-12 points worth of blocks. I dunno man u make some good points but I really thinnk thunder take this. Going down 2-0 like that and taking that series really showed me something man. I aint no homer but ive been saying whoever won Spurs thhnder would take it all. Last 2 miami series those teams failed to deliver the final blow, okc will not
                        I said the THunder have a really good chance to beat the Spurs because they had the best player on the court by far. The Spurs are old mostly and Miami is in their prime. Veterans in their prime. The bench doesn't matter in game 1, aside from Harden obviously, who will have a lot of pressure in his first finals game. Miami has been in this moment and the Spurs won the first two games if I remember right.

                        Bosh has lots of offensive moves. Ibaka is a shot blocker, stop hyping him up. He's no where near Bosh's level. Wade/James can make Ibaka irrelevant if they want and simply change direction mid air and draw fouls on him all game.
                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                        Comment
                        • Ockert12
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 12-18-11
                          • 464

                          #13
                          I feel like okc is going to blow the doors off of Miami game 1.. although I do like them to win the series (Miami that is).
                          Comment
                          • Goat Milk
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 03-24-10
                            • 25850

                            #14
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            I'm not sure what's a more important point to make from that statement: that it's really sad or that it's true.

                            Bosh = "mentally tough." Wow.
                            When has Bosh not done his job? He's been consistantly good in big moments since he joined the heat, more than wade or james. That's actually a good sign for the drama queens wade/james.
                            Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                            Comment
                            • Goat Milk
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 03-24-10
                              • 25850

                              #15
                              Originally posted by RAVENSFAN
                              How do you see the SERIES going down tho?
                              I see Miami going as far as Dwayne Wade can go. He will get his knee drained twice I think throughout this series and I say MIami wins both those games so game 1 an probably game 4 or 5 he does it again. Miami will control this series defensively and turn the thunder into a jump shooting team.

                              Also, Thunder are one of the worst passing teams in the NBA. Westbrook- hold hold hold. Jumper with 5 left on the shot clock.

                              People don't realize that Lebron scoring at least 25 a game in the finals would have beat Dallas in 5 or 6. Dallas played perfect as well, they had better shooters than the Thunder, and Dirk was a mismatch for them. Durant is not.
                              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                              Comment
                              • Vinnie Paz
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-27-12
                                • 12177

                                #16
                                Guys i just think we need to stop questioning thunders mental toughness. This team is ready regardless of not being there. Durant will seize his moments.

                                Scott brooks needs to put forth similar gameplan to spurs series gm 3 on, excellent ball movement, tell fukkin westbrook to pick his spots and not be greedy. Everyone must contribute.
                                Comment
                                • Goat Milk
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 25850

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                                  Guys i just think we need to stop questioning thunders mental toughness. This team is ready regardless of not being there. Durant will seize his moments.

                                  Scott brooks needs to put forth similar gameplan to spurs series gm 3 on, excellent ball movement, tell fukkin westbrook to pick his spots and not be greedy. Everyone must contribute.
                                  I'm only questioning their toughness the first 24 min of game 1. And once you're down to MIA, you're in a very tough spot.

                                  We'll see what happens, already got my mia bet in on the ML.
                                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                  Comment
                                  • RAVENSFAN
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-17-10
                                    • 891

                                    #18
                                    I agree Goat. Been tellin my buddies that OKC will not continue to get those shots to drop (with shot clock at 1, etc.) and that even if they play WELL, Miami played WELL last year vs. Dallas....The Mavs just wanted it SO BAD and played perfect. I feel like Miami is the Dallas of last year as far as determination and motivation goes. Lebron in Game 6 against Boston went OFF, and Bosh in game 7 showed he can stretch the floor in a big way and looked fine (injury-wise). Will be a great series either way.
                                    Comment
                                    • Vinnie Paz
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-27-12
                                      • 12177

                                      #19
                                      Better question being who refs are on???

