Be careful betting OKC tonight.

Speedy88 · 03-29-12, 04:09 PM

I think the line speaks for itself. Im going to roll with LA +1.5. Books made this line knowing that everyone is down on the Lakers after they barely beat GS, lost to UTA and MEM at home, etc. Whereas OKC is flying high after beating MIA, POR, LAC, etc. Hence why the public is all over OKC.

Small sample size, but LA is 2-0 as a home dog. LA will get up for this game, and Kobe hasn't forgotten the last time they met. Might have to play a Kobe OVER pts prop as well.

BigDofBA · 03-29-12, 04:15 PM

I also think LA wins this game on the glass.

OKC hasn't been rebounding well for some reason.

There is no shame in OKC losing a road game to the #3 team in the West.

I feel like LA will be hungrier tonight.

thebestthereis · 03-29-12, 04:16 PM

Lakers at home +points, back in a dump truck full of money and reap your winnings, it's easy like a friend of mine says. It's eeeeezy. Good luck!

jmbbarata · 03-29-12, 04:34 PM

It's a very good game,and I bet over 18,5 to Bynum

Speedy88 · 03-29-12, 05:07 PM

Kobe is going to go off. My book has his Points prop at OVER 27.5 pts at -150 juice lol.

SlimZ · 03-29-12, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

Kobe is going to go off. My book has his Points prop at OVER 27.5 pts at -150 juice lol.

Just put my bet on that o27.5 -145 GL to u if u decide to take it but i do feel the same Kobe gonna do work today!

BigDofBA · 03-29-12, 06:06 PM

OKC team total under 100 looks good too.

H1Cypher · 03-29-12, 06:08 PM

You guys missed out it was at -135 at 5dimes where it is -150 now. Shoulda hit it up earlier. He'll likely go over but I'm not betting it. You could've got over 28 against GS at + money. Kobe can still put up 27 points and Lakers win the game. Of course it's gonna be a no brainer to take the over points on Bryant here though.

CrazyCarl · 03-29-12, 06:11 PM

I took OKC -- so I'm hoping you guys are wrong.

Les_Nuts · 03-29-12, 06:13 PM

BigD, you got an opinion on Westbrook over 24 points? Really fancy him to have a big day

Speedy88 · 03-29-12, 06:13 PM

There is a reason why it is juiced at -150. I don't lay juice over -130.

Les_Nuts · 03-29-12, 06:16 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

There is a reason why it is juiced at -150. I don't lay juice over -130.

I just got it at -120 at a local

Finch Dinero · 03-29-12, 06:18 PM

Take the Thunder and cash the fukk out.

PR9 · 03-29-12, 06:21 PM

When the line moves from - to + over the PK barrier, the + team wins a great majority of the time

the Nets/Jazz game the other night was the latest example. Nets open at +2.5 and line goes to -1 the day of the game, and the Nets lose

Nothing is guaranteed but if you've followed this throughout the season, the lakers would look to be the play tonight.

hawley · 03-29-12, 06:21 PM

Originally posted by PR9

When the line moves from - to + over the PK barrier, the + team wins a great majority of the time

the other night in the Nets/Jazz game was the latest example. Nets open at +2.5 and line goes to -1 the day of the game and the Nets lose

Do you have any stats or examples to back this up?

Speedy88 · 03-29-12, 06:24 PM

Originally posted by PR9

When the line moves from - to + over the PK barrier, the + team wins a great majority of the time

the Nets/Jazz game the other night was the latest example. Nets open at +2.5 and line goes to -1 the day of the game, and the Nets lose

Nothing is guaranteed but if you've followed this throughout the season, the lakers would look to be the play tonight.

I've noticed this as well. Is it me or does a 2 point swing over the PK not mean as much as say -4 to -6.

vasilli07 · 03-29-12, 06:26 PM

On Lakers too although they have screw me for quite a number of times this season.

Les_Nuts · 03-29-12, 06:34 PM

Any news that I'm missing? Lakers just moved to -1 everywhere, good sign for laker backers

Judgejoebrwn · 03-29-12, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by Les_Nuts

Any news that I'm missing? Lakers just moved to -1 everywhere, good sign for laker backers

Awfully weird ain't it? No injuries to speak of. Maybe Billy Walters pushed the line on OKC then dropped a load on Lakers +1 lol

hmwalsh · 03-29-12, 06:50 PM

Originally posted by CrazyCarl

I took OKC -- so I'm hoping you guys are wrong.

