Line seems a little inflated here, but this is what Vegas does. When a team is 1-7 ats against another team it is almost always a little inflated towards the team with the weaker ats record. It seems tough to lay the points in this spot, I'm sure most squares in this world are claiming 8 is too much, but is it? Interesting note: Jazz just put up a +8.5 that lasted about 5 minutes.
Boston vs Miami this year:
12-27 Miami wins by 8 (favored by 9.5, L)
4-1 Miami loses by 19 (favored by 4, L)
4-10 Miami loses by 8 (favored by 7.5, L)
4-24 Miami loses by 12 (7 point dogs, L)
5-28 Miami wins by 14 (favored by 8, W)
5-30 Miami wins by 4 (favored by 7.5, L)
6-1 Miami loses by 10 (2.5 point dogs, L)
6-3 Miami loses by 2 (2 point favorites, L)
So Miami is 1-7 ats vs Boston this year. I thought last night was a good spot for Miami and it was damn close but 8 seems like a strong number in this next game. I just don't know how one takes Boston in game 5, unless it is that easy and it is too many points....
Boston vs Miami this year:
12-27 Miami wins by 8 (favored by 9.5, L)
4-1 Miami loses by 19 (favored by 4, L)
4-10 Miami loses by 8 (favored by 7.5, L)
4-24 Miami loses by 12 (7 point dogs, L)
5-28 Miami wins by 14 (favored by 8, W)
5-30 Miami wins by 4 (favored by 7.5, L)
6-1 Miami loses by 10 (2.5 point dogs, L)
6-3 Miami loses by 2 (2 point favorites, L)
So Miami is 1-7 ats vs Boston this year. I thought last night was a good spot for Miami and it was damn close but 8 seems like a strong number in this next game. I just don't know how one takes Boston in game 5, unless it is that easy and it is too many points....