                                      Also i would definately not count either team out in the 1st half. Heat seem to play best when they get slapped up first half...but this is the thing, thunder must put the nails in the coffin and not let heat go ape shit come 2nd half. Pacers and celtics failed to capitalize on this. Fukking quality ball either way guys
                                      Comment
                                      • Sunde91
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-26-09
                                        • 8325

                                        #20
                                        Don't like it but Heat as dogs/road with public and media all over City is the best thing possible for Miami. Last year redemption too. I'd prefer a Heat gm1 loss then hit Heat gm 2

                                        Don't say James has found himself yet. Last year he was big in ECF too and then disappeared. Zero 25+ games and like 19 ppg in Finals are facts until otherwise

                                        Look at this mentally tough sob you're right



                                        Comment
                                        • JR007
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-21-10
                                          • 5279

                                          #21
                                          goat,...no surprise you are on the heat, again, your writeup, tells me nothing from a gambling perspective on why i should ride the heat..line does not reflect an easy heat cover....fantasy league stuff, LOL

                                          rather, have you explain to me why the heat were favored by 1.5/2 on the road in the celtics series, but are 4 point dogs in the opener or this series, this tells me the okc is better than the celtics, and the celtics pushed the heat to 7 games
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                                          • Easy-Rider 66
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-14-12
                                            • 36109

                                            #22
                                            Thinking the Heat can steal game 1. Nice value at +195. Playing them.
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                                            • colout
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-11-09
                                              • 772

                                              #23
                                              You will most likely be on the Heat in all this series' games.. no big surprise and that's why nobody takes your analysis seriously.. good luck!
                                              Comment
                                              • PaperTrail07
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-29-08
                                                • 20423

                                                #24
                                                Oak's speed will really f with the heat...they are used to boston and went 7 games....be real....if bron goes off..then yeah they can do it...but i dont see 10-11 in the first half happening again...esp after the crowd is going BANANAS
                                                Comment
                                                • PaperTrail07
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-29-08
                                                  • 20423

                                                  #25
                                                  and d wade will have to get to the line 15-18 times to get his points...kick those legs out buddy
                                                  Comment
                                                  • chargers4222
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-16-10
                                                    • 4702

                                                    #26
                                                    thunder lock of a lifetime going all in....lol this fuckin kid swear to god you never learn. zero social skills, zero mental aptitude
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Goat Milk
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 03-24-10
                                                      • 25850

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by colout
                                                      You will most likely be on the Heat in all this series' games.. no big surprise and that's why nobody takes your analysis seriously.. good luck!
                                                      Who else on this site can write that kind of analysis? No one. Thanks.
                                                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
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                                                      • 5mike5
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-21-11
                                                        • 52010

                                                        #28
                                                        laugh at these people that say OKC a "lock" to win series

                                                        shoes how dumb gamblers some people are....crystal balls and sh*t....only on SBR
                                                        Comment
                                                        • chargers4222
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-16-10
                                                          • 4702

                                                          #29
                                                          you're right asshole, noone can write that "analysis" because noone here is as stupid as you are to pull shit out of their ass and write hour long diatribes because they have no friends or family to listen to their "analysis". i will be going very large on OKC -5. thank you
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mikail
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-19-09
                                                            • 21689

                                                            #30
                                                            Wow! Goatmilk on the Heat for game 1

                                                            Who'd a thunk it?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • colout
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-11-09
                                                              • 772

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                              Who else on this site can write that kind of analysis? No one. Thanks.
                                                              I would agree on that one.. BUT your analysis need to be more objective, before they can be used for other things than on a Heat fan forum!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Sunde91
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 11-26-09
                                                                • 8325

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Goat Milk

                                                                Who else on this site can write that kind of analysis? No one. Thanks.
                                                                For all those reasons I'm taking MIA game 1.
                                                                lol 500 words of conjecture like OKC will not make 3s or Durant will shoot less than 50% is not useful or difficult to make up. Make 30 claims then comeback and bump it when one comes true as if Basketball Jesus. Bosh will make open jumpers? Thanks for this taking Heat now
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Papadontpreach
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-09-11
                                                                  • 384

                                                                  #33
                                                                  "Bosh is the mentally toughest player on the Heat. If he has open jumpers, I bet he hits 60%. I think Ibaka will want to be a hero and try and block all Lebrons drives leading to wide open shots for Bosh"

                                                                  See my thread on Chris Bosh prop for tonight.....we think alike
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Goat Milk
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 03-24-10
                                                                    • 25850

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Sunde91
                                                                    lol 500 words of conjecture like OKC will not make 3s or Durant will shoot less than 50% is not useful or difficult to make up. Make 30 claims then comeback and bump it when one comes true as if Basketball Jesus. Bosh will make open jumpers? Thanks for this taking Heat now
                                                                    That's all you got out of that whole writeup? Maybe you should stop by lakerboy's threads and find out which way lines and money are moving, because surely, that is going to determine the outcome. Perhaps that info is more valuable than what I've written.

