That Hawks -2.5 trap line today

[dwluv3333]

Vegas fooled us all... Hawks barely covered....... by 22 points....

So where's all the typical "this is a trap line!" people at? what happened here today?

I saw no logic behind why people were backing the Hornets today other than to do it for the sake of doing it. No (unknown) injury factors, no schedule factors, no revenge factors...????

[hawley]

how was it a trap?

hawks have been a very up and down team this year.

[BernardMadoff]

No such thing as a trap line genius.

[hawley]

what did you expect the Hawks to be?

[Covy]

Hawks were coming in hot...came back from down big to win in OT vs iforgetwho so -2.5 was a gift

[dwluv3333]

No such thing as a trap line genius.

this is exactly my point genius... i was on the hawks

[dwluv3333]

hawks are a playoff team, hornets on the other hand, i bet most people here cannot name all of their starters. no eric gordon, no chris kaman, they been playing like shit.

i would have expected hawks to be -7. at least match up to their line against detroit the other day, who IMO is a better team.

[Speedy88]

Yeah not sure what vegas was doing here. I believe the line opened at -3 or -3.5 and closed at -2.5 with nearly 80% on ATL. Looks like they trapped the sharps.

[dwluv3333]

I firmly believe that more people would have taken the hawks at -7 than at -2.5, if only because it looks less fishy that way.

[BigDofBA]

I firmly believe that more people would have taken the hawks at -7 than at -2.5, if only because it looks less fishy that way.

Sounds crazy but I think you're right.

I took the Hawks tonight. It was easy but usually it's not.

[BernardMadoff]

Ill tell you guys a smart thing to do and youll be on the winning side more times than not. Go back and track game results in pro and college where the line was off about 15-20 pts from the result, study those games and find out why such an outcome happened, then look for similar games in the future.

[No coincidences]

Ill tell you guys a smart thing to do and youll be on the winning side more times than not. Go back and track game results in pro and college where the line was off about 15-20 pts from the result, study those games and find out why such an outcome happened, then look for similar games in the future.

Are you talking about inferior dogs coming off big wins playing the next day against a rested opponent?

[m11chen]

Yeah not sure what vegas was doing here. I believe the line opened at -3 or -3.5 and closed at -2.5 with nearly 80% on ATL. Looks like they trapped the sharps.

What sharps were betting on Hornets today?

[dwluv3333]

What sharps were betting on Hornets today?

the ones that inevitably always pick the underdog without fail when there are lines like this and then say that squares won when the result is exactly what everyone knew it'd be

[lunchbawks]

ATL is the only RLM play vegas lost. Cleveland hit, Raptors hit, Clippers hit, they all hit. If they win by 22 or 3 it doesn't make a difference, a win is a win and a loss is a loss

[BernardMadoff]

Are you talking about inferior dogs coming off big wins playing the next day against a rested opponent?

No just games in general, that might be a situation in some though, Im wanna try and get better and finding spots where teams dont show up for whatever reason.

[YouHave2outs]

Looks like they trapped the sharps.

wtf is this?

[paco]

Hornets whipped up on a shitty Orlando team, so people thought they were the new Okc Thunder

[ksnooksk]

Line was very accurate actually. The Hornets just smashed the Magic. The Hawks have been awful for the most part on the road. Honestly, I could have seen the Hornets favored by a bucket. So, in essence, the trap was against the Hornets bc they have been covering so many games and yet they were still getting a full bucket.

We learn and we move on...but the key is to learn.

[No coincidences]

ATL is the only RLM play vegas lost. Cleveland hit, Raptors hit, Clippers hit, they all hit. If they win by 22 or 3 it doesn't make a difference, a win is a win and a loss is a loss

Was there even RLM there? I don't remember there being any.

[dwluv3333]

Was there even RLM there? I don't remember there being any.

i can't honestly find anyone leaning one way or another on a game between the nets and raptors... didn't even bother to look at that line today

[andywend]

Home field is more meaningful in basketball than any other sport on the planet and is normally worth 4-5 points.

If the Hornets were playing the Hawks @ Atlanta, the line would have been around 12. Since they were playing in New Orleans, the line was Atlanta -2 1/2.

Anytime you have a game where the road team is a small favorite, most people believe that the better road team should be a bigger favorite and the words "trap line" start getting used.

What people fail to take into account is how much the home court means in basketball.

San Antonio Spurs are 12-9 (10-1 @ home/2-8 on the road)
LA Lakers are 12-9 (10-2 @ home/2-7 on the road)

[freakydave]

12 out of 30 teams have losing records at home it isn't an advantage unless your team is over 500

[dwluv3333]

home court advantage is definitely a factor. but when the line is at +2.5 this practically means the home team has a very probable chance of winning. but. the hornets have won 4 games all season...

if this game is not a classic case of "clever" people blindly thinking "whoa that line must be a trap!" then I can't think of what other lines would be. i've seriously never seen a single game on this board where there was a heavy favorite getting a small spread on a heavy underdog, where people just say "wow vegas just got it wrong." everyone always wants to "fade the public" to "win" money. do they not realize that the favorites, are a favorite for a reason.

[nyplayer33]

There is no trap...people believe in non sense

[laddder]

home court advantage is definitely a factor. but when the line is at +2.5 this practically means the home team has a very probable chance of winning. but. the hornets have won 4 games all season...

if this game is not a classic case of "clever" people blindly thinking "whoa that line must be a trap!" then I can't think of what other lines would be. i've seriously never seen a single game on this board where there was a heavy favorite getting a small spread on a heavy underdog, where people just say "wow vegas just got it wrong." everyone always wants to "fade the public" to "win" money. do they not realize that the favorites, are a favorite for a reason.

I'm with you man, there's always a thread everyday about traps/fade/squares/ public bets etc... Some are great threads and some are gibberish. there are games were you can look at 2 teams, who the home team and the lines and see value without over thinking, this game and the okc/gs come to mind.

Not always right but a good chance nonetheless.

[Holtgetsback]

What a dumb thread

1 game is a hell of a sample size

Hornets were 6-0 ATS their last 6 before this one

[SpreadSniper]

ATL wins and covers all the naysayers come outta the woodwork.... NOH wins then there would be 50 threads about trap this and trap that....

Some people here need to reevaluate their approach to sports betting.