Went to pull the trigger but odds changed and lost quite a bit of value so didn't play it. Guess I'll be cheering the Kings on
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#37
ATTEMPT 1 - BET 6 Townsville Crocs ML to def Adelaide 36ers (NBL)
$295.48 to win $88.64
Crocs are 7-2 at home, 36ers are 3-7 away.
Last met:
2/1 - Crocs 79 def 36ers 69
Again, an element of risk here but both played 2 nights ago, Crocs in Cairns and 36ers in Melbourne which would advantage Townsville due to less travel and climate/humidity. Townsville is probably one of the toughest places to travel as well and the 36ers are coming off 5 straight losses, relatively confident with this play.
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#38
Half time: crocs 43 v 36ers 48
Got a bit of work to do
Comment
therealdealau
SBR MVP
11-12-10
3227
#39
good luck mate!
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#40
Originally posted by therealdealau
good luck mate!
Thanks mate
Originally posted by ugabooga
ATTEMPT 1 - BET 6 Townsville Crocs ML to def Adelaide 36ers (NBL)
$295.48 to win $88.64
Final score: Townsvillle 89 def Adelaide 71
Townsville outscored Adelaide 46-23 in the second half
Bank: $384.12
A few nervous moments I must admit
Comment
H1Cypher
SBR MVP
12-25-11
1494
#41
Originally posted by ugabooga
Thanks mate Final score: Townsvillle 89 def Adelaide 71 Townsville outscored Adelaide 46-23 in the second half Bank: $384.12 A few nervous moments I must admit
You known why you had nervous moments? I was bored and decided to tail. I never seem to get an easy win =p. Weren't you at 100 yesterday? I should have tailed you =p with 100 dollars of my own from the start.
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#42
Ahh so that's why?! Adelaide did challenge at some stages the last time they played as well so it was always a possibility but when they were down 8 at one stage I was getting very worried.
Yep, $100 yesterday, just doing some research on my next play. Looks like it will be women's tennis more than likely which traditionally is not a good idea but I've got a couple of games I like.
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#43
ATTEMPT 1 - BET 7 Mona Barthel to def Julie Coin (WTA Paris - Qualifying)
$384.12 to win $96.03
Rank:
Barthel 43
Coin 283
Barthel is on a tear and recently won the Hobart Open. So far this year she is 12-2 on hardcourt with her losses coming from Azaranka (ranked 1st) at the Aus Open who went on to win it and Lisicki (ranked 14th).
Coin I don't know alot about but I don't think she's beaten anyone in the top 100. Seems to play alot of challengers and qualifiers. Only worrying sign is she won her last match 6-0, 6-0 although can't see that happening against Barthel.
Using a recent common opponent (and I love this stupid logic so bear with me ), Barthel beat Cetkovska 7-5, 6-3 and Coin lost to Cetkovska 6-4, 6-3. By that sound logic this should be an easy win
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#44
Originally posted by ugabooga
ATTEMPT 1 - BET 7 Mona Barthel to def Julie Coin (WTA Paris - Qualifying)
$384.12 to win 96.03
Final score: Barthel def Coin 6-3, 7-5
3 bets away!
Bank: $480.15
Getting to the business end now. Had a quick look and nothing jumped out at me so no play for now, don't want to force it. I'm actually at $380 profit in 36 hours, that's probably as good as I've ever run
Comment
H1Cypher
SBR MVP
12-25-11
1494
#45
Originally posted by ugabooga
Final score: Barthel def Coin 6-3, 7-5
3 bets away!
Bank: $480.15
Getting to the business end now. Had a quick look and nothing jumped out at me so no play for now, don't want to force it. I'm actually at $380 profit in 36 hours, that's probably as good as I've ever run
Wanted to tail again but it was like -500 at my book. Way to it.
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#46
Thanks bro Barthel is up again in 12 hours so I'll run the numbers and see what I come up with. Could be one step closer
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#47
Ahh did everything but click submit then
Couple of things I don't like about Barthel's opponent for this one; left handed, took a set off Hantuchova earlier this year as well as nearly beating Kirilenko. I'll probably regret not submitting but will wait for a better spot.
Looking at Atlanta hosting Phoenix tomorrow or maybe the Bulls at New Jersey although BW making it his square play is worrying.
Comment
TheSituation559
SBR Sharp
01-28-12
424
#48
This is interesting. I might follow your picks and try this tactic. Are you going to stop at 1000?
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#49
Originally posted by TheSituation559
This is interesting. I might follow your picks and try this tactic. Are you going to stop at 1000?
Yep 3 more plays to 1000 although the bank and restart the system at 600 (ie 500 profit) has entered my head.