                                                                    I made a case for OKC right off the bat to start the writeup. I gave you facts about Wade's knee drainage, Lebron's mismatch (and yes, it is a mismatch), about the defensive matchups. Everyone thinks a sg always guards a sg and pf guards a pf. That's not how it works. There are switches over the course of the game and I anticipate those switches. There are too many variables to gamble on with OKC.
                                                                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • NYSportsGuy210
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-07-09
                                                                      • 11347

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                                      The Thunder roster is deeper. I'm not talking about the bench, but their Harden, Ibaka, Durant, Westbrook, Perkins, Sefalosha -- that is a good core of guys that are a little more durable physically than Miami. Any of those guys can score the ball.

                                                                      The Heat are going to come out on a mission in game 1. Lebron has become an assassin overnight. Miami would have murdered Dallas last year if Lebron James was Lebron James. He has consistantly shrunk in the moment, but this time, he's going against a bunch of 22 23 year olds and those kind of kids don't get in the head of Lebron. He is the second vet star after Wade and that's huge.

                                                                      D Wade has played great in 2/3 games he had his knee drained. He had his knee drained yesterday, and I feel a big game coming from a guy that's averaging what, like 32ish a game over 12 finals games. Sefalosha is a good defender and can guard him, but if Wade's going, you're done. I'm thinking its a great game.

                                                                      Scott Brooks should not allow Durant to guard Lebron for the whole game. That's a mistake. Lebron is 270 all muscle. Sefalosha is a stronger defender and should be used to guard Lebron at times. If Durant wants the challenge, I guarantee he gets fatigued having to guard Lebron. Durant is also going to have to settle for some tough jumpers, which he's capable of hitting, but I bet he'll shoot less than 50% in game one and be surprised with Lebron's D early.

                                                                      Harden can be used to guard Wade at the start of the second quarter. This is where Wade will be tested. I'm thinking Harden gets nervous game 1 for sure. THe magnitude of this stage.

                                                                      The same goes for Westbrook. I still see a good game from Westbrook, but too many turnovers probably that kill them. Westbrook can get a shot off any time over chalmers, but I think Chalmers likes that challenge. Westbrook will make some defensive mistakes for sure for open 3s for the Heat.

                                                                      Bosh is the mentally toughest player on the Heat. If he has open jumpers, I bet he hits 60%. I think Ibaka will want to be a hero and try and block all Lebrons drives leading to wide open shots for Bosh. Bosh can also take Ibaka or Perkins, he has a lot of offensive moves.

                                                                      The Heat are the veterans and I like them to put the young Thunder in check gm 1. Ibaka or Perkins will rack of the fouls for sure and neither team is deep on the Bench.

                                                                      The Heat should be starting Haslem and Bosh. Maybe Battier. Stretching Ibaka even further to guard Battier, that might be smart if Battier shows he can hold his own defensively. Both him and Haslem will play solid minutes. Fisher will start chucking up bricks to try and erupt the crowd. Dequan Cook might have a few wide open 3s, Sefalosha maybe, but Bosh will be the main help defender on Westbrook, Lebron and Wade are playing the wings so the THunder are not gonna hit to many 3's with the exception of Durant of course.

                                                                      For all those reasons I'm taking MIA game 1.


                                                                      Thanks for the fade pal. Most of your reasoning is cute for story purposes at best. Bottom line is Perkins and Ibaka will prevent James and Wade from being able to drive and dunk to the basket like 50% of their offense normally is. Add to that Heat can't hit the J as consisitently as the Thunder with Westbrook, Harden and Durant.

                                                                      Thunder win this series in 5 or 6 at most. Thunder give the Heat and all you kids a reality check in game 1 tonight too.
                                                                      Comment
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