Spurs +4 in Game 4?

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Spurs +4 in Game 4?
    I may have to make one of my rare 10% of bankroll plays here. I said before Thursday's game that Game 3 was the Thunder's best chance to win a game in this series, and I even said I had a slight lean to OKC. I also said that if the Thunder won, that the Spurs would be around -1.5 in Game 4 with the OKC "desperation" factor now taken out of the line. Instead, we have the same line as Game 3, probably because this line is inflated due to the WAY OKC won Game 3. That is fine with me though, Spurs look like possibly the best bet of the year at +4 in this spot.
  • Easy-Rider 66
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-12
    • 36114

    #2
    Yeah, SA getting 4 is a reaction to the blowout. But after a team wins 20 in a row they may be due for a couple of subpar outings, especially on the road against a quality opponent. An opponent with a sense of urgency as well. This is a stay away game for me.
    Comment
    • JM92
      SBR MVP
      • 01-27-12
      • 1140

      #3
      Just came back from a little trip yesterday. I have been watching the other games, or at least, parts of it, and I also watched last nights first half. Thing is, OKC is playing way better half-court ball than I've ever seen. Westbrook IS A MONSTER DEFENSIVELY. And I mean, he has always been good, Thabo as always been excellent, but I don't care if parker went 16-21 or something, guy is playing great defense and he usually is better at it at home. They can easily run with San Antonio so after watching how they were playing their half-court ball last nite, I have to say I don't really see any match-up advantage for the Spurs anymore. I still think they take this as I agreed with you with the Spurs in 5 motto before the series started, but right now I wouldn't be at all surprised if the Thunder manage another great game. Lets be honest here, for as good as the Spurs have been playing on offense, a part of it was simply RIDICULOUS accuracy on the shooting department. They are also not a really top defensive team.

      These series might just get more interesting than I ever thought after the next game.
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        After watching last nights game I pass

        LT you lost a house 11 years ago so be careful.
        Comment
        • Smoke
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-09-09
          • 48111

          #5
          Pass

          Thunder or no play
          Comment
          • grumpy64
            SBR High Roller
            • 04-05-12
            • 221

            #6
            bet the spurs but wait as joe will be all over okc after seeing the g3 blowout. Lets not forget that okc played a nearly perfect game and spurs played with low energy in g3. Frankly i don't think okc can play perfect ball 2 games in a row.
            Comment
            • The Kraken
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-25-11
              • 28918

              #7
              Thunder played a nearly perfect game and win by 20. SA plays a nearly perfect game and wins by 9.
              Comment
              • keyboarding
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-30-09
                • 6817

                #8
                Originally posted by The Kraken
                Thunder played a nearly perfect game and win by 20. SA plays a nearly perfect game and wins by 9.
                But OKC weren't nearly as bad in their two losses as SA was in their loss last night. That was horrendous basketball.
                Comment
                • Vinnie Paz
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-27-12
                  • 12177

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jjgold
                  LT you lost a house 11 years ago so be careful.
                  Whaaaaat???
                  Comment
                  • jstblaze
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 03-05-07
                    • 767

                    #10
                    Originally posted by keyboarding
                    But OKC weren't nearly as bad in their two losses as SA was in their loss last night. That was horrendous basketball.
                    The spurs showed they are completely capable of playing poor basketball.

                    Before last night it didnt appear to be a possibility.

                    I think OKC takes game 4 in tighter contest. But covering 4 for OKC will probably happen.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                      Whaaaaat???
                      Just JJ's usual failed attempt at humor.
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #12
                        I don't know LT.

                        Gap between these teams isn't as big as you think. Spurs are better, but be careful taking them in games at OKC.
                        Comment
                        • jimmyg2727
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-11-10
                          • 1840

                          #13
                          on the Spurs too!! Looks good LT
                          Comment
                          • tony_come
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-31-10
                            • 21695

                            #14
                            Delete this thread now
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              Originally posted by tony_come
                              Delete this thread now
                              Now why would I do that with the line already dropping? +4 is a thing of the past now, I got a good number
                              Comment
                              • tony_come
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-31-10
                                • 21695

                                #16
                                Lt

                                Be careful my friend but good luck
                                Comment
                                • GUMMO77
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 08-23-10
                                  • 9294

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by The Kraken
                                  Thunder played a nearly perfect game and win by 20. SA plays a nearly perfect game and wins by 9.

                                  But Pops sat out the big-guns.


                                  +4 is a good number to get.

                                  Nice work LT
                                  Comment
                                  • Pauulzcappin
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-23-10
                                    • 20295

                                    #18
                                    Spurs +3 now. This is gonna end in game 5.
                                    Comment
                                    • Bdolan33
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-02-12
                                      • 1255

                                      #19
                                      Down to 2 now
                                      Comment
                                      • k13
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 07-16-10
                                        • 18104

                                        #20
                                        I'm putting my 175 point Trivia Free Play on Spurs ML.

                                        Wonder what's going to happen.........





