I actually have 2 that qualified barely, but going to lay off of them I think. I'll take a look at movement in the line in a bit and see if I change my mind.
Don't really have much of an opinion on that game. I think if I were to say I had "leans", it would be on the Magic and the Over.
The T-Wolves are nothing special defending the three and the total/spread is probably going to have a direct correlation with how well the Magic shoot the three ball. It's hard to tell if the line is already adjusted for any edges going with this logic though.
That being said, the % of bets on the under is a good amount higher that the over. People tend to like to bet overs so when you see a total with a higher % on the under, its a red flag IMO. The same goes with home favorites. The T-Wolves are not really considered a good team, but the Magic are considered a decent team. It's a medium sized home favorite line, but more bets are coming in on the T-Wolves, which is kind of odd and another red flag. Usually a bad team facing a better team on the road, is a spot that the public leans towards.
Comment
pro-style
SBR High Roller
07-20-10
177
#53
2/11/2012
This line moved back up so it became a play again.
Yea, Raptors easy bet. The only way this line is accurate is if there is some fix by the NBA...
Lin's performance has been great, but there is a major overreaction this this Lin-mania. As much as I want to root for him and bet on the Knicks, there is just no way the Raptors should be laying 5 points at home vs. this Knicks team. I mean the Knicks were +6.5 dogs to the T-Wolves, but now 5 point favorites vs. the Raptors? An 11.5 point difference between the T-Wolve/Raptors (not accounting for other factors). Get. Real.
It's just funny because you KNOW that the Knicks would not be laying 5 points here if they had not won in Minnesota. They should have lost in Minny, funny how the outcome of an event that really has little bearing on how good a team actually is, can affect a line so much.
Comment
YouHave2outs
SBR MVP
07-02-11
4448
#59
Originally posted by pro-style
Yea, Raptors easy bet. The only way this line is accurate is if there is some fix by the NBA...
Lin's performance has been great, but there is a major overreaction this this Lin-mania. As much as I want to root for him and bet on the Knicks, there is just no way the Raptors should be laying 5 points at home vs. this Knicks team. I mean the Knicks were +6.5 dogs to the T-Wolves, but now 5 point favorites vs. the Raptors? An 11.5 point difference between the T-Wolve/Raptors (not accounting for other factors). Get. Real.
was kind of thinking the same thing, but i'm reluctant to pull the trigger
Comment
squid44
SBR Sharp
06-13-10
353
#60
also reluctant. i agree that the lin-mania is blowing things out of proportion, and with amare back they may need to rethink some floor strategy, incorporating him into the game. aka, they may need to work out a few kinks. cant decide on this one, bol with what you choose.
Comment
mcwmiamisc
SBR High Roller
08-30-10
238
#61
I'm thinking out of MIA and NYK at least one or both could lose. The public is hammering both. I'm concerned bc MIA is playing very well so the spread and total could be uncertain. Toronto has been playing well the only concern there is Amare is back.
Comment
pro-style
SBR High Roller
07-20-10
177
#62
There really isn't much to think about either of these games. Just take the pacers and twolves and stop worrying. I'm not saying they will cover but the methodology behind these picks are profitable in the long run.