Same here. OKC is too deep for the Lakers.

BigDofBA · 03-29-12, 06:52 PM

It doesn't matter if the line is +1 or -1. It's essentially the same thing. Don't let the books mind **** you here.

I follow OKC and think they lose tonight.

I hope I'm wrong but it just seems like a better spot for the Lake Show.

I also like the under and OKC team total under.

Speedy88 · 03-29-12, 06:56 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

It doesn't matter if the line is +1 or -1. It's essentially the same thing. Don't let the books mind **** you here.

I follow OKC and think they lose tonight.

I hope I'm wrong but it just seems like a better spot for the Lake Show.

I also like the under and OKC team total under.

Exactly, +1 is pretty much the same as -1 to me. But books try to get people to say "Oh wow, it moves a whole 2 points!" I'm sure the books opened it at OKC +1 knowing they would get hit hard and they'd eventually move it to -1. If they opened it at OKC -1, no way would it be at OKC -3.

dRavidC · 03-29-12, 06:59 PM

whatever happens i think it'll be a highly entertaining game

yeah the line movement from -1 to +1 means nothing. it's just the bookies tryna **** with you. whatever you were leaning originally just stick with it don't let the bookies change your opinion because of line movement.

BigDofBA · 03-29-12, 07:21 PM

I think the books are genius.

They open it at a line in which they know people will love OKC. OKC moves to a favorite. Smart money, which was probably waiting for this small move then goes ahead and pounds the Lakers. The line moves back to OKC +1. Now, more of the general public that hasn't placed their bets yet will take OKC again. The line will probably move back to a PK or OKC -1.

I'm pretty sure the books love backing LA here.

bonestock · 03-29-12, 07:56 PM

Wow it went from OKC -1 to OKC +1.5

BigDofBA · 03-29-12, 10:08 PM

People should start considering fading OKC when the biggest Thunder fan on this site predicts them to lose. I usually pretty in tune with this team.

Punter101 · 03-29-12, 10:14 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

People should start considering fading OKC when the biggest Thunder fan on this site predicts them to lose. I usually pretty in tune with this team.

Easy now. They got off to a really bad start i mean 1-9 KD35 in the first quarter and their only down by 12 i'll take that. Credit to lakers though they used their interior presence well so far and making okc settle for jumpshots. That said OKC ain't done by a long shot

BigDofBA · 03-29-12, 10:18 PM

Originally posted by Punter101

Easy now. They got off to a really bad start i mean 1-9 KD35 in the first quarter and their only down by 12 i'll take that. Credit to lakers though they used their interior presence well so far and making okc settle for jumpshots. That said OKC ain't done by a long shot

No doubt and I would thrilled if the Thunder come back and win. There is a reason I don't bet against them, I want them to win.

With that said, this is the NBA. Everyone makes runs. I didn't expect LA to just have a cake walk tonight. I wouldn't be surprised if OKC leads in the second.

GL.

Speedy88 · 03-29-12, 11:41 PM

fukk should have hedged at halftime. I honestly thought LA would show up stronger in the 2H. What a joke of a team LA is.

BigDofBA · 03-29-12, 11:42 PM

Sorry to anyone that took LA because of my opinion of this game. I'm shocked how OkC has completely dominated the second half.

Mile Brown getting out coached big time.

You mad bro · 03-29-12, 11:43 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Sorry to anyone that took LA because of my opinion of this game. I'm shocked how OkC has completely dominated the second half.

Mile Brown getting out coached big time.

lol ur shocked?

mike brown isnt a good coach anyway

Speedy88 · 03-29-12, 11:44 PM

Ehhh I still think LA was the right side. I mean I don't think anyone thought they'd play like such crap in the 2H.

BTW Mike Brown is such a horrible coach. Ever since that Eastern Conference Finals matchup against Orlando when he refused to put LeBron on Turkoglu after Hedo was burning them game after game.

ChiLLx · 03-29-12, 11:45 PM

I still don't see the Thunder winning at the Bulls next game

EDIT: Actually just looked that game is in OKC, still gonna be tough

Finch Dinero · 03-29-12, 11:55 PM

What exactly did you guys see in the Lakers tonight? Even the "biggest thunder fan on this board" was on the lakers....Lol. Thunder was easy money tonight.