Barthel ended up winning 6-3, 6-4 fuuuu
Comment
keel44
SBR MVP
08-01-09
3363
#50
Atlanta Hawks ---- They can't lose 3 in a row at home --- Oh, and the Suns suck.
Comment
darktray
SBR Wise Guy
03-29-11
786
#51
I like this thread. Saw it a little late but I will tail
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#52
ATTEMPT 1 - BET 8 Chicago bulls ML to def New jersey nets
$480.15 to win $96.03
Last met
Chicago def nets 110-95 (@ Chicago)
As road faves Chicago are 10-4 SU with losses to Philly, Memphis, Atlanta and GSW.
As home dogs the nets are 0-6.
Atlanta's recent form makes it a no play for me. The only worrying thing for me is BW is on the nets.
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#53
Originally posted by darktray
I like this thread. Saw it a little late but I will tail
Bol to us in that case
Comment
TheSituation559
SBR Sharp
01-28-12
424
#54
Originally posted by ugabooga
ATTEMPT 1 - BET 8 Chicago bulls ML to def New jersey nets
$480.15 to win $96.03
Last met
Chicago def nets 110-95 (@ Chicago)
As road faves Chicago are 10-4 SU with losses to Philly, Memphis, Atlanta and GSW.
As home dogs the nets are 0-6.
Atlanta's recent form makes it a no play for me. The only worrying thing for me is BW is on the nets.
The BW effect might come into play don't sweat the game out too much tonight haha
Comment
keel44
SBR MVP
08-01-09
3363
#55
I thought about in hockey, there is a prop bet that asks "Will the game go to overtime?" The average odds for this is -380 to -420. Just a thought.
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#56
Originally posted by keel44
I thought about in hockey, there is a prop bet that asks "Will the game go to overtime?" The average odds for this is -380 to -420. Just a thought.
I usually only bet on sports I know well and I've probably seen maybe 2 games of NHL ever. I like to feel like I have an edge (even if i don't haha).
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#57
Originally posted by ugabooga
ATTEMPT 1 - BET 8 Chicago bulls ML to def New jersey nets
$480.15 to win $96.03
Final Score: Bulls 108 def Nets 87
Bank: $576.18
Probably 2.5 bets away now!
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#58
That's $500 profit in 3 days woooooo
Comment
therealdealau
SBR MVP
11-12-10
3227
#59
nice mate, really good picks so far! i love the idea of the experiment
Comment
keel44
SBR MVP
08-01-09
3363
#60
Atlanta really blew it. You made a good call.
Comment
ugabooga
SBR MVP
12-27-10
1088
#61
Cheers fellas. The pussy of within is telling me to bank and start up again. Thoughts?
Comment
TheSituation559
SBR Sharp
01-28-12
424
#62
I think I'm going to deposit 100$ tomorrow and try this. How are you picking the games? Just a team around -400 ML?
Comment
TripleDDD
SBR High Roller
01-03-12
199
#63
ugabooga you should bank it and start over again so I can deposit 100 and do it with you
Comment
GoodSun
SBR Sharp
08-26-11
313
#64
wouldn't the payout be better if it was in an open parlay?
Comment
DemoralizdDreamr
SBR MVP
02-04-11
4319
#65
Comment
Ethan1122
SBR Wise Guy
01-13-12
948
#66
Comment
TheSituation559
SBR Sharp
01-28-12
424
#67
I think you should bank your profit and restart that way all this wasn't a waist. Now you will have more followers if you do restart haha But I plan on doing something like this but I'm not confident in picking ML with that high of value so I would like to follow you.
Comment
tb1984
SBR MVP
09-11-08
3112
#68
Originally posted by GoodSun
wouldn't the payout be better if it was in an open parlay?
Nope, same payout.
Comment
H1Cypher
SBR MVP
12-25-11
1494
#69
Bank and restart had you gone with the Hawks you could have easily gone bust. If you go 3 in a row after the restart well, you can worry about that then. I say restart.
I think if you restart you can still consider the project a success, and perhaps start another streak where this time you won't restart. No reason to risk an already successful venture on a flawed scheme that may implode. Basically I'm saying do you think you're closer to the top of the hill? Well maybe it's a good idea to take a break- cause if you fall off now you'll have to start your climb all over.
If you can climb the mountain once- what is to say you can't climb it again?
Also when you started didn't you say you planned on running this more than once. Well if it goes wrong now- you have 5 free bullets if ya restart =p. There are pros to not restarting obviously but I think there are more cons.
Comment
Sport_Fish
SBR MVP
12-06-10
4079
#70
Def. restart. U have $400+ profit - so get it out in order to atleast show profit for this experiment.
And then find a sportsbook with a 100% deposit bonus so u can get a head start with $200. The rollover requirements will be no issue with this strategy so u will be able to cashout once u get ur $200 > $1,000.