-400+ Experiment. $100 to $1000 in ten plays

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  • ugabooga
    SBR MVP
    • 12-27-10
    • 1088

    #36
    Went to pull the trigger but odds changed and lost quite a bit of value so didn't play it. Guess I'll be cheering the Kings on
    Comment
    • ugabooga
      SBR MVP
      • 12-27-10
      • 1088

      #37
      ATTEMPT 1 - BET 6
      Townsville Crocs ML to def Adelaide 36ers (NBL)
      $295.48 to win $88.64

      Crocs are 7-2 at home, 36ers are 3-7 away.

      Last met:
      2/1 - Crocs 79 def 36ers 69

      Again, an element of risk here but both played 2 nights ago, Crocs in Cairns and 36ers in Melbourne which would advantage Townsville due to less travel and climate/humidity. Townsville is probably one of the toughest places to travel as well and the 36ers are coming off 5 straight losses, relatively confident with this play.
      Comment
      • ugabooga
        SBR MVP
        • 12-27-10
        • 1088

        #38
        Half time: crocs 43 v 36ers 48

        Got a bit of work to do
        Comment
        • therealdealau
          SBR MVP
          • 11-12-10
          • 3227

          #39
          good luck mate!
          Comment
          • ugabooga
            SBR MVP
            • 12-27-10
            • 1088

            #40
            Originally posted by therealdealau
            good luck mate!
            Thanks mate

            Originally posted by ugabooga
            ATTEMPT 1 - BET 6
            Townsville Crocs ML to def Adelaide 36ers (NBL)
            $295.48 to win $88.64
            Final score: Townsvillle 89 def Adelaide 71
            Townsville outscored Adelaide 46-23 in the second half

            Bank: $384.12

            A few nervous moments I must admit
            Comment
            • H1Cypher
              SBR MVP
              • 12-25-11
              • 1494

              #41
              Originally posted by ugabooga
              Thanks mate Final score: Townsvillle 89 def Adelaide 71 Townsville outscored Adelaide 46-23 in the second half Bank: $384.12 A few nervous moments I must admit
              You known why you had nervous moments? I was bored and decided to tail. I never seem to get an easy win =p. Weren't you at 100 yesterday? I should have tailed you =p with 100 dollars of my own from the start.
              Comment
              • ugabooga
                SBR MVP
                • 12-27-10
                • 1088

                #42
                Ahh so that's why?! Adelaide did challenge at some stages the last time they played as well so it was always a possibility but when they were down 8 at one stage I was getting very worried.

                Yep, $100 yesterday, just doing some research on my next play. Looks like it will be women's tennis more than likely which traditionally is not a good idea but I've got a couple of games I like.
                Comment
                • ugabooga
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-27-10
                  • 1088

                  #43
                  ATTEMPT 1 - BET 7
                  Mona Barthel to def Julie Coin (WTA Paris - Qualifying)
                  $384.12 to win $96.03

                  Rank:
                  Barthel 43
                  Coin 283

                  Barthel is on a tear and recently won the Hobart Open. So far this year she is 12-2 on hardcourt with her losses coming from Azaranka (ranked 1st) at the Aus Open who went on to win it and Lisicki (ranked 14th).

                  Coin I don't know alot about but I don't think she's beaten anyone in the top 100. Seems to play alot of challengers and qualifiers. Only worrying sign is she won her last match 6-0, 6-0 although can't see that happening against Barthel.

                  Using a recent common opponent (and I love this stupid logic so bear with me ), Barthel beat Cetkovska 7-5, 6-3 and Coin lost to Cetkovska 6-4, 6-3. By that sound logic this should be an easy win
                  Comment
                  • ugabooga
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-27-10
                    • 1088

                    #44
                    Originally posted by ugabooga
                    ATTEMPT 1 - BET 7
                    Mona Barthel to def Julie Coin (WTA Paris - Qualifying)
                    $384.12 to win 96.03
                    Final score: Barthel def Coin 6-3, 7-5
                    3 bets away!

                    Bank: $480.15

                    Getting to the business end now. Had a quick look and nothing jumped out at me so no play for now, don't want to force it. I'm actually at $380 profit in 36 hours, that's probably as good as I've ever run
                    Comment
                    • H1Cypher
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-25-11
                      • 1494

                      #45
                      Originally posted by ugabooga
                      Final score: Barthel def Coin 6-3, 7-5
                      3 bets away!

                      Bank: $480.15

                      Getting to the business end now. Had a quick look and nothing jumped out at me so no play for now, don't want to force it. I'm actually at $380 profit in 36 hours, that's probably as good as I've ever run
                      Wanted to tail again but it was like -500 at my book. Way to it.
                      Comment
                      • ugabooga
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-27-10
                        • 1088

                        #46
                        Thanks bro Barthel is up again in 12 hours so I'll run the numbers and see what I come up with. Could be one step closer
                        Comment
                        • ugabooga
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-27-10
                          • 1088

                          #47
                          Ahh did everything but click submit then

                          Couple of things I don't like about Barthel's opponent for this one; left handed, took a set off Hantuchova earlier this year as well as nearly beating Kirilenko. I'll probably regret not submitting but will wait for a better spot.

                          Looking at Atlanta hosting Phoenix tomorrow or maybe the Bulls at New Jersey although BW making it his square play is worrying.
                          Comment
                          • TheSituation559
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-28-12
                            • 424

                            #48
                            This is interesting. I might follow your picks and try this tactic. Are you going to stop at 1000?
                            Comment
                            • ugabooga
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-27-10
                              • 1088

                              #49
                              Originally posted by TheSituation559
                              This is interesting. I might follow your picks and try this tactic. Are you going to stop at 1000?
                              Yep 3 more plays to 1000 although the bank and restart the system at 600 (ie 500 profit) has entered my head.

