Can Someone explain San Antonio -10.5 against the Clippers???

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  • Inkwell77
    SBR MVP
    • 02-03-11
    • 3227

    #1
    Can Someone explain San Antonio -10.5 against the Clippers???
    Crazy line here, boys.

    Not making much sense.

    During the regular season San Antonio was -4 both times they played the clippers at home. Now we have a 6.5 pt swing in game 1????

    Look at all the other series.
    Miami was -7.5 and -9.5 at home during the regular season when playing the Pacers. In game 1 they were -8.5.

    OKC was -7.5 the one time they played the lakers at home. They were 1 point dogs on 1 point favs the 2 times they played in LA. For game one OKC is -7.

    Boston was -3.5 the one time they played Philly at home. In game one they were -5.5. A 2 point swing that did not come to being a true indicator of what was going to happen.


    The line is most likely saying take San Antonio, but a 6.5 point swing seems mighty high.
  • Bdolan33
    SBR MVP
    • 05-02-12
    • 1255

    #2
    Memories of the 30+ point Spurs blowouts from round 1 that obliterated all spreads even 4th quarter live bets
    Comment
    • jmp
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-21-09
      • 325

      #3
      Originally posted by Bdolan33
      Memories of the 30+ point Spurs blowouts from round 1 that obliterated all spreads even 4th quarter live bets
      The Spurs are amazing. It is like they are playing against the spread every game.
      Comment
      • Pauulzcappin
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-23-10
        • 20295

        #4
        Arguably the best team on the NBA has been sitting back, watching film and preparing for the series.

        They are playing at home and rested against a banged up (CP3 and Griffin, who happen to be their two best players) team who just had a very emotional win against a tough opponent who folded late.

        This game screams blowout.
        Comment
        • ThaTopMoron
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-30-10
          • 27020

          #5
          so either gotta tease them down and find another play to tease... or just play them 1st half and hope they come out a blazing and the Clips get pounded before they figure out how to slow down the Spurs, not laying 10.5
          Comment
          • ChiLLx
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-24-11
            • 5412

            #6
            Don't overthink this

            Popovich vs. Del Negro
            Comment
            • Speedy88
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-19-11
              • 11717

              #7
              Spurs are about to destroy the Clipps. Spurs in 5, maybe 6 if the Clipps get some help from the refs.
              Comment
              • zilchy
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-31-12
                • 695

                #8
                Blowout all the way, it will be a thing of beauty. My prediction: 120-80 Spurs win.
                Comment
                • Pauulzcappin
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-23-10
                  • 20295

                  #9
                  If the Clippers think the Spurs are the Grizzlies, they have something coming for them... Grizz couldn't hit a three to save their life, Spurs on the other hand...
                  Comment
                  • riskyProps
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-11-10
                    • 2201

                    #10
                    Actually I think the Spurs go the edge here in game one. There will be lots of scoring on both sides. The over will look easy
                    Comment
                    • Speedy88
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-19-11
                      • 11717

                      #11
                      Spurs will make you pay if you shoot 60% from the line.
                      Comment
                      • bleek88
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-12-11
                        • 6385

                        #12
                        The spurs are going to blow the doors off the clippers in game 1. nonetheless any other game.
                        Comment
                        • SpreadSniper
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-17-09
                          • 6125

                          #13
                          a) achieve equal action b) deter bettors from playing SA
                          Comment
                          • invader19
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-23-12
                            • 134

                            #14
                            It's because the Spurs will win the championship this year.
                            Comment
                            • paco
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-07-09
                              • 62873

                              #15
                              Regular season clips had Chauncey
                              Comment
                              • dymd3z
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-01-12
                                • 1923

                                #16
                                Spurs will beat the breaks off of the Clippers.. I wouldn't be surprised if it wasn't -12. Anyway I do think it will drop some prolly about -9.5 or even 9 before it's over with...
                                The Spurs cashed every game except game 7 in the 1st round.... I cashed a few tickets with them boys... And I will be glad to cash a few more...
                                Comment
                                • Tofudog
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 04-30-12
                                  • 858

                                  #17
                                  I had money on the grizz which was aggravating.. that series made me want to bet against the clippers (or grizz if they won), but spurs are still too heavily favored..
                                  Comment
                                  • Speedy88
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-19-11
                                    • 11717

                                    #18
                                    I'll likely make a good sized play on SA in game 1.
                                    Comment
                                    • celtics3388
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-31-10
                                      • 1916