                                        LT, you better hope those points come into play.
                                        Comment
                                        • FreeFall
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-20-08
                                          • 3365

                                          #21
                                          what % of your BR would you play it at now LT? 6%?
                                          Comment
                                          • Smoke
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-09-09
                                            • 48111

                                            #22
                                            LT are you a tout??
                                            Comment
                                            • bleek88
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-12-11
                                              • 6385

                                              #23
                                              The pinpoint position of the latteral quickness of the superior triangle will ultimately win in the structure of the game sounds and all she would bath naked with dribbles and shoulders upon her.
                                              Comment
                                              • lakerboy
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-02-09
                                                • 94379

                                                #24
                                                Let's see what okc ml is later tomorrow.
                                                Comment
                                                • Snowball
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 11-15-09
                                                  • 30056

                                                  #25
                                                  OKC 1Q or 1H seem interesting to me
                                                  but I don't trust them in close games to the finish
                                                  Spurs are masters at that. Last night was not close
                                                  so their finesse in tight finishes did not come into play.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LT Profits
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                    • 90963

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by FreeFall
                                                    what % of your BR would you play it at now LT? 6%?
                                                    6% could be good at +3.5. At +3 or less, just a normal play (between 2% and 4%)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • The Kraken
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-25-11
                                                      • 28918

                                                      #27
                                                      I agree +4 is a good number. For anyone saying the Thunder haven't played bad basketball the first two games don't watch the Thunder play much. They did not play well at all. First game they played about as bad in the 4Q as they have all year and game 2 was a blowout until they finally played well in the 4Q. Finally game 3 they put it all together.

                                                      Now, that may be because of SA's defense but if that's your excuse then you have to be willing to give credit to OKC's defense as well for forcing bad play on SA's part. SA has not played all that well the entire playoffs. They had 14 TO's in the 1H of game 1. THey played bad in game 3. Clips had em down by 20. So they're just as capable as the next team of putting up a stinker of a game and OKC can run off 3 or 4 amazing games in a row.

                                                      So +4 is a good number and will beat the closer but OKC ML is the safest pick IMO.

                                                      LT, Hopefully OKC wins by 3 guy, and we both cash
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TheMetsSuck
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-14-12
                                                        • 6146

                                                        #28
                                                        i have a feeling the home team wins every game this series. No way I could fade the thunder in a do or die game tomorrow after what I've witnessed so far.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • The Kraken
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-25-11
                                                          • 28918

                                                          #29
                                                          Picking up Fisher is huge right now. He has 5 rings. Perkins has 1.

                                                          The Spurs obviously hold a large edge as Duncan and Ginobli have 4 and Parker with 3.

                                                          But the THunder do have players that understand how to win in these situations. Fisher was a huge pickup for them. He's actually played well which is a bonus.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • baskets
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-24-11
                                                            • 11691

                                                            #30
                                                            many things wrong here with this pick.

                                                            no way in hell this is a GOY. if it's a GOY, all conditions must be met.


                                                            I don't like your kids so I will only half wish you luck.


                                                            half gl
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ebelisle22
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-27-11
                                                              • 4726

                                                              #31
                                                              at some point this series WILL be tied... probably tomorrow night.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ifiwaspresident
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 02-22-12
                                                                • 119

                                                                #32
                                                                I think SA is a bunch of vets that are going to be too cagy for OKC. Think they decided they aren't going home tied and chose this as the game they would pick off on the road. No dog in this fight. I'm a Longhorn so I love Durant, and Perkins used to live a few doors down in my old neighborhood. I would probably root for OKC on that basis, but just think SA takes this one outright. Got them on the ML. We will see. BOL to all.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • k13
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 07-16-10
                                                                  • 18104

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by k13
                                                                  I'm putting my 175 point Trivia Free Play on Spurs ML.

                                                                  Wonder what's going to happen.........





                                                                  LT, you better hope those points come into play.

                                                                  No chance at all LT, I buried this play.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lakerboy
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                                    • 94379

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Lt your breakdown was way off. Are spurs a lock in game 5?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The Kraken
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-25-11
                                                                      • 28918

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by The Kraken
                                                                      I agree +4 is a good number. For anyone saying the Thunder haven't played bad basketball the first two games don't watch the Thunder play much. They did not play well at all. First game they played about as bad in the 4Q as they have all year and game 2 was a blowout until they finally played well in the 4Q. Finally game 3 they put it all together.

                                                                      Now, that may be because of SA's defense but if that's your excuse then you have to be willing to give credit to OKC's defense as well for forcing bad play on SA's part. SA has not played all that well the entire playoffs. They had 14 TO's in the 1H of game 1. THey played bad in game 3. Clips had em down by 20. So they're just as capable as the next team of putting up a stinker of a game and OKC can run off 3 or 4 amazing games in a row.

                                                                      So +4 is a good number and will beat the closer but OKC ML is the safest pick IMO.

                                                                      LT, Hopefully OKC wins by 3 guy, and we both cash
                                                                      OKC at home doesn't lay down. I will be on OKC ML for game 5 as well, LT. Tail me and stack it up pal.
                                                                      Comment
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