Teams down 2-3 su are 6-17-1 ats in the past 3 seasons

[Inkwell77]

Be careful betting Atlanta, Chicago, Denver, and Memphis, boys.

Teams up 3-2 have done very well ats wise the past few years.

Another interesting trend,
Teams down 3-2 su in the series as a dog in game 6 are 1-9-1 ats. Chicago and Atlanta may be tough to bet.

Look at these games:
2009
Cleveland +2 at Orlando. Loss by 13
Houston +9 at home against Lakers. Houston wins outright by 15
Portland +5 at Houston. Loss by 16

2010
Cleveland +1.5 at Boston. Loss by 9
Orlando +3.5 at Boston. Loss by 12
Dallas +4.5 at San Antonio. Loss by 10
Denver +6.5 at Utah. Loss by 8
OKC +1 at home against Lakers. Lakers win by 1

2011
New Orleans +5 at home against Lakers. Loss by 18
San Antonio +3 at Memphis. Loss by 8
Atlanta +3.5 at home against Chicago. Loss by 20

[blanco]

nice post, good looks

[Ambrucio]

so, LAL is the bet of the day.

[zilchy]

so, LAL is the bet of the day.

Denver isn't a dog though, 2-3 su favorites are only 5-8 in these stats. Philadelphia and Boston look like better plays, except Atlanta has healthy stars again.

[Inkwell77]

so, LAL is the bet of the day.

Maybe, but Boston would seem to potentially be a stronger play. I mean the average win by these teams up 3-2 su that win the game is 11.5 pts. Only one of those games from the list was won by less than 7 pts (Lakers vs OKC)

The average point spread in those games was 3.5 pts.

If you think Boston is going to win the game it would seem that they are likely to win by more than 6.5, right? I mean, obviously there are many other trends and factors one can look at but it does seem a bit strange that the results of these games are so far from the point spread.

[grumpy64]

intersting info