                              Barthel ended up winning 6-3, 6-4 fuuuu
                              Comment
                              • keel44
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-01-09
                                • 3363

                                #50
                                Atlanta Hawks ---- They can't lose 3 in a row at home --- Oh, and the Suns suck.
                                Comment
                                • darktray
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-29-11
                                  • 786

                                  #51
                                  I like this thread. Saw it a little late but I will tail
                                  Comment
                                  • ugabooga
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-27-10
                                    • 1088

                                    #52
                                    ATTEMPT 1 - BET 8
                                    Chicago bulls ML to def New jersey nets
                                    $480.15 to win $96.03

                                    Last met
                                    Chicago def nets 110-95 (@ Chicago)

                                    As road faves Chicago are 10-4 SU with losses to Philly, Memphis, Atlanta and GSW.

                                    As home dogs the nets are 0-6.

                                    Atlanta's recent form makes it a no play for me. The only worrying thing for me is BW is on the nets.
                                    Comment
                                    • ugabooga
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-27-10
                                      • 1088

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by darktray
                                      I like this thread. Saw it a little late but I will tail
                                      Bol to us in that case
                                      Comment
                                      • TheSituation559
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-28-12
                                        • 424

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by ugabooga
                                        ATTEMPT 1 - BET 8
                                        Chicago bulls ML to def New jersey nets
                                        $480.15 to win $96.03

                                        Last met
                                        Chicago def nets 110-95 (@ Chicago)

                                        As road faves Chicago are 10-4 SU with losses to Philly, Memphis, Atlanta and GSW.

                                        As home dogs the nets are 0-6.

                                        Atlanta's recent form makes it a no play for me. The only worrying thing for me is BW is on the nets.
                                        The BW effect might come into play don't sweat the game out too much tonight haha
                                        Comment
                                        • keel44
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-01-09
                                          • 3363

                                          #55
                                          I thought about in hockey, there is a prop bet that asks "Will the game go to overtime?" The average odds for this is -380 to -420. Just a thought.
                                          Comment
                                          • ugabooga
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-27-10
                                            • 1088

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by keel44
                                            I thought about in hockey, there is a prop bet that asks "Will the game go to overtime?" The average odds for this is -380 to -420. Just a thought.
                                            I usually only bet on sports I know well and I've probably seen maybe 2 games of NHL ever. I like to feel like I have an edge (even if i don't haha).
                                            Comment
                                            • ugabooga
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-27-10
                                              • 1088

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by ugabooga
                                              ATTEMPT 1 - BET 8
                                              Chicago bulls ML to def New jersey nets
                                              $480.15 to win $96.03
                                              Final Score: Bulls 108 def Nets 87

                                              Bank: $576.18

                                              Probably 2.5 bets away now!
                                              Comment
                                              • ugabooga
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-27-10
                                                • 1088

                                                #58
                                                That's $500 profit in 3 days woooooo
                                                Comment
                                                • therealdealau
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-12-10
                                                  • 3227

                                                  #59
                                                  nice mate, really good picks so far! i love the idea of the experiment
                                                  Comment
                                                  • keel44
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-01-09
                                                    • 3363

                                                    #60
                                                    Atlanta really blew it. You made a good call.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ugabooga
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-27-10
                                                      • 1088

                                                      #61
                                                      Cheers fellas. The pussy of within is telling me to bank and start up again. Thoughts?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TheSituation559
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 01-28-12
                                                        • 424

                                                        #62
                                                        I think I'm going to deposit 100$ tomorrow and try this. How are you picking the games? Just a team around -400 ML?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TripleDDD
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 01-03-12
                                                          • 199

                                                          #63
                                                          ugabooga you should bank it and start over again so I can deposit 100 and do it with you
                                                          Comment
                                                          • GoodSun
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 08-26-11
                                                            • 313

                                                            #64
                                                            wouldn't the payout be better if it was in an open parlay?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DemoralizdDreamr
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-04-11
                                                              • 4319

                                                              #65
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Ethan1122
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-13-12
                                                                • 948

                                                                #66
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TheSituation559
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 01-28-12
                                                                  • 424

                                                                  #67
                                                                  I think you should bank your profit and restart that way all this wasn't a waist. Now you will have more followers if you do restart haha But I plan on doing something like this but I'm not confident in picking ML with that high of value so I would like to follow you.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • tb1984
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-11-08
                                                                    • 3112

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by GoodSun
                                                                    wouldn't the payout be better if it was in an open parlay?
                                                                    Nope, same payout.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • H1Cypher
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-25-11
                                                                      • 1494

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Bank and restart had you gone with the Hawks you could have easily gone bust. If you go 3 in a row after the restart well, you can worry about that then. I say restart.

                                                                      I think if you restart you can still consider the project a success, and perhaps start another streak where this time you won't restart. No reason to risk an already successful venture on a flawed scheme that may implode. Basically I'm saying do you think you're closer to the top of the hill? Well maybe it's a good idea to take a break- cause if you fall off now you'll have to start your climb all over.

                                                                      If you can climb the mountain once- what is to say you can't climb it again?

                                                                      Also when you started didn't you say you planned on running this more than once. Well if it goes wrong now- you have 5 free bullets if ya restart =p. There are pros to not restarting obviously but I think there are more cons.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Sport_Fish
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-06-10
                                                                        • 4079

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Def. restart. U have $400+ profit - so get it out in order to atleast show profit for this experiment.

                                                                        And then find a sportsbook with a 100% deposit bonus so u can get a head start with $200. The rollover requirements will be no issue with this strategy so u will be able to cashout once u get ur $200 > $1,000.
                                                                        Comment
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