San Antonio +4 (-120) and ML +165

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30056

    #1
    San Antonio +4 (-120) and ML +165
    This is a tough to call game, but a lot of that has to do
    with the public perception on OKC at home and lingering
    memories of Game 3. The refs appear neutral to me.
    OKC will beg and flop for calls, but the Spurs are savvy.
    They are among the very top 10% savvy smart group of players
    who have tons of adjustment capabilities and counterplays
    for different contingencies. On the other side I may get slammed
    for saying this, but I think OKC is a vanilla basketball team.
    Spurs will have the correct game plan tonight. They will execute.
    That taste of defeat after winning 20 straight surely isn't sitting
    well at all. Now, I don't watch every Spurs game so I can't say
    for sure but from what I've read, Popovich got experimental
    with the lineups on the floor in the last game. I also see they
    had a poor 39% FG performance which is just plain odd. Their 3-pt
    shot % was higher @ 42%. They committed 21 Turnovers.
    I don't see either of those bad stats happening again tonight.

    I see them getting down to the business of superior game management,
    passing, choicer jumpers and now that they've played one in OKC
    unlocking the toolbox in all respects and covering +4 with a good chance to win.
    +4 (-120) with payout committed to ML +160
    add: 5-pt Teaser: San Antonio +8.5 / Boston +6
  • Easy-Rider 66
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-12
    • 36109

    #2
    Staying away. Will play SA game 5, if they lose this game.
    Comment
    • Snowball
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-15-09
      • 30056

      #3
      Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
      Staying away. Will play SA game 5, if they lose this game.
      so will everyone else, and the line will be an oak tree.
      Comment
      • Easy-Rider 66
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-14-12
        • 36109

        #4
        Originally posted by Snowball
        so will everyone else, and the line will be an oak tree.
        Assuming SA loses, you would recommend taking OKC plus the wood game 5. You are probably right that it will be a public #.
        Comment
        • Snowball
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 11-15-09
          • 30056

          #5
          Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
          Assuming SA loses, you would recommend taking OKC plus the wood game 5. You are probably right that it will be a public #.
          Whether SAN loses tonight or wins, the moneyline will be high and the public
          will be on SAN in Game 5. One game at a time bro it's an opp. for value tonight
          that won't exist in Game 5.
          Comment
          • PAULYPOKER
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-06-08
            • 36581

            #6
            Originally posted by Snowball

            so will everyone else, and the line will be an oak tree.
            Yep.......
            Comment
            • Easy-Rider 66
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-14-12
              • 36109

              #7
              Originally posted by Snowball
              Whether SAN loses tonight or wins, the moneyline will be high and the public
              will be on SAN in Game 5. One game at a time bro it's an opp. for value tonight
              that won't exist in Game 5.
              I see your point. But if was to bet tonight I would take OKC On the money.
              Comment
              • casdio
                SBR High Roller
                • 01-05-10
                • 120

                #8
                Add to that: In game 3, no player in SAS played more than 28min. In OKC team, 4 starters played over 30min each.

                Spurs had a very bad game, but the players got some rest. And OKC had one of the best performances this season...

                I'm thinking about this game since I wake up. But I have decided to bet on Spurs. I think they will leave Oklahoma with a 3-1 advantage
                Comment
                • Snowball
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 11-15-09
                  • 30056

                  #9
                  Originally posted by casdio
                  Add to that: In game 3, no player in SAS played more than 28min. In OKC team, 4 starters played over 30min each.

                  Spurs had a very bad game, but the players got some rest. And OKC had one of the best performances this season...

                  I'm thinking about this game since I wake up. But I have decided to bet on Spurs. I think they will leave Oklahoma with a 3-1 advantage
                  That's a good point about starters seeing rest and being fresh tonight for Spurs.
                  I thought about this game all day, and even came close to being convinced the
                  Thunder will beat the Spurs 2x in a row, but I just ain't gonna buy that yet.
                  Comment
                  • BigDofBA
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-30-09
                    • 19313

                    #10
                    Why did you bye half a point and then take them ML?

                    You think they will win but you take them on the spread and buy half a point? Doesn't make sense.
                    Comment
                    • Snowball
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 11-15-09
                      • 30056

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BigDofBA
                      Why did you bye half a point and then take them ML?

                      You think they will win but you take them on the spread and buy half a point? Doesn't make sense.
                      I don't bet money on anything with a hook attached in basketball
                      unless it's a teaser. Heartbreaker to lose a bet by a half point
                      and years ago I said never again. So much more comfortable to
                      know you at least push. So say $60 to win $50 @ +4 and then that
                      $50 on ML to win $80. I think they have a good chance to win
                      as outlined in the first post but it is at OKC so +/- a few anything
                      can happen. I trust their ability to bring it to the wire.
                      good luck man I'm signing off....
                      Comment
                      • Pauulzcappin
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-23-10
                        • 20295

                        #12
                        I have a feeling SA will do way better tonight. Not sure about a W though.
                        Comment
                        • BigDofBA
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-30-09
                          • 19313

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                          I have a feeling SA will do way better tonight. Not sure about a W though.
                          I feel like it will tight as well.

                          I think this game is going to come down to the final minute imo. Durant will come through in the clutch. OKC will protect homecourt.
                          Comment
                          • O$CAR
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 10-16-08
                            • 93

                            #14
                            Not only are the plyrs pissed but pop is to i know his son mic and shit the whole effin family is down so i know the adjustments that pop makes will be something brooks ain't donna be expecting or practiced for.When the general is counfused it effects the plyrs to we all know that the fact that okc is young i could see them getting rattled and by the time they figure it out spurs could be up by 20.The only thing about sas is that they don't overthink on the court them being a vet team should know and play like they are the better team dont think the loss effected them mentally just hope they ain't over anxious.I think they start off early get a lead sit the crowd down and make it a boring game, throughout this streak the fans and the city have been (having fun) now tonight is back to business!!!
                            Comment
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