T-Wizz NBA Playoff Thread

[ren2_laurence]

If Noah doesn't get hurt the Bulls win. I'm happy my team won but losing money this way sucks.

It sucks really! Picked Phi, Bos, and Lal. 1-1, but Lal is down 19. Ugh

[t-wizzle]

Nuggets 2H +3 -102 (2x)

[Speedy88]

You playing anything today Wiz?

[t-wizzle]

Probably playing utah speedy.

[t-wizzle]

Jazz +5.5 -109 (5x)
Jazz 1H +3 -110 (3x)

[t-wizzle]

Celtics -6 -105 (4x)

[t-wizzle]

Cautiously leaning Lakers

[t-wizzle]

Lakers +2.5 -107 (5x); ML +125 (2X)

[Speedy88]

Damn, I was leaning Nuggets but don't feel very strong about it.......

[Sport_Fish]

Lakers +2.5 -107 (5x); ML +125 (2X)

OKC finishing the series yday should help this bet. Lakers can't afford to give OKC even more rest, with a loss here.

[t-wizzle]

Adding: Lakers ML +120 (3X)

[t-wizzle]

[t-wizzle]

Lost a 15 unit bomb on the Bulls and I'm still up 17.35 units. The Clippers win was lucky for sure. Bulls loss was unlucky given that the sixers went on a 23-3 run at the end after noah went out.

[PHyldahl]

great job! anything tonight wizz? grizz?

[t-wizzle]

great job! anything tonight wizz? grizz?

Thanks man. I might take memphis. May even go with Utah again to be honest. I like Indiana and Denver tomorrow night.

[SaffaCappa]

Excellent work Wizz! Keep it up

[Speedy88]

Thanks man. I might take memphis. May even go with Utah again to be honest. I like Indiana and Denver tomorrow night.

Yeah I'm taking UTA again too. I doubt they lose by DD twice in a row at home. Jazz are due to cover at least one game in this series. And I'm leaning Memphis as well, I just have trouble going against CP3, dude always finds a way to burn me.

[t-wizzle]

Excellent work Wizz! Keep it up

Thank you saffa

[t-wizzle]

Yeah I'm taking UTA again too. I doubt they lose by DD twice in a row at home. Jazz are due to cover at least one game in this series. And I'm leaning Memphis as well, I just have trouble going against CP3, dude always finds a way to burn me.

LAC/Mem has the looks and feel of a 7 game series.

[zilchy]

No such thing as 'due' in sports Speedy. Spurs simply outclass the Jazz in every department and won't slack off today. They want to be done with this series asap. I would be surprised if Utah can even keep it close in the first half this time, let alone the rest of the game. I'll be on that -7.5 for 5 units. Then again, I took the Hawks ML yesterday so yeah lol.

[Speedy88]

LAC/Mem has the looks and feel of a 7 game series.

Agreed. There has to be at least one 7 game series in the 1st round, LAC/MEM will be the one that goes 7.

[t-wizzle]

No such thing as 'due' in sports Speedy. Spurs simply outclass the Jazz in every department and won't slack off today. They want to be done with this series asap. I would be surprised if Utah can even keep it close in the first half this time, let alone the rest of the game. I'll be on that -7.5 for 5 units. Then again, I took the Hawks ML yesterday so yeah lol.

It's not necessarily "due" theory. Utah getting 7.5 at home is good value. The Jazz were in that game last week until the late stages. Maybe if they actually made free throws they would have covered.

[Speedy88]

No such thing as 'due' in sports Speedy. Spurs simply outclass the Jazz in every department and won't slack off today. They want to be done with this series asap. I would be surprised if Utah can even keep it close in the first half this time, let alone the rest of the game. I'll be on that -7.5 for 5 units. Then again, I took the Hawks ML yesterday so yeah lol.

Agreed, no such thing as "due." I used the wrong word there. I just don't see UTA losing by DD two games in a row. I thought UTA at +6 was great value a couple days ago, +8 is even better value.

Would not be surprised if tonight's game played out similar to yesterday's game in NY. I think SA will let up a bit knowing they have this series wrapped up. Win or lose, they are going back to SA. Hard to pass on an 8 point dog at home facing elimination (I said those exact same words about NY yesterday....that turned out okay). For the Spurs, worst case scenario is they lose and they get to wax the Spurs on their homecourt in game 5.

[zilchy]

Wizzle, if they had shot their average of 75% instead of 50% free throws they would have had 5-6 more points and still not covered the +5.5. That would be just about enough to cover the +7.5 they have today though. But I simply don't think the Spurs will let them get close in this potentially last game and risk having to close this out in another game of this basically pointless series.

[t-wizzle]

Wizzle, if they had shot their average of 75% instead of 50% free throws they would have had 5-6 more points and still not covered the +5.5. That would be just about enough to cover the +7.5 they have today though. But I simply don't think the Spurs will let them get close in this potentially last game and risk having to close this out in another game of this basically pointless series.

Possibly but if they don't miss 10+ free throws in the first half then they have the lead and it changes the scope of the game.

[zilchy]

True, things could be completely different then. But maybe Parker plays more minutes then and things turn out the same anyway. This sort of thing is too much guesswork and not what I'd take into consideration when making a play. I'd be more interested in what impact starting Favors will have for instance. Any thoughts on that?

[fastball00]

Pop covered this topic in one of his press conferences (regarding fouls). He knew letting the Jazz in the bonus during the earlier session of the first half was a mistake -- He brought it up during halftime & the Spurs adjusted. We saw what happened in the 2nd half.. This game will not be a contest - Spurs by DDs

[t-wizzle]

True, things could be completely different then. But maybe Parker plays more minutes then and things turn out the same anyway. This sort of thing is too much guesswork and not what I'd take into consideration when making a play. I'd be more interested in what impact starting Favors will have for instance. Any thoughts on that?

He's adds some athleticism. Gives Utah an even bigger size advantage which is obviously san antonio's achillies heel. He gives the Jazz a shot-blocking threat while also being able to finish on fast breaks and attack the rim in the halfcourt. It might work but at the end of the day spurs should win. I still like jazz +7.5.

[zilchy]

I personally like Splitter's chances of helping Duncan shut Favors down again for a good portion of the game if Pop chooses to go that way again. I'd say it's about time for Splitter to become a force for the Spurs at any rate.

[Speedy88]

I didn't watch much of game 3, but I really like it when the Jazz go to their big lineup with Milsap at SF, Favors at PF, and Jefferson at C.

[t-wizzle]

Jazz +7.5 -108 (3x)

[JR007]

Good Luck tonight !!!!

[t-wizzle]

Good Luck tonight !!!!

Thanks jr... Looks like the jazz are going to shit the bed again though. I should have just laid off.

[Speedy88]

Thanks jr... Looks like the jazz are going to shit the bed again though. I should have just laid off.

I think they'll keep it close as long as Corbin doesn't play the 2nd unit long extended minutes. Watching Kanter play isn't easy. Not sure what they saw in him, not to mention they already had a ton of big men.

[t-wizzle]

Utah misses a lot of wide open jump shots.