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by riskyProps
                                      Actually I think the Spurs go the edge here in game one. There will be lots of scoring on both sides. The over will look easy
                                      Agreed I like the over here as well and expect a fast-paced game. The Clips will play to SA's tempo and be willing to run after having to grind it out at Memphis' pace. Prob will be a 2x+ play at 191.
                                      Comment
                                      • Junk
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 05-13-12
                                        • 4

                                        #20
                                        TD & TP vs CP3 & BG, experience vs youth, i cant wait for this matchup
                                        Comment
                                        • Punter101
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 03-19-12
                                          • 640

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ChiLLx
                                          Don't overthink this

                                          Popovich vs. Del Negro
                                          Comment
                                          • t-wizzle
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-18-09
                                            • 38099

                                            #22
                                            Nothing crazy about this line. Spurs should smoke the tired, crappy clippers.
                                            Comment
                                            • bleek88
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-12-11
                                              • 6385

                                              #23
                                              Its not brain surgery
                                              Comment
                                              • Bdolan33
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-02-12
                                                • 1255

                                                #24
                                                Not touching it
                                                Comment
                                                • Sport_Fish
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-06-10
                                                  • 4079

                                                  #25
                                                  I can't imagine anyway where this isn't an easy win for the Spurs by atleast 12-15pts....Their starting 5 are much better, their bench is way more deep and can produce more than Clippers' bench can. No discussion even needed about the coaching. I don't see CP3 being able to help his team much, because he relies on his team to keep the game within reach so he can takeover late and close it out - and Spurs won't allow this.

                                                  Not to mention, Spurs will esp. be deadly in this first game given how much rest they've had. And Clippers are a young team for the most part but they are def. banged up with a tough 7 game series. Rust may be a factor for Spurs but 48 mins will be enough for them to get in gear and put Clippers away.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Elliot29
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 03-24-12
                                                    • 141

                                                    #26
                                                    Gentlemen.....when a line is too high or too low, you know what that means ! Pound Spurs, they will definitely cover the 10.5 points. Remember when they couldnt set the total low enough in a bulls game last week I believe. It was 169, they wanted public to say thats too low and bet over,I , like many, took the under and cashed it. They know what they are doing. BOSTON ML , OKC -7, SPURS -10.5 !!!

                                                    Lets CASH it Boys !!!

                                                    GL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • starfire
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-24-10
                                                      • 17045

                                                      #27
                                                      Spurs got Clippers #
                                                      Comment
                                                      • nj1035
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 11-19-09
                                                        • 902

                                                        #28
                                                        I worry about Chris Paul. How do the Spurs guard him? In 2008 he tore them up pretty good when he was with the Hornets.

                                                        I was pounding the Spurs last round on every game at large spreads, but even I think 10 is too much. I would take the Clippers but I'm going to lay off because SA is my team.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jbess
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 02-03-11
                                                          • 359

                                                          #29
                                                          Clippers win Game 1.

                                                          120-79
                                                          Comment
                                                          • chopperocker
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-16-09
                                                            • 1784

                                                            #30
                                                            the fact that SAN was 30-5 SU and 26-8-1 ATS @ Home this reg./post-season may have something to do with it.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • chopperocker
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-16-09
                                                              • 1784

                                                              #31
                                                              SAN 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in playoffs when favored by -10 or more.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Inkwell77
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-03-11
                                                                • 3227

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by chopperocker
                                                                the fact that SAN was 30-5 SU and 26-8-1 ATS @ Home this reg./post-season may have something to do with it.

                                                                Yes. Over-correction here potentially???

                                                                Also, During the last 4 nba playoffs (including this year) when a spread is 8 or more points
                                                                Favs: 33 covers
                                                                Dogs: 30 covers

                                                                During the last 4 nba playoffs when a spread is 9 or more points
                                                                Favs: 25 covers
                                                                Dogs: 22 covers

                                                                Slight edge to favorites
                                                                Comment
                                                                • chopperocker
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-16-09
                                                                  • 1784

                                                                  #33
                                                                  in playoffs it seems like it comes down to 1 thing. how will the game be officiated?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SpreadSniper
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-17-09
                                                                    • 6125

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by nj1035
                                                                    I worry about Chris Paul. How do the Spurs guard him? In 2008 he tore them up pretty good when he was with the Hornets.

                                                                    I was pounding the Spurs last round on every game at large spreads, but even I think 10 is too much. I would take the Clippers but I'm going to lay off because SA is my team.
                                                                    CP will have to score 80+ points for it to matter.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • wakeboardr886
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 04-09-10
                                                                      • 453

                                                                      #35
                                                                      it's up to -11 now, I just don't think I can lay that much points on the spurs
                                                                      Comment
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