What were the books thinking -- Boston -6.5?

BernardMadoff · 03-26-12, 06:39 PM

What should the line be? And if/when Charlotte covers, then what?

brainfreeze0 · 03-26-12, 06:41 PM

Yeah that kind of lie makes you think "what do they know that i don't". Pretty strange line. As inconsistent as Boston is, this is the Bobcats we're talking about here. Dont understand that one.

brainfreeze0 · 03-26-12, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by BernardMadoff

What should the line be? And if/when Charlotte covers, then what?

-10.5 - 12 seems more appropriate to what most people would think of seeing. Thats why it had people overthinking this line.

Allure · 03-26-12, 06:42 PM

If you have Bobcats in a 50-point-teaser, your play might hit.

BernardMadoff · 03-26-12, 06:44 PM

Originally posted by brainfreeze0

-10.5 - 12 seems more appropriate to what most people would think of seeing. Thats why it had people overthinking this line.

So what would you have made the line had this game been in Boston?

brainfreeze0 · 03-26-12, 06:50 PM

Originally posted by BernardMadoff

So what would you have made the line had this game been in Boston?

Good point. Its just 6 1/2 seems a little low, but on an away game probably not to far off. I guess 8-9 would be more justifiable given cirumstances.

BernardMadoff · 03-26-12, 06:56 PM

Originally posted by brainfreeze0

Good point. Its just 6 1/2 seems a little low, but on an away game probably not to far off. I guess 8-9 would be more justifiable given cirumstances.

So you think the line is right or you think it should have been 8.5-10?

brainfreeze0 · 03-26-12, 07:00 PM

Originally posted by BernardMadoff

So you think the line is right or you think it should have been 8.5-10?

8-9 away and 10-12 at home

BernardMadoff · 03-26-12, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by brainfreeze0

8-9 away and 10-12 at home

Huh? And what if it was on a neutral court?

brainfreeze0 · 03-26-12, 07:07 PM

Originally posted by BernardMadoff

Huh? And what if it was on a neutral court?

Would they be at home if its neutral? Then it would still be away. Its not like the handicap is different because now all of a sudden they are under some magical force being in another stadium. Its because they are traveling.

You mad bro · 03-26-12, 07:09 PM

the game isnt over yet .. u know how many times are down 20 at half and cover 6 point spreads ...

BernardMadoff · 03-26-12, 07:10 PM

Originally posted by brainfreeze0

Would they be at home if its neutral? Then it would still be away. Its not like the handicap is different because now all of a sudden they are under some magical force being in another stadium. Its because they are traveling.

It would be different, basically if you made Boston 8-9 away then they would 16-17 at home.

BettingWizard · 03-26-12, 07:15 PM

Bobcats cover First Half

brainfreeze0 · 03-26-12, 07:15 PM

i think thats a little high of a differential. thats almost 10 points just for being at home. Thats saying at home right now theyd get like 14-15 handicap. Thats pretty high for Celtic

BigDeem5 · 03-26-12, 07:16 PM

I'm on Celtics. Thanks for the jinx, d*ck

BernardMadoff · 03-26-12, 07:18 PM

Originally posted by brainfreeze0

i think thats a little high of a differential. thats almost 10 points just for being at home. Thats saying at home right now theyd get like 14-15 handicap. Thats pretty high for Celtic

That would be the case if they were 9 point favs on the road, tack on at 7 or 8 points, especially since its the Bobcats.

BernardMadoff · 03-26-12, 07:19 PM

Thread starter nowhere to be found, typical of this site, dont show back up if Boston covers.

Speedy88 · 03-26-12, 07:20 PM

Basic thought is that homecourt is about 3 points. So if you say BOS is -8 or -9 on the road, then they should be -14 or -15 at home.

I think the line is about right. Probably would have been closer to BOS -8 if BOS weren't on a b2b. The line was at -6.5 for most of the day and I believe it closed at -7. Also don't forget that Ray Allen is out as well. So all those factors explain the "low" line.

brainfreeze0 · 03-26-12, 07:26 PM

true true

stevenash · 03-27-12, 07:20 AM

C's win by seven.

Never over think the wager, you like the C's -6.5, then bet the C's -6.5, if Vegas is giving you -6.5 and you think the line s/be 11, why wouldn't you bet the C's?

Allure · 03-27-12, 07:45 AM

Originally posted by BernardMadoff

Thread starter nowhere to be found, typical of this site, dont show back up if Boston covers.

Probably because the thread starter lives in a different time zone?

Anyway, Boston covers.

HoulihansTX · 03-27-12, 07:47 AM

after Yesterday. Boston is 2-7-1 ATS on B2B road games.

thebestthereis · 03-27-12, 08:07 AM

Books put out a generic team strength line that any dope can estimate. All it does is get dope A and dope B to disagree and bet both sides as equal as possible. Nobody has a clue who is going to win, it's human beings not a roulette wheel (guaranteed losing). It's